August 20th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,223/17,110, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,710/17,110. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#4 Floki’s Flight 2-1 16 2nd $3.10
#2 Sebaray 7-2 16 1st $13.60 Ex $30.40
#7 Pistol Or Shotgun 5-1 15
#1 Fazaro 12-1 15 4th

Race 2:

#6 U Cant Handle This 3-1 25
#7 Simple Sugar 12-1 25 scratched
#4 Spooky Road 3-1 24 1st $5.10
#1 Holiday Jazz 5-2 23 2nd $2.60

Race 3:

#3 Peaceful Waters 9-5 32 1st $5.80
#4 Favorite Outlaw 7-5 31 2nd $2.50
#2 Ryan’s Cat 6-1 29
#7 Steinbeck 15-1 28

Race 4:

#6 Ard Macha 9-2 16 scratched
#4 Royal Currency 9-2 15 3rd $3.60
#1 Road to Remember 5-1 14 1st $5.90
#7 Bunty Windermere 8-1 14

Race 5:

#7 Wideright 10-1 18
#1 Coach Petro 3-1 18 3rd $2.10
#6 Activist Investing (GB) 5-2 17 3rd $2.10
#2 Conversing 7-2 17 2nd $8.80

Race 6:

#8 Rymes Like Dimes 6-1 30
#1a Best Idea 1-1 29 1st $3.70
#5 Dr. Blute 8-1 28 2nd $5.20
#4 Whittington Park 8-1 28

Race 7:

#2 Good News Rocket 8-1 20
#6 Spinzar 8-1 20 scratched
#7 Game Change 15-1 19
#5 Echo Again 9-5 18 1st $3.20

Race 8:

#1 Win The Moonlight (IRE) 9-5 35 2nd $3.10
#3 Eminent Victor 5-1 34
#2 Sail By 20-1 32
#5 Dolce Zel (FR) 6-1 32 3rd $3.80

Race 9:

#8 Lady Edith 8-1 36
#5 Too Sexy 5-1 35
#6 Miss J McKay 4-1 34 4th
#3 Robin Sparkles 6-1 33

Race 10:

#4 Nest 1-2 41 1st $2.70
#3 Gerrymander 7-2 38
#7 Secret Oath 4-1 36 2nd $3.30
#2 Goddess of Fire 20-1 35 3rd $3.80

Race 11:

#7 Aviano 3-1 30
#4 Wicked Fast 7-2 29
#11 Gussy Mac (IRE) 12-1 28
#6 Saratoga Flash 6-1 28

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 4,2,7 2

Race 2: 6,7,4,1 4

Race 3: 3,4 3

Race 4: 6,4,1,7 *6 scratched using 4,1,7,5 1

Race 5: 7,1,6,2 x

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 6,7,4,1 4

Race 3: 3,4 3

Race 4: 6,4,1,7 *6 scratched using 4,1,7,5 1

Race 5: 7,1,6,2 x

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 6,4,1,7 *6 scratched using 4,1,7,5 1

Race 5: 7,1,6,2 x

Race 6: 8,1a/1,5 1a

Race 7: 2,6,7,5 *6 scratched using 2,7,5,1 5

Race 8: 1,3 x

$.50 Ticket: $192

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 7,1,6,2 x

Race 6: 8,1a/1,5,4 1a

Race 7: 2,6,7,5 *6 scratched using 2,7,5,1 5

Race 8: 1,3 x

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 6: 8,1a/1,5 1a

Race 7: 2,6,7,5 *6 scratched using 2,7,5,1 5

Race 8: 1 x

Race 9: 8,5,6 x

Race 10: 4 4

Race 11: 7,4

$1.00 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 2,6,7,5 *6 scratched using 2,7,5,1 5

Race 8: 1,3,2,5 x

Race 9: 8,5,6,3 x

Race 10: 4 4

Race 11: 7,4,11

$.50 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 1,3,2,5 x

Race 9: 8,5,6,3 x

Race 10: 4,3 4

Race 11: 7,4,11,6

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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