August 18th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,214/17,090, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,700/17,090. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*We had 5 on top winners on Wednesday’s Saratoga card…

Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Sensibleconclusion 7-5 16 3rd $2.10
#6 Olympic Dreams 3-1 14 scratched
#2 Lucky Mucho Man 9-2 13 2nd $4.90
#3 Uncle Water Flow 5-2 12 1st $4.10

Race 2:

#5 Ifihadachance 6-1 28
#4 Caragate 8-5 27 2nd $2.50
#3 Epona’s Dream 4-1 26 3rd $3.10
#6 Bustin Bay 5-1 26 1st $12.20

Race 3:

#6 Jill’s a Hot Mess 5-2 29 2nd $3.60
#1a Sassy Melissa 2-1 28 4th
#5 Fontanafredda 4-1 27 3rd $3.00
#4 Get the Candy 3-1 26 1st $8.10

Race 4:

#5 Flamingo Hawk 5-2 34 2nd $3.80
#4 Stage Left 3-1 33 4th
#2 Mexican Wonder Boy 2-1 32 1st $7.00
#1 Alcools 9-2 32 3rd $3.20

Race 5:

#4 Uncle Dan 6-1 17
#2 Childers 5-2 16 3rd $2.30
#1 Tsuris 4-1 15 4th
#6 Forbidden Secret 9-2 15 2nd $3.30

Race 6:

#5 Sarah’s Dialed In 6-1 16
#8 Orange Freeze 2-1 15 3rd $2.90
#2 April First 6-1 14
#4 Recognize 5-2 14 1st $6.80

Race 7:

#7 Immortalization 5-2 28 1st $4.60
#1 Steelersfanforlife 12-1 27
#3 Charles Chrome 7-5 27
#2 Veterans Beach 3-1 26 3rd $2.80

Race 8:

#1 Perceived 4-1 33 2nd $6.70
#3 Nabokov 3-1 33
#2 Complete Agenda 3-1 32 3rd $3.40
#4 Winit 5-2 31

Race 9:

#6 Busy Morning 2-1 30
#7 Tara Dancer 10-1 29
#2 Robyn and Eli 5-1 28
#3 Royal Dancer 9-2 28

Race 10:

#1 Uragano 5-2 16
#6 Lookin Grand 7-2 15
#8 Loz 3-1 15
#5 Rush to Honor 6-1 14

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1 x

Race 2: 5,4,3,6 6

Race 3: 6,1a/1,5 x

Race 4: 5,4,2,1 2

Race 5: 4,2,1 x

$.50 Ticket: $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 5,4,3,6 6

Race 3: 6,1a/1 x

Race 4: 5,4,2,1 2

Race 5: 4,2,1,6 x

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 5: 4,2,1 x

Race 6: 5,8,2,4 4

Race 7: 7,1,3 7

Race 8: 1,3 x

Race 9: 6

Race 10: 1,6

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 5,8,2,4 4

Race 7: 7,1,3,2 7

Race 8: 1,3,2,4 x

Race 9: 6,7

Race 10: 1,6

$.50 Ticket: $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 7,1,3,2 7

Race 8: 1,3,2,4 x

Race 9: 6,7,2,3

Race 10: 1,6

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

Information and content on this website is for entertainment and information use only. Any reliance made on such information is at the sole discretion and risk of the user.
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