A Winning Day at the Races!
Archives: Free Picks & Plays
May 4th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,963/23,031 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,649/23,031. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#1 Poppy’s Ticket 5-2 16 3rd $3.30
#3 Tiote 6-5 15
#6 Terminal Velocity 6-1 14 4th
#4 College Hunk 15-1 13
Race 2:
#6 Bendoog 7-5 35 1st $2.90
#4 Classic Catch 7-2 34 3rd $2.70
#2 General Banker 5-1 33 4th
#1 Otello 9-2 32 scratched
Race 3:
#3 Love Appeals 5-2 34 4th
#2 Buttercream Babe 9-2 33 scratched
#5 Dontlookbackatall 9-5 32
#1 Weehawken 12-1 31
Dirt Selections
#8 Save Us Melania 8-5
#7 On Command 10-1
#3 Love Appeals 5-2
Race 4:
#2 Uncatalyzed (GB) 2-1 20 1st $5.30
#6 Noble Confessor 1-1 20 2nd $2.10
#1 Freedom Glider 6-1 19 scratched
#10 Just Bernie 30-1 18
Dirt Selections
#6 Noble Confessor 1-1
#11 Summit Ridge 6-5
#7 Spun 30-1
#12 Aerate 8-1
Race 5:
#5 General Partner 7-5 34 4th
#2 Strapped 8-1 32 3rd $7.40
#3 Pirate 9-2 31 scratched
#7 Holiday Pay 10-1 30 2nd $8.10
Race 6:
#8 Felix 3-1 33 1st $11.20
#3 Works for Me 5-2 32 2nd $2.80 Ex $29.80
#1 Boltage 8-1 32
#4 Cigarette Boat 9-2 31 4th
Dirt Selections
#9 Toxic Gray 2-1
#3 Works for Me 5-2
#10 What’s Up Bro 4-1
#12 Bramito 8-1
#2 Alder
Race 7:
#5 Haulin Ice 5-2 37 1st $6.00 Dbl $31.80
#1 R Disaster 5-1 36 2nd $4.60 Ex $25.40
#2 Almostgone Rocket 2-1 35
#4 St. Benedicts Prep 6-1 34 4th
Race 8:
#5 No Mo Candy 9-2 36 scratched
#9 Spaliday 8-1 36
#7 Dynamic Pricing (IRE) 7-2 35 1st $9.00
#1 Grayosh 3-1 34 4th
Dirt Selections
#5 No Mo Candy
#10 Amanda’s Folly
#3 Edict (ARG) 20-1
Race 9:
#1 Bishops Bay 2-1 38 1st $5.00
#7 Quint’s Brew 5-2 37 2nd $2.70 Ex $10.60
#2 Bank Frenzy 3-1 36 4th
#5 Worcester 8-1 35
Race 10:
#5 Train the Trainer 4-5 19 1st $3.20
#7 Come Full Circle 20-1 17
#8 Merica’s Back 3-1 16 2nd $3.40
#1 Executive Style 12-1 15
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 1,3
Race 2: 6,4,2
Race 3: 3,2,5 Dirt: 8,7,3
Race 4: 2,6 Dirt: 6,11
Race 5: 5,2,3,7
$.50 Ticket: $72
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 6,4
Race 3: 3,2,5,1 Dirt: 8,7,3
Race 4: 2,6,1 Dirt: 6,11,7
Race 5: 5,2,3
$.50 Ticket: $36
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 3,2,5 Dirt: 8,7,3
Race 4: 2,6 Dirt: 6,11
Race 5: 5,2,3
Race 6: 8,3 Dirt: 9,3
Race 7: 5,1,2
$.50 Ticket: $54
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 2,6 Dirt: 6,11
Race 5: 5,2,3,7
Race 6: 8,3,1,4 Dirt: 9,3,10,12
Race 7: 5,1,2,4
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 6:
Race 5: 5,2,3
Race 6: 8,3 Dirt: 9,3
Race 7: 5
Race 8: 5,9,7 Dirt: 5,10,3
Race 9: 1,7
Race 10: 5
$1.00 Ticket: $36
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 8,3 Dirt: 9,3
Race 7: 5,1,2
Race 8: 5,9,7,1 Dirt: 5,10,3
Race 9: 1,7,2
Race 10: 5,7,8
$.50 Ticket: $108 $290.50
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 5,1,2
Race 8: 5,9,7,1 Dirt: 5,10,3
Race 9: 1,7,2
Race 10: 5,7,8
$.50 Ticket: $54 $56.62
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
May 3rd, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,963/23,031 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,649/23,031. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#1 Kadabra 1-1 19 1st $2.60
