September 1st, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,837/19,637, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,010/19,637. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Wednesday/Thursday will be Free through the meet…Weekends will require the purchase of a pass…

*Middle Pick 4 for us last Saturday …$587 on a $48 ticket…

*Middle Pick 4 for us last Sunday…$1791.50 on a $64 ticket…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

*Visit the Membership Page to Purchase a “Weekend Pass”…$24.99 for Full Access to Saturday, Sunday, and Monday’s Saratoga Picks/Plays…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#9 Vesture 6-1 19
#1 Patriot Hills 10-1 18
#6 Reverend Moon 3-1 18 2nd $4.80
#4 Sanderson 8-1 17

Race 2:

#8 My Mane Squeeze 7-2 16 1st $8.20
#4 Munny Grab 5-1 15 4th
#2 Perfectly Mperfect 8-1 15
#1 Dolomite 5-2 14 2nd $3.00

Race 3:

#3 Khali Magic 2-1 29 3rd $2.60
#2 Security Code 7-2 28 1st $7.40
#5 Fancy Joke 5-2 28 4th
#7 Ok Honey 12-1 27

Race 4:

#5 Activist Investing (GB) 7-2 33 scratched
#2 Carl Spackler (IRE) 4-5 32 1st $2.50
#1 Taking Candy 8-1 32 2nd $3.30
#7 Lost Ark 8-1 31 3rd $3.50

Race 5:

#3 Sturdy 10-1 19 3rd $6.80
#9 Resilience 8-1 19
#5 Locked 6-5 18 1st $3.50
#6 Drum Roll Please 5-1 18

Race 6:

#3 Focus Pocus 3-1 17 2nd $3.70
#8 Unicorn Cake 6-1 16 1st $9.60 Ex $43.80
#9 Call Her Bluff 10-1 15 4th
#1 Ekwanok 5-1 15 3rd $3.60 Spr $1094

Race 7:

#4 Root Cause 3-1 28 scratched
#8 Expand the Map (IRE) 2-1 27 3rd $2.10
#6 Dear Lady 10-1 27
#1 Quarrel 6-1 26 1st $7.00

Race 8:

#2 American Law 5-2 29 3rd $3.00
#5 Gun Maestro 6-1 28
#1 Morning Cup 9-2 27 4th
#8 Forced Ranking 7-2 27 1st $10.40

Race 9:

#1 Icy Flavor 5-1 30
#3 King Moonracer 9-2 29
#9 Winners Laugh 5-1 28 3rd
#8 Disarmed 7-2 28

Race 10:

#10 Justice Department 3-1 28 3rd $3.60
#9 Deputy Connect 7-2 27 2nd $3.50
#5 Brooklyn Diamonds 9-2 26 1st $10.40 Tri $175.48
#7 Excess Demand 12-1 26

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 9,1,6,4

Race 2: 8,4,2,1

Race 3: 3,2,5

Race 4: 5,2 *5 scratched using 2,1

Race 5: 3,9,5

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 8,4,2,1

Race 3: 3,2,5,7

Race 4: 5,2 *5 scratched using 2,1

Race 5: 3,9,5,6

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 5,2 *5 scratched using 2,1

Race 5: 3,9,5,6

Race 6: 3,8,9,1

Race 7: 4,8,6,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 5: 3,9,5

Race 6: 3,8,9

Race 7: 4,8

Race 8: 2

Race 9: 1,3,9

Race 10: 10,9

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 3,8,9,1

Race 7: 4,8

Race 8: 2,5

Race 9: 1,3,9,8

Race 10: 10,9,5,7

$.50 Ticket: $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 4,8 *4 scratched using 8,6

Race 8: 2,5,1,8

Race 9: 1,3,9,8

Race 10: 10,9,5,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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