August 30th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

• August 29, 2023
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,823/19,618, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,999/19,618. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Wednesday/Thursday will be Free through the meet…Weekends will require the purchase of a pass…

*Middle Pick 4 for us Saturday …$587 on a $48 ticket…

*Middle Pick 4 for us Sunday…$1791.50 on a $64 ticket…

*Wednesday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#7 Go Poke the Bear 9-2
#1a Cibolian 9-5
#2 Junonia 10-1
#3 Total Joy (IRE) 8-1

Race 2:

#4 Before You Go Go 5-2            19
#1 Justice Julia 2-1                       19
#2 Ruby Queen 5-1                      18
#3 Bento 6-1                                  18

Race 3:

#10 Entrepreneurship 9-2           19
#11 Twirl the Flag 5-1                  18
#5 Lu’s Redemption 8-1               17
#8 Itza Dream 8-1                          17

Dirt Selections

#1a Luna Rosso 15-1
#14 Call Her Bluff 4-1
#10 Entrepreneurship 9-2
#8 Itza Dream 8-1
#7 Handle On You 12-1

Race 4:

#7 Huntress for Hire 2-1              32
#6 Cupid’s Heart 2-1                     31
#4 Little Prankster 7-2                  30
#3 Liquidity Provider 4-1             29

Race 5:

#4 Let’s Go Big Blue 4-1                31
#5 Yacowlef (IRE) 10-1                  30
#8 I’m Very Busy 9-2                      30
#1 Ramblin Wreck 5-2                   29

Dirt Selections

#13 Gilmore 4-5
#15 Signator 3-1
#12 Winters Lion 8-1
#16 Midnight Trouble 10-1

Race 6:

#4 No More Talk 4-1                        28
#5 First Deputy 6-1                          27
#7 Printrack 8-1                                26
#1 Winning Drive 12-1                    26

Race 7:

#2 King’s Secret (GB) 5-1                19
#12 Why Waste Words 6-1              18
#9 Taciturn 10-1                               18
#4 Libretto (IRE) 12-1                      17

Dirt Selections

#16 Paris Style 4-1
#15 Spell On You 8-1
#9 Taciturn 10-1
#10 She’s Mo Bubbly 7-2
#14 Katie’s Checkride 15-1

Race 8:

#3 Tough Street 6-1                          33
#2 Movie Moxy 3-1                           32
#6 Olga Isabel 5-1                             31
#5 Leave No Trace 6-1                      31

Race 9:

#7 Brocknardini 9-2                         32
#2 Gala Brand 7-2                             31
#5 Dancing Spirit 4-1                      30
#10 Hard to Justify 6-1                    29

Dirt Selections

#7 Brocknardini 9-2
#11 Miz Sense 3-1
#2 Gala Brand 7-2
#3 Madame Mischief 15-1

Race 10:

#4 Fast Study 10-1                            16
#3 Impazible Prince 12-1                15
#12 Myles 7-2                                     15
#8 Utamaro 6-1                                  14

Dirt Selections

#15 I’m Just 2-1
#16 Uncle Marty 7-2
#8 Utamaro 6-1
#14 Atlanta’s Acuna 6-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 2:  4,1,2,3

Race 3:  10,11,5,8 Dirt: 1a,14,10,8 *14,10 scratched using 1a,8,7,6

Race 4:  7,6,4 *7 scratched using 6,4,3

Race 5:  4,5,8 Dirt: 13,15,12

Race 6:  4,5

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 3:  10,11,5,8 Dirt: 1a,14,10,8 *14,10 scratched using 1a,8,7,6

Race 4:  7,6,4,3

Race 5:  4,5,8 Dirt: 13,15,12

Race 6:  4,5,7

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  7,6,4 *7 scratched using 6,4,3

Race 5:  4,5,8,1 Dirt: 13,15,12,10

Race 6:  4,5,7

Race 7:  2,12 Dirt: 16,15

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Pick 6:

Race 5:  4,5,8,1 Dirt: 13,15,12,10

Race 6:  4,5

Race 7:  2,12 Dirt: 16,15

Race 8:  3,2 *2 scratched using 3,6

Race 9:  7 Dirt: 7 *7 scratched using 11

Race 10: 4,3,12 Dirt: 15,16,8

$1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  4,5,7

Race 7:  2,12,9,4 Dirt: 16,15,9,10

Race 8:  3,2 *2 scratched using 3,6

Race 9:  7,2 Dirt: 7,11 *7 scratched using 11,1

Race 10: 4,3,12 Dirt: 15,16,8

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  2,12,9,4 Dirt: 16,15,9,10

Race 8:  3,2,6,5

Race 9:  7,2,5 Dirt: 7,11,2 *7,2 scratched using 11,1

Race 10: 4,3,12,8 Dirt: 15,16,8,14

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.