A Winning Day at the Races!

April 30th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,704/16,346, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,270/16,346. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for the people of Ukraine…

*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont Park Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Majestic Tiger 5-2                      28 2nd $5.20
#6 Road to Success 2-1                   28
#1 Corkman 3-1                               27 3rd $3.00
#5 Roman Empire 4-1                     26 4th

Race 2:

#4 Happy Farm 8-5                          32 2nd $3.30
#2 Aristocratic 6-5                           30 3rd $2.30
#3 Rejected Again 6-1                     29
#1 Mount Travers 15-1                    28 4th

Race 3:

#6 Magnetron 3-1                            28
#4 Even Thunder 7-2                       27 4th
#7 Flowers for Lisa 8-5                    27 2nd $3.00
#3 Musical America 4-1                  26 1st $7.40

Race 4:

#2 Grand Journey 7-2                       33 2nd $4.10
#6 Summer to Remember 5-2        32 3rd $2.40
#10 Smile Bryan 4-1                         31
#5 F F Rocket 8-1                              30

Race 5:

#2 Fancy Feline 8-1                           27
#4 True Empress 6-1                         26
#10 Blame It On Mary 5-1                26
#3 Adversity 8-1                                 25 1st $13.20

Race 6:

#7 With Bells On 4-1                          19 3rd 5.20
#10 Broadway Boogie 6-1                  18
#8 Dame Time 5-1                               18
#2 Gather the Facts 3-1                      17 2nd $4.70

Race 7:

#3 Southern District 8-5                    34 1st $5.50
#2 Sibelius 8-1                                     33
#8 Harvard 8-1                                     32
#7 Market Alert 15-1                           31 3rd $5.80

Race 8:

#10 Umbria 3-1                                    30
#5 Salute to America 10-1                 29
#8 Lord Flintshire 7-2                         28
#6 Mr Breadwinner 8-1                       28 4th

Race 9:

#5 Scuttlebuzz 12-1                             36 1st $33.00
#6 Value Proposition (GB) 3-1           36
#7 Snapper Sinclair 4-1                       35
#3 Proven Strategies 8-1                     34 4th

Race 10:

#11 Ouster 5-1                                      18 4th
#4 Tap’n de Bank 8-1                           17 1st $20.80
#2 Patrick the Great 6-1                      17
#7 Basis Risk 4-1                                   16

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,6,1 x

Race 2:  4,2 x

Race 3:  6,4,7 x

Race 4:  2,6,10,5 x

Race 5:  2,4,10,3 3

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,2 x

Race 3:  6,4,7,3 3

Race 4:  2,6,10,5 x

Race 5:  2,4,10,3 3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  2,4,10 x

Race 6:  7,10,8,2 x

Race 7:  3

Race 8:  10,5,8 x

Race 9:  5,6 5

Race 10: 11,4,2 4

$1.00 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  7,10,8,2 x

Race 7:  3,2,8,7 3

Race 8:  10,5,8 x

Race 9:  5,6 5

Race 10: 11,4,2 4

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  3,2,8,7 3

Race 8:  10,5,8 x

Race 9:  5,6,7 5

Race 10: 11,4,2,7 4

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.


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