#5 Always Ready 5-2 18 4th
#3 Nacho Problem 4-1 16 3rd $2.20
#4 Gena B 7-2 15 2nd $4.10
Race 2:
#5 No No Joe 8-5 28 3rd $2.20
#6 Paxsational 2-1 27 1st $4.00
#4 Six Kings 10-1 26
#2 Charlie’s Express 4-1 25 2nd $6.50
Race 3:
#6 Ari’s Magic 2-1 28 scratched
#5 Miles and Miles 5-2 27 2nd
#2 Go Irish 5-1 26 1st $3.80
#1 Tarpaulin 9-2 26 scratched
Race 4:
#5 Accidental Bid 10-1 27
#2 Mr. Mendelssohn 6-1 27
#7 Gimme Gimme 3-1 26
#1 Prince of Truth 9-5 26
Race 5:
#7 Magic Beach 2-1 14
#2 Ridolfi 4-1 12
#3 Sittin Chilly 3-1 11
#1a Nine N Four 9-2 11
Race 6:
#9 Currane 6-1 16
#5 Rad Llama 5-1 15
#3 Mommy’s Turn 9-2 15
#8 Willful Mama 3-1 14
Dirt Selections
#8 Willful Mama 3-1
#13 Our Preferred Pal 6-1
#14 Farm House 7-2
#1a Patience N Grace 10-1
#5 Rad Llama 5-1
Race 7:
#9 Alogon 9-2 37
#1 Nothing Better 3-1 36
#4 Apollo Ten 6-1 34
#3 Shards 10-1 33
Dirt Selections
#11 Surveillance 8-5
#7 Bold Journey 15-1
#12 Unlimitedpotential 4-1
Race 8:
#2 Cees Get Degrees 7-5 30
#3 Joking Way 7-2 28
#7 Charging Aero 5-1 28
#4 Jake Rocks 6-1 27
Race 9:
#8 Ori 5-2 32
#4 Scarlet Poppy (IRE) 4-1 30
#2 Highland Light 5-1 29
#5 Anileate 30-1 28
Dirt Selections
#13 Save Us Melania 2-1
#16 Patty Van Twinkle 7-2
#14 Bells Beach 5-2
Race 10:
#3 Deterministic 3-1 35
#4 Carson’s Run 2-1 34
#2 Master Piece (CHI) 7-2 33
#5 Tuscan Sky 9-2 32
Dirt Selections
#5 Tuscan Sky 9-2
#3 Deterministic 3-1
#6 Magnolia Midnight 5-1
Race 11:
#1 Bronx Bomber 2-1 26
#4 Hot Rod Rumble 6-1 25
#2 Allure of Money 7-2 24
#5 Honorary Degree 5-2 23
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 1,5,3,4
Race 2: 5,6
Race 3: 6,5
Race 4: 5,2,7,1
Race 5: 7,2,3
$.50 Ticket: $96
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 5,6
Race 3: 6,5,2,1
Race 4: 5,2,7,1
Race 5: 7,2,3,1a/1
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (4-8):
Race 4: 5,2,7,1
Race 5: 7,2,3,1a/1
Race 6: 9,5,3,8 Dirt: 8,13,14,1a
Race 7: 9,1,4 Dirt: 11,7,12
Race 8: 2
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 4 (5-8):
Race 5: 7,2,3,1a/1
Race 6: 9,5,3,8 Dirt: 8,13,14,1a
Race 7: 9,1,4 Dirt: 11,7,12
Race 8: 2,3
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 6:
Race 6: 9,5,3,8 Dirt: 8,13,14,1a
Race 7: 9,1 Dirt: 11,7
Race 8: 2
Race 9: 8,4,2 Dirt: 13,16,14
Race 10: 3,4 Dirt: 5,3,6
Race 11: 1,4,2,5
$1.00 Ticket: $192
Late Pick 5:
Race 7: 9,1,4 Dirt: 11,7,12
Race 8: 2,3
Race 9: 8,4,2 Dirt: 13,16,14
Race 10: 3,4,2 Dirt: 5,3,6
Race 11: 1,4,2,5
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 8: 2,3
Race 9: 8,4,2,5 Dirt: 13,16,14
Race 10: 3,4,2,5 Dirt: 5,3,6
Race 11: 1,4,2,5
$.50 Ticket: $64
Churchill Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#8 Sansone 6-1 20 3rd $3.78
#12 Chillax 5-1 19 2nd $5.40
#11 Coffee Talk 4-1 19
#10 Knicks Gate 15-1 18
Race 2:
#4 Home Game 6-1 32
#5 Tapit Quick 5-1 31 3rd $4.06
#10 Generous Lover 7-2 31 2nd $3.34
#7 Normandy Queen 9-2 30 4th
Race 3:
#2 Bracket Buster 6-1 34
#3 Valentinian 6-1 33 4th
#11 Sorcerer’s Silver 8-1 32
#5 Goal Oriented 4-1 32 1st $4.62
Race 4:
#10 Implementation 6-1 36 scratched
#3 Accretive 6-1 35
#13 New King 12-1 35
#11 Inveigled 10-1 34 4th
Race 5:
#5 Five Towns (GB) 10-1 37 4th
