A Winning Day at the Races!

August 19th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,217/17,100, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,705/17,100. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Friday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Psychic Income 2-1                  16 4th
#1 Strong Light 5-2                        15 3rd $2.40
#3 North Pole 7-2                           14 2nd $5.20
#4 No Code 9-2                               14

Race 2:

#1 Beachfront Bid 8-5                    17 3rd $2.30
#7 Gather the Facts 3-1                 16
#6 Free Chickens 8-1                      16
#5 Miss Bonnie T 5-1                      15 1st $10.40

Race 3:

#2 Alejandro 4-1                             34 3rd $2.90
#4 The Reds 9-5                              33 1st $4.10
#6 Bourbon Calling 3-1                 32
#1 Galerio 3-1                                  32 scratched

Race 4:

#1a Indemnify 1-5                           19 2nd $2.60
#4 Whiskey Lullaby 8-1                  18 3rd $2.50
#1 Transactional (GB) 1-5              17 1st $2.60
#2 Outperform 5-1                           16 4th

Race 5:

#3 Joey Loose Lips 7-2                    28
#7 Eminency 8-1                              27 3rd $3.50
#2 Hang Tight 15-1                         26 2nd $16.80
#8 Got the Gold 8-1                         25

Race 6:

#9 Provision 5-2                                17 2nd $3.40
#6 Let’s Go Big Blue 9-2                  16 1st $11.20 Ex $34.60
#2 Secretary of War 3-1                   15 4th
#4 Thethrillofvictory 6-1                 15

Race 7:

#6 Tuscan Queen 5-1                       30 3rd $3.00
#10 Osiria 9-2                                    29
#1 Freedom Speaks 10-1                  29 1st $8.40
#5 Crowding Out 7-2                         28

Race 8:

#5 First to Act 6-1                             33 2nd $5.00
#4 Leader of the Band 6-1               32 1st $15.60 Ex $72.50
#3 Envoutante 3-1                             31 3rd $4.70 Tri $471
#1 Army Wife 7-2                               31

Race 9:

#3 Hatari 7-2                                       29 2nd $5.00
#1 Fish Mooney 8-1                           28
#6 Diva Ready 3-1                              27
#5 Rosemary Potatoes 6-1                27 4th

Race 10:

#8 Appraise (IRE) 3-1                       30
#3 Oxymore 9-5                                 29
#5 Private Creed 10-1                       28
#2 Fadethenoise 8-1                          28

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,1,3 x

Race 2:  1,7,6,5 5

Race 3:  2,4,6 4

Race 4:  1a/1,4 1

Race 5:  3,7,2,8 x

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,7,6,5 5

Race 3:  2,4,6,1 4

Race 4:  1a/1,4 1

Race 5:  3,7,2,8 x

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  3,7,2 x

Race 6:  9,6,2 6

Race 7:  6 x

Race 8:  5,4 4

Race 9:  3,1,6,5

Race 10: 8,3

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  9,6,2,4 6

Race 7:  6,10,1,5 1

Race 8:  5,4,3 4

Race 9:  3,1,6 x

Race 10: 8,3

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  6,10,1,5 1

Race 8:  5,4,3,1 4

Race 9:  3,1,6 x

Race 10: 8,3

$.50 Ticket:  $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 


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