April 28th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,698/16,328, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,268/16,328. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for the people of Ukraine…

*We closed out the Aqueduct meet hitting our Late Pick 5/4 Plays…Late Pick 5 $8616.50 on a $162 ticket…Late Pick 4 $1031.75 on a $64 ticket…

*Thursday’s Full Card Belmont Park opening day Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#7 Our Jessica 9-2 16 4th
#4 Out of Sight 3-1 16 2nd $3.30
#6 Saratoga Chrome 5-2 15
#1 I’ll Go All In 6-1 14

Race 2:

#4 Bella Principessa 8-5 27 4th
#7 Red Pepper Grill 9-2 26
#3 Gentle Annie 6-1 26 scratched
#1 To a T 7-2 25 1st $7.70

Race 3:

#7 Just Right 6-1 31 2nd $4.50
#6 No Salt 7-5 30 1st $3.10
#1 Invest 15-1 29
#2 Daddy Knows 5-2 28

Race 4:

#2 Mach One 4-1 27
#9 Karnak 6-1 26
#6 Kid Bourbon 5-2 26 2nd $4.60
#5 Fomo 8-1 25 3rd $6.00

Race 5:

#6 Safalow’s Mission 12-1 17
#9 Buckortwo 6-1 16
#3 Citizen K 3-1 16 1st $6.50
#2 Yarrow 5-2 16 4th

Race 6:

#6 Bella Domenica 5-1 28
#8 Raffinity 5-2 27 1st $8.90
#7 Majestic Spirit 8-1 26
#4 The Honorable Ruth 12-1 26

Race 7:

#6 Spun and Won 7-2 31 3rd $2.70
#1 Prince James 5-2 30 2nd $3.90
#2 More Graytful 2-1 29
#4 Fitzpatrick 8-1 28 4th

Race 8:

#6 Doubly Blessed 2-1 33 4th
#4 Baby I’m Perfect 7-2 32
#5 Dark Money 4-1 31
#3 Ryan’s Cat 6-1 30 3rd

Race 9:

#11 Mo Damorninggrouch 12-1 14
#2 White Hot 6-1 13
#12 Wabaunsee 20-1 12
#6 Celine the Queen 4-1 11

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 7,4,6,1 x

Race 2: 4,7 x

Race 3: 7,6,1 6

Race 4: 2,9,6 x

Race 5: 6,9,3 3

$.50 Ticket: $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 4,7,3,1 1

Race 3: 7,6,1 6

Race 4: 2,9,6 x

Race 5: 6,9,3,2 3

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 6:

Race 4: 2,9,6 x

Race 5: 6,9,3 3

Race 6: 6,8 8

Race 7: 6,1,2 x

Race 8: 6

Race 9: 11,2,12

$1.00 Ticket: $162

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 6,9,3,2 3

Race 6: 6,8,7,4 8

Race 7: 6,1,2 x

Race 8: 6,4

Race 9: 11,2,12,6

$.50 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 6,8,7,4 8

Race 7: 6,1,2 x

Race 8: 6,4,5

Race 9: 11,2,12,6

$.50 Ticket: $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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