#2 Movin’ On Up 5-1 36 3rd $3.58
#4 Serene Seraph (IRE) 20-1 35
#6 Sacred Wish 3-1 35
Dirt Selections
#6 Sacred Wish 3-1
#4 Serene Seraph (IRE) 20-1
#2 Movin’ On Up 5-1
Race 6:
#6 Gaming 3-1 39
#5 Gate to Wire 6-1 38
#4 Smoken Wicked 12-1 37
#1 Madaket Road 2-1 36
Race 7:
#8 Rogue Lighting (IRE) 7-2 42
#7 Think Big 4-1 41
#2 Ambivalent 12-1 40
#5 Arrest Me Red 6-1 40
Dirt Selections
#1 Coppola 10-1
#7 Think Big 4-1
#12 Mischievous Rogue 20-1
#6 Run Carson
Race 8:
#4 Giant Mischief 8-1 43
#2 Banishing 5-1 42
#7 Mindframe 3-1 41
#6 Extra Anejo 12-1 41
Race 9:
#5 Test Score 10-1 34
#7 Zulu Kingdom (IRE) 4-1 33
#10 Iron Man Cal 9-2 32
#2 Scipio 12-1 32
Dirt Selections
#4 Mi Bago 10-1
#18 Discreet Dancer 20-1
#9 Giocoso 30-1
#11 Classic of Course 20-1
Race 10:
#11 Positano Sunset 12-1 44
#9 Emery 6-1 43
#5 Haulin Ice 15-1 42
#2 Kopion 8-1 41
Race 11:
#2 Gold Phoenix (IRE) 10-1 42
#7 Running Bee 5-1 42
#8 Cameo Performance 20-1 41
#6 Taking Candy 8-1 41
Dirt Selections
#10 Spirit of St Louis 9-2
#12 Gigante 15-1
#9 Mercante 10-1
Race 12:
#12 East Avenue 20-1 39
#21 Baeza 12-1 38
#8 Journalism 3-1 38
#13 Publisher 30-1 37
Race 13:
#9 Romanesque 5-1 34
#7 Multiverse 12-1 33
#14 Big Truzz 9-2 33
#11 Patch Adams 5-2 32
Race 14:
#14 Mainstream 7-2 19
#5 Advanced Spirit 5-1 18
#8 Harbe 12-1 18
#10 Excite 12-1 17
Churchill Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 8,12,11,10
Race 2: 4,5,10,7
Race 3: 2,3,11,5
Race 4: 10,3
Race 5: 5,2,4,6 Dirt: 6,4,2
$.50 Ticket: $256
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 4,5,10
Race 3: 2,3,11,5
Race 4: 10,3,13,11
Race 5: 5,2,4,6 Dirt: 6,4,2
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 2,3,11,5
Race 4: 10,3,13,11
Race 5: 5,2,4,6 Dirt: 6,4,2
Race 6: 6,5
Race 7: 8,7,2 Dirt: 1,7,12
$.50 Ticket: $192
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 10,3,13,11
Race 5: 5,2,4,6 Dirt: 6,4,2
Race 6: 6,5,4,1
Race 7: 8,7 Dirt: 1,7
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 5,2,4,6 Dirt: 6,4,2
Race 6: 6,5,4,1
Race 7: 8,7 Dirt: 1,7
Race 8: 4,2,7
Race 9: 5,7,10 Dirt: 4,18,9
$.50 Ticket: $144
Pick 4 (6-9):
Race 6: 6,5,4,1
Race 7: 8,7,2,5 Dirt: 1,7,12,6
Race 8: 4,2,7
Race 9: 5,7,10,2 Dirt: 4,18,9,11
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 7: 8,7,2,5 Dirt: 1,7,12,6
Race 8: 4,2,7
Race 9: 5,7,10,2 Dirt: 4,18,9,11
Race 10: 11,9,5 *5 scratched using 11,9,2
Race 11: 2,7,8,6 Dirt: 10,12,9
Race 12: 12,21
$.20 Ticket: $230.40
Pick 5 (8-12):
Race 8: 4,2,7,6
Race 9: 5,7,10 Dirt: 4,18,9,11
Race 10: 11,9,5,2 *5 scratched using 11,9,2,1
Race 11: 2,7,8,6 Dirt: 10,12,9
Race 12: 12
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 4 (9-12):
Race 9: 5,7,10,2 Dirt: 4,18,9,11
Race 10: 11,9,5,2 *5 scratched using 11,9,2,1
Race 11: 2,7,8,6 Dirt: 10,12,9
Race 12: 12,21,8
$.50 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 5:
Race 10: 11,9,5,2 *5 scratched using 11,9,2,1
Race 11: 2,7,8,6 Dirt: 10,12,9
Race 12: 12,21,8,13
Race 13: 9,7,14,11
Race 14: 14
$.50 Ticket: $128
Late Pick 4:
Race 11: 2,7,8,6 Dirt: 10,12,9
Race 12: 12,21,8,13
Race 13: 9,7,14,11
Race 14: 14,5
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
