May 5th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,711/16,365, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,278/16,365. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for the people of Ukraine…

*Check back Wednesday for Thursday’s Belmont Park Picks/Plays…

*The purchase of a “Kentucky Derby Weekend Pass” for $39.99 on Thursday will give you Full Access to Belmont & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays & Stakes Analysis for both Friday/Saturday…(Visit the Membership Page Thursday for the Derby Weekend pass)…

*Thursday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Nova Loves a Fight 8-5 15 1st $3.20
#6 Tuesday’s Child 5-2 14 3rd $2.70
#4 Marshal Dillon 6-1 14
#5 Platinum Road 8-1 13 4th

Race 2:

#2 Forty Comets 3-1 28
#6 Life Changer 9-5 27 1st $4.50
#5 Top of the Mint 6-1 26 2nd $8.40
#4 Dafuskie Island 4-1 26 3rd $3.50

Race 3:

#7 Kinenos 4-1 35 4th
#1 Forty Under 7-2 34 2nd $3.90
#8 Devamani (FR) 8-5 34
#6 Sifting Sands (GB) 5-2 33

Race 4:

#1 Truebelieve 3-1 27 4th
#6 Tale of Mineshaft 2-1 27 1st $5.80
#3 Brunate 7-2 26 2nd $4.80
#4 Scorpion Dynasty 6-1 25 scratched

Race 5:

#6 Be Here 3-1 28 1st $9.50
#1 Landbiscuit 2-1 27 2nd $3.40 Ex $25.20
#2 El Mayor 12-1 26 3rd $5.80 Tri $176.48
#9 Great Workout 4-1 26

Race 6:

#4 Breakwater 2-1 19
#2 Sukoon 3-1 18 4th
#6 Mugged 8-1 17
#3 Capone 8-1 17 2nd $8.00

Race 7:

#5 Dancing Buck 4-1 32
#10 High Front 2-1 31 2nd $4.00
#8 Yes and Yes 8-1 30 1st $17.60
#7 Kawhi Me a River 5-2 29 4th

Race 8:

#5 Ok Honey 9-2 29 2nd $7.20
#4 Witch Hunter 5-2 28 3rd $2.50
#1 A Bit o’Irish Sass 7-2 27
#7 Girl of Tosconova 8-1 27 4th

Race 9:

#3 Napoleonic War 3-1 31
#12 Daunt 10-1 30
#10 Mackillop 6-1 29
#1 Celestial City 10-1 29

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,6 1

Race 2: 2,6,5,4 6

Race 3: 7,1,8,6 x

Race 4: 1,6,3 6

Race 5: 6,1 6

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,6,5,4 6

Race 3: 7,1,8,6 x

Race 4: 1,6,3 6

Race 5: 6,1 6

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 6:

Race 4: 1,6,3 6

Race 5: 6,1 6

Race 6: 4,2 x

Race 7: 5,10,8 8

Race 8: 5,4 x

Race 9: 3,12

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 6,1,2,9 6

Race 6: 4,2 x

Race 7: 5,10,8,7 8

Race 8: 5,4,1 x

Race 9: 3,12,10

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 4,2 x

Race 7: 5,10,8,7 8

Race 8: 5,4,1,7 x

Race 9: 3,12,10,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

Information and content on this website is for entertainment and information use only. Any reliance made on such information is at the sole discretion and risk of the user.
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