August 31st, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

• August 30, 2023
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,830/19,627, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,004/19,627. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Wednesday/Thursday will be Free through the meet…Weekends will require the purchase of a pass…

*Middle Pick 4 for us last Saturday …$587 on a $48 ticket…

*Middle Pick 4 for us last Sunday…$1791.50 on a $64 ticket…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#9 Sassy Princess 6-1                  19 3rd $3.00
#1 Positive Carry (IRE) 7-2         19 2nd $7.20
#10 Katherine Thomas 8-1         18 scratched
#4 Deep Conviction (IRE) 3-1    17 4th

Dirt Selections

#3 Gold Lightning 6-1
#2 Golden Ghost (GB) 8-1
#8 Mulima 12-1
#10 Katherine Thomas 8-1

Race 2:

#1 Life Talk 1-1                             20 1st $2.80
#4 Paradise Lane 5-1                    19 4th
#6 Classy Mischief 8-1                 18 scratched
#5 Dorothy’s Dreams 6-1             18

Race 3:

#5 Itsakeyper 6-1                          29 2nd $6.30
#6 Mz Big Bucks 9-2                     28
#1 Loon Cry 2-1                             27 1st $5.80
#3 Social Whirl 10-1                     27 scratched

Dirt Selections

#10 Security Code 3-1
#9 Fancy Joke 2-1
#6 Mz Big Bucks 9-1
#8 Queens Dancer 20-1

Race 4:

#1a Corner Kick 7-5                     29 * Best Bet 1st $7.10
#6 Proud Foot 9-2                        27 4th
#1 Pillbox 7-5                                26
#2b Freudian 7-2                          25

Race 5:

#14 Screaming Uncle 5-2             16 2nd $3.50
#1 Bargaining Power 6-1              15 scratched
#13 With Purpose 8-1                   15
#10 Disappearance 9-2                 14 1st $9.60

Race 6:

#4 Brennan’s War 15-1                  27
#10 Ski Patrol 7-2                           27
#3 Dr. Settle’s Dream 12-1            26
#9 Speakinofthedevil 5-1              25

Dirt Selections

#9 Speakinofthedevil 5-1 1st $5.60
#16 Tivy 9-2 2nd $3.00 Ex $15.80
#15 Moving Pictures 6-1 4th
#2 Sway’sinmydna 50-1 scratched

Race 7:

#1 Gala Brand 7-2                         29 1st $7.80 Dbl $25
#7 Nomos 4-1                                28
#5 Get Spooled 10-1                     28 4th
#2 Spirit Prince 3-1                       27 3rd $2.90

Dirt Selections

#7 Nomos 4-1
#4 Market Street 8-1
#5 Get Spooled 10-1
#8 Carson’s Run 7-2

Race 8:

#5 G Munning 2-1                        28 4th
#3 Cicciobello 5-2                         27 1st $6.40
#2 Bank Frenzy 3-1                       26 2nd $4.80
#7 Leftembehind 10-1                  26

Race 9:

#5 Ice Road 5-2                              29
#4 Kunshan Bridge 6-1                 28 3rd $4.60
#7 Giroovin 9-2                               27 2nd $4.60
#1 Inevtabl Conection 4-1            27 scratched 

Race 10:

#9 You Gotta Have Fun 10-1         28
#8 Miss M M 9-2                              28
#5 Miss Bonnie T 5-2                      27
#2 Home for Christmas 10-1         26

Dirt Selections

#11 Howzyourcashflow 5-2
#12 Wishing On a Star 9-5
#9 You Gotta Have Fun 10-1
#3 Synonymous 20-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  9,1,10,4 Dirt: 3,2,8,10

Race 2:  1,4

Race 3:  5,6,1 Dirt: 10,9,6

Race 4:  1a,1

Race 5:  14,1,13,10

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,4,6,5

Race 3:  5,6,1,3 Dirt:  10,9,6,8

Race 4:  1a/1

Race 5:  14,1,13,10

$.50 Ticket:  $32 $41.25

Pick 4:

Race 4:  1a/1,6

Race 5:  14,1,13,10

Race 6:  4,10,3,9 Dirt: 9,16,15,2 *2 scratched using 9,16,15,4

Race 7:  1,7,5,2 Dirt:  7,4,5,8

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $153

Pick 6:

Race 5:  14,1,13,10

Race 6:  4,10,3 Dirt: 9,16,15

Race 7:  1,7 Dirt: 7,4

Race 8:  5

Race 9:  5,4

Race 10: 9,8,5 Dirt: 11,12,9 *9 scratched using 8,5,2

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  4,10,3,9 Dirt: 9,6,15,2 *2 scratched using 9,16,15,4

Race 7:  1,7,5,2 Dirt: 7,4,5,8

Race 8:  5,3

Race 9:  5,4,7

Race 10: 9,8,5 Dirt: 11,12,9 *9 scratched using 8,5,2

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  1,7,5,2 Dirt: 7,4,5,8

Race 8:  5,3,2,7

Race 9:  5,4,7,1

Race 10: 9,8,5 Dirt: 11,12,9 *9 scratched using 8,5,2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.