May 2nd, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,950/23,009 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,636/23,009. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#5 Beira 7-5 27 1st $4.40
#4 Yo Leven 9-5 26 2nd $3.40 Ex $14.00
#1 Rodeo Star 10-1 25
#6 Welcome Back Babe 4-1 24 4th
Race 2:
#3 Peek 6-5 29 2nd $2.70
#2 Sundaeswithsandy 7-2 28 3rd $2.40
#4 Castle Island 4-1 27 1st $13.20 Tri $45.40
#1a Celestial Moon 9-2 26 4th Spr $99
Race 3:
#4 Beach Bomb (SAF) 2-1 35 2nd $2.80
#2 Silvology 3-1 34 3rd $3.10
#5 La Mehana (FR) 5-2 33 4th
#1 Bellezza (IRE) 3-1 32 1st $22.40 Spr $279
Race 4:
#5 Mozambique 7-2 17 scratched
#2 Counter Move 7-5 16 3rd $2.10
#6 Vitalize 3-1 15 4th
#1 Palace Boss 5-1 14 1st $9.90
Race 5:
#6 Java Buzz 6-1 28
#7 Musical Maestro 8-1 27
#4 I See You Lookin 15-1 27 3rd $5.90
#2 Cool Hand Rich 8-1 26
Race 6:
#7 Equus 6-1 28
#2 Pistol Liz Ablazen 2-1 28
#1 Willow Bend 3-1 27
#3 Our Liberty Belle 8-1 26
Race 7:
#3 Short Shift 4-1 27
#4 Echo in Eternity 8-1 26
#5 Snappin Buttons 7-2 26
#1 Jackson’s Dixie 5-2 25
Race 8:
#3 Summer Whirl 5-1 29
#10 Spool 6-1 28
#4 Tongue Twister 8-1 27
#2 Firsttimeinforever 5-2 26
Race 9:
#10 Consumer Sentiment 4-1 18
#8 Mendee 5-1 17
#7 More for Sure (IRE) 9-2 16
#4 Sota Summers 3-1 16
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 5,4
Race 2: 3,2,4,1a/1
Race 3: 4,2,5
Race 4: 5,2 *5 scratched using 2,6
Race 5: 6,7,4,2
$.50 Ticket: $96
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 3,2,4,1a/1
Race 3: 4,2,5,1
Race 4: 5,2 *5 scratched using 2,6
Race 5: 6,7,4,2
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 4 (3-6):
Race 3: 4,2,5,1
Race 4: 5,2,6,1
Race 5: 6,7,4,2
Race 6: 7,2,1
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 4: 5,2 *5 scratched using 2,6
Race 5: 6,7,4,2
Race 6: 7,2
Race 7: 3,4,5
Race 8: 3,10
Race 9: 10
$1.00 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 6,7,4,2
Race 6: 7,2,1
Race 7: 3,4,5,1
Race 8: 3,10,4,2
Race 9: 10
$.50 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 7,2,1
Race 7: 3,4,5,1
Race 8: 3,10,4,2
Race 9: 10,8,7,4
$.50 Ticket: $96
Churchill Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#4 Chasten 2-1 32 2nd $3.04
#3 Shred the Gnar 5-2 31 1st $3.76
#1 Anonima 3-1 30 scratched
#5 Sierra November 8-1 29 scratched
Race 2:
#9 Salted 3-1 19
#3 Saucier 6-1 18 4th
#1 Joyous Song 12-1 18
#4 Defiant Lass 4-1 17 1st $11.80
Race 3:
#11 Vivaldi 5-1 19 2nd $4.64
#10 Some Performance 9-2 19 4th
#3 Profound 4-1 18
#2 Tom Collins 8-1 18
Dirt Selections
#1 Elko County 6-1
#14 Its Bourbon Thirty 8-1
#15 Ambition 10-1
#3 Profound 4-1
#4 Spill the Wine 20-1
Race 4:
#7 Beauty Reigns 9-2 31 1st $14.86
#9 Mindy’s Union 8-1 30
#3 Stable Currency 7-2 29 3rd $2.34
#10 Foie Gras 6-1 29 2nd $5.20
Race 5:
#8 Will Then 9-2 34
#5 Nitrogen 8-5 33 1st $3.94
#2 Vixen 3-1 32 3rd $2.42
#4 Aterradora (IRE) 15-1 31 4th
Dirt Selections
#1 Gowells Delight 10-1
#5 Nitrogen 8-5
#6 Hideaway 15-1
#3 Admit 20-1
Race 6:
#5 Most Wanted 7-2 42 2nd $5.16
#2 Locked 2-1 41 4th
#4 Fierceness 6-5 40 1st $3.88
#3 Hall of Fame 4-1 39 3rd $3.56 Spr $81.78
Race 7:
#4 Raging Sea 9-2 39 1st $10.08
#2 Thorpedo Anna 2-5 39
#5 Randomized 6-1 37 3rd $6.24
#1 Dorth Vader 30-1 35 4th
Race 8:
#8 Saffron Moon 3-1 37 3rd $2.34
#7 She Feels Pretty 6-5 36 1st $3.58
#2 Gimme a Nother 7-2 35 2nd $3.30
#3 Segesta 9-2 34 4th
Dirt Selections
#8 Saffron Moon 3-1
#3 Segesta 9-2
#1 Waves of Mischief 20-1
#4 Pin Up Betty 12-1
Race 9:
#10 Impulse Buy 7-2 35
#12 Eclatant 5-2 34
#6 Kimchi Cat 15-1 33
#5 Verity 3-1 33
Race 10:
#3 Gavea (GER) 15-1 38
#5 Epona’s Hope 6-1 38
#4 Ag Bullet 8-5 37
#7 Crown Imperial 12-1 36
Dirt Selections
#5 Epona’s Hope 6-1
#8 Asternia 20-1
#6 Bling 8-1
#4 Ag Bullet 8-5
Race 11:
#2 Simply Joking (PA) 10-1 40
#7 La Cara 6-1 39
#11 Good Cheer 6-5 39
#6 Ballerina d’Oro 10-1 38
Race 12:
#6 Into Pleasure 9-2 34
#2 Lat Long 8-1 33
#7 Resilience 7-2 33
#10 Not This Boy 4-1 32
Race 13:
#12 Cue the Duckboats 8-1 19
#10 Chaching Chaching 7-2 18
#3 Ivory and Ebony 5-1 18
#7 La Neige 10-1 17
Churchill Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 4,3,1
Race 2: 9,3,1,4
Race 3: 11,10,3 Dirt: 1,14,15
Race 4: 7,9,3
Race 5: 8,5 Dirt: 1,5
$.50 Ticket: $108
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 9,3,1,4
Race 3: 11,10,3,2 Dirt: 1,14,15,3
Race 4: 7,9,3,10
Race 5: 8,5,2 Dirt: 1,5,6
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 11,10,3 Dirt: 1,14,15
Race 4: 7,9,3
Race 5: 8,5,2 Dirt: 1,5,6
Race 6: 5,2,4
Race 7: 4,2
$.50 Ticket: $81
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 7,9,3,10
Race 5: 8,5,2,4 Dirt: 1,5,6,3
Race 6: 5,2,4
Race 7: 4,2
$.50 Ticket: $48 $89.69
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 8,5,2,4 Dirt: 1,5,6,3
Race 6: 5,2,4
Race 7: 4,2,5
Race 8: 8,7 Dirt: 8,3
Race 9: 10,12,6,5
$.50 Ticket: $144
Pick 6:
Race 6: 5,2,4
Race 7: 4,2
Race 8: 8,7,2 Dirt: 8,3,1
Race 9: 10,12,6,5
Race 10: 3,5,4 Dirt: 5,8,6
Race 11: 2,7,11
$.20 Ticket: $129.60
Pick 5 (7-11):
Race 7: 4,2,5
Race 8: 8,7,2 Dirt: 8,3,1
Race 9: 10,12,6,5
Race 10: 3,5,4,7 Dirt: 5,8,6,4
Race 11: 2,7,11
$.50 Ticket: $216
Pick 4 (8-11):
Race 8: 8,7 Dirt: 8,3
Race 9: 10,12,6,5
Race 10: 3,5,4,7 Dirt: 5,8,6,4
Race 11: 2,7,11,6
$.50 Ticket: $64
Late Pick 5:
Race 9: 10,12,6,5
Race 10: 3,5,4,7 Dirt: 5,8,6,4
Race 11: 2,7,11,6
Race 12: 6,2,7
Race 13: 12,10,3
$.50 Ticket: $288
Late Pick 4:
Race 10: 3,5,4 Dirt: 5,8,6
Race 11: 2,7,11
Race 12: 6,2,7,10
Race 13: 12,10,3,7
$.50 Ticket: $72
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
May 1st, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,947/23,001 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,634/23,001. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Friday & Saturday’s Churchill Downs Oaks/Derby Full Card Picks/Plays will be posted here in addition to Aqueduct on both days…
*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#2 Cupid’s Heart 7-5 32 3rd $2.10
#1 Tipple 5-2 31 scratched
#4 Golden Degree 4-1 30 2nd $4.00
#6 Caldwell Luvs Gold 4-1 30 1st $7.30 Tri $40.80
Race 2:
#5 Book of Wisdom 6-1 27 4th
#3 Harlan’s Bond 7-2 26
#2 Dashing Della 5-1 25 2nd $7.00
#1 Despo’s Dream 6-1 24
Race 3:
#2 Goldfire 7-2 28
#6 Golden Purchase 6-1 27
#9 Sunday Gilt 5-1 27
#3 Iron Man Ira 3-1 26
Race 4:
#7 Irish Jackson 6-1 27
#5 Gone and Forgotten 3-1 27
#9 My First Love 4-1 26
#4 Spiritual Lady 6-1 25
Race 5:
#3 Total Sensation 5-1 17
#2 Nantz 4-1 16
#9 Honor the Bull 10-1 15
#1 Dark Devil 3-1 15
Race 6:
#5 Linarite 7-2 28
#1 Quick Power Nap 9-2 27
#4 Marian Cross (GB) 3-1 26
#2 Duboff 15-1 26
Race 7:
#4 Cassiar 3-1 33
#1 Scottish Lasie 8-5 32
#3 Vanilla Sundae 8-1 31
#7 Little Margaret 9-2 30
Race 8:
#10 Lakeside Getaway 4-1 29
#6 Big Beautiful (IRE) 7-5 28
#5 Bottle Rocket (FR) 6-1 27
#9 Determined Princess 6-1 27
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 2,1 *1 scratched using 2,4
Race 2: 5,3,2
Race 3: 2,6,9,3
Race 4: 7,5,9
Race 5: 3,2,9,1
$.50 Ticket: $144
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 5,3,2
Race 3: 2,6,9,3
Race 4: 7,5,9,4
Race 5: 3,2,9,1
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 3: 2,6,9
Race 4: 7,5,9
Race 5: 3,2
Race 6: 5,1
Race 7: 4,1
Race 8: 10,6
$1.00 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 5:
Race 4: 7,5,9,4
Race 5: 3,2,9,1
Race 6: 5,1,4
Race 7: 4,1
Race 8: 10,6,5
$.50 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 4:
Race 5: 3,2,9,1
Race 6: 5,1,4,2
Race 7: 4,1,3,7
Race 8: 10,6
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
April 27th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,940/22,992 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,639/22,992. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*6 on top winners last Saturday at Keeneland …
*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#5 Khafre 3-1 28 1st $8.50
#2 O P Firecracker 8-5 27 2nd $3.10 Ex $18.60
#6 Retail Man 12-1 26 4th
#4 Commandperformance 5-1 26
Race 2:
#2 Fortuna Mia 9-2 29
#5 Briland 7-5 29 4th
#1 Army Gal 5-2 28 2nd $5.00
#3 Twirling Beauty 5-1 27
Race 3:
#4 Runandscore 2-1 30 3rd $3.30
#2 Waralo 4-1 28 4th
#6 Stewie 4-1 28 2nd $3.60
#1 Messi the Magician 20-1 27
Race 4:
#5 Smooth Breeze 5-2 29 1st $4.90
#9 Pay the Juice 4-1 28 3rd $4.30
#6 Royal Browne 5-1 28
#4 Courtly Banker 6-1 27 4th
Dirt Selections
#9 Pay the Juice 4-1
#7 Willintoriskitall 10-1
#1 I’m Solo N in Love 15-1
Race 5:
#1 Floy Joy 15-1 17
#12 Bodegas 12-1 16
#7 Mommy’s Turn 5-1 15
#2 Perugia 5-2 15
Dirt Selections
#12 Bodegas 12-1
#15 Lollipops 7-2
#2 Perugia 5-2 1st $4.70
#7 Mommy’s Turn 5-1 scratched
#6 Sunshine Lily 12-1 2nd $4.50
Race 6:
#4 Top Spin Ace 5-1 18 4th
#8 Dear Moon 7-2 18 2nd $4.00
#6 Kay Cup 5-2 17 1st $3.40
#5 Munnings Express 4-1 17 3rd $2.60 Spr $77.40
Race 7:
#7 Cornucopian 3-5 36 2nd
#3 Garamond 5-1 34 1st $7.70
#4 Keewaydin 9-2 33 scratched
#5 Sand Devil 6-1 32 scratched
Race 8:
#5 Opulent Restraint 5-1 33 2nd $3.80
#2 Laurelin (IRE) 2-1 32 1st $6.90 Ex $20.00
#9 Virgin Colada 5-2 32 3rd $2.40 Tri $52.00
#7 Love Cervere 6-1 31 scratched
Dirt Selections
#10 Bernieandtherose 8-5
Race 9:
#9 Leon Blue 2-1 16
#11 Cousin Ed 5-1 15
#3 Rhyton 9-2 15
#6 Nothingbutnitro 30-1 14
Dirt Selections
#15 Mozambique 5-2 scratched
#7 No Problem 8-1
#5 Eighty Gold 20-1
#9 Leon Blue 2-1 1st $7.50
#16 Kings and Queens 8-1
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 5,2
Race 2: 2,5,1,3
Race 3: 4,2,6
Race 4: 5,9,6 Dirt: 9,7,1
Race 5: 1,12,7,2 Dirt: 12,15,2,6
$.50 Ticket: $144
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 2,5,1
Race 3: 4,2,6
Race 4: 5,9,6 Dirt: 9,7,1
Race 5: 1,12,7,2 Dirt: 12,15,2,6
$.50 Ticket: $54
Pick 4 (3-6):
Race 3: 4,2,6,1
Race 4: 5,9,6,4 Dirt: 9,7,1
Race 5: 1,12,7,2 Dirt: 12,15,2,6
Race 6: 4,8,6
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 4: 5,9 Dirt: 9,7
Race 5: 1,12,7,2 Dirt: 12,15,2,6
Race 6: 4,8,6
Race 7: 7
Race 8: 5,2 Dirt: 10
Race 9: 9,11 Dirt: 7,5
$1.00 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 1,12,7,2 Dirt: 12,15,2,6
Race 6: 4,8,6,5
Race 7: 7,3
Race 8: 5,2,9 Dirt: 10
Race 9: 9,11,3 Dirt: 7,5,9
$.50 Ticket: $144 $365.50
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 4,8,6,5
Race 7: 7,3
Race 8: 5,2,9,7 Dirt: 10
Race 9: 9,11,3,6 Dirt: 7,5,9,16
$.50 Ticket: $64 $64.12
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
April 26th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,930/22,972 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,633/22,972. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*6 on top winners last Saturday at Keeneland…
*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…
Churchill Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#7 Synthesis 7-2 29 *Best Bet scratched
#1 Tiberius Mercurius 4-1 28
#8 Hoodlum 3-1 27 2nd $3.00
#5 Peruvian Lucky 5-1 26
Race 2:
#4 Justifiable Belle 3-1 32 scratched
#7 No Mo Candy 2-1 32 scratched
#5 Mission of Joy 9-5 31 1st $3.18
#3 Lucky Speech 5-1 30 2nd $3.00 Ex $13.92
Dirt Selections
#7 No Mo Candy 2-1
#3 Lucky Speech 5-1
#2 Neverwalkalone (BRZ) 10-1
#4 Justifiable Belle 3-1
Race 3:
#6 Beach Bunny 15-1 27
#7 Creative Quality 5-2 26 3rd $2.76
#2 Bolt On the Rocks 5-1 25 1st $14.62
#8 Big Dig 4-1 25 4th
Race 4:
#4 Outrageously 12-1 29 scratched
#6 Sundance Feature 2-1 29 2nd $2.22
#5 Twirl Around 7-2 28 1st $13.56 Ex $26.40
#3 Sam’s Treasure 3-1 27 scratched
Race 5:
#4 Carolo Rapido 5-2 28 1st $4.02
#3 Our Dream Rye’d 5-1 27 4th
#2 Mucho Mojo 4-1 26 3rd $2.96
#7 Evening News 5-1 26 2nd $7.66 Spr $420.40
Race 6:
#4 Tapakena 4-1 16 4th
#9 Daiquiri Sommelier 10-1 15
#2 Shadow Coast 5-1 14 3rd $4.02
#3 Holster 9-2 14 1st $10.42
Race 7:
#6 Ashes and Diamonds 9-2 18 4th
#8 Vino Tiempo 5-1 17 1st $7.08
#2 Plaza Cue 5-2 17 scratched
#4 Churning Berni 4-1 16 3rd $2.60
Race 8:
#4 Bread to Run 9-2 28 1st $14.98
#9 Life Advice 5-1 27 2nd $5.28 Ex $65.86
#8 Angel of Faith 4-1 27 3rd $3.98 Tri $373.96
#7 Cheyenne Moon 15-1 26
Dirt Selections
#8 Angel of Faith 4-1
#7 Cheyenne Moon 15-1
#9 Life Advice 5-1
#3 Faire Plaisir 8-1
Race 9:
#6 Harbor Springs 3-1 33
#1 Non Violence 9-2 32
#5 Miuccia 8-1 31
#7 Girls Weekend 12-1 30
Race 10:
#7 Where Y’at 15-1 19
#2 Outdoor Cat 12-1 18
#3 Evan On Earth 7-5 18
#1 Studeny 6-1 17
Churchill Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 7,1,8 *7 scratched using 1,8,5
Race 2: 4,7,5 Dirt: 7,3,2 *4,7 scratched using 5,3
Race 3: 6,7,2,8
Race 4: 4,6,5
Race 5: 4,3
$.50 Ticket: $108
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 4,7,5,3 Dirt: 7,3,2,4 *4,7 scratched using 5,3
Race 3: 6,7,2,8
Race 4: 4,6,5
Race 5: 4,3,2
$.50 Ticket: $72 $113.15
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 6,7,2,8
Race 4: 4,6,5,3
Race 5: 4,3
Race 6: 4,9,2
Race 7: 6,8,2 *2 scratched using 6,8,4
$.50 Ticket: $144
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 4,6,5,3
Race 5: 4,3,2,7
Race 6: 4,9,2,3
Race 7: 6,8,2 *2 scratched using 6,8,4
$.50 Ticket: $96 $224.56
Pick 6:
Race 5: 4,3,2,7
Race 6: 4,9,2,3
Race 7: 6,8,2 *2 scratched using 6,8,4
Race 8: 4,9,8 Dirt: 8,7,9
Race 9: 6,1
Race 10: 7,2,3,1
$.20 Ticket: $230.40
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 4,9,2,3
Race 7: 6,8,2,4
Race 8: 4,9,8 Dirt: 8,7,9
Race 9: 6,1
Race 10: 7,2,3,1
$.50 Ticket: $192
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 6,8,2,4
Race 8: 4,9,8 Dirt: 8,7,9
Race 9: 6,1,5,7
Race 10: 7,2,3 *3 scratched using 7,2,1
$.50 Ticket: $72
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
April 25th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,927/22,964 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,629/22,964. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*6 on top winners last Saturday at Keeneland…
*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#4 Will Be Famous 4-1 32 2nd $12.80
#3 Proud Foot 3-1 31 4th
#1 La Banquera 3-5 31
#1a Save Us Melania 3-5 30 scratched
Race 2:
#3 Global Charmer 5-2 13 scratched
#4 Ah Ca Ira 7-5 12 1st $4.00
#2 Immigration Law 10-1 11 2nd $11.20 Ex $29.80
#1 Calling an Audible 9-5 10 3rd $2.10 Tri $41.80
Race 3:
#5 Naive Melody 5-2 30 1st $6.20 Dbl $13.80
#7 Three B’s 6-1 29 3rd $3.80
#1 Vekinda 9-2 29 2nd $3.30 Tri $104.48
#2 Village Person 5-1 28 scratched
Race 4:
#2 Valenzan Day 2-1 27 3rd $2.60
#3 Ice Road 8-5 26
#1 Catch the Smoke 6-1 25 2nd $5.30
#6 Co Conspirator 15-1 24 4th
Race 5:
#6 Last Mango 9-2 14 1st $10.60
#7 Solve the Puzzle 5-2 13 4th
#1 Lumenique 5-1 12
#3 Melancia 5-1 12 scratched
Race 6:
#6 Draft Riots 5-1 18 3rd $4.20
#1 Playing Tricks 4-1 17 2nd $3.90
#2 Orgonite 12-1 17
#4 Protected 5-1 16 1st $22.60
Race 7:
#3 Leo’s Reward 15-1 29 3rd $4.60
#10 Attorney Wade 8-1 29
#8 Bosun 5-2 28 2nd $3.20
#12 Not for Hire 4-1 28
Race 8:
#7 Sir Oscar 5-2 18 scratched
#11 Hello Newman 12-1 17 4th
#5 Coach Case 9-2 16 2nd $3.30
#4 Ataturk 8-1 16
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 4,3,1/1a
Race 2: 3,4 *3 scratched using 4,2
Race 3: 5,7,1,2
Race 4: 2,3
Race 5: 6,7,1,3
$.50 Ticket: $96
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 3,4,2,1
Race 3: 5,7,1,2
Race 4: 2,3
Race 5: 6,7,1,3
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 6:
Race 3: 5,7,1
Race 4: 2,3
Race 5: 6,7
Race 6: 6,1,2,4
Race 7: 3,10,8
Race 8: 7 *7 scratched using 11
$1.00 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 5:
Race 4: 2,3
Race 5: 6,7,1,3
Race 6: 6,1,2,4
Race 7: 3,10,8
Race 8: 7,11,5 *7 scratched using 11,5,4
$.50 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 4:
Race 5: 6,7
Race 6: 6,1,2,4
Race 7: 3,10,8,12
Race 8: 7,11,5,4
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
April 24th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,923/22,956 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,626/22,956. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*6 on top winners last Saturday at Keeneland…
*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#3 Light Thoughts 4-1 24
#4 Ada May 2-1 24 2nd $3.70
#1a Yayi Nikolle 5-2 23
#5 Just Words 6-1 22 3rd $5.40
Race 2:
#4 Dialbolico 3-5 14 1st $2.40
#5 Daw Samaa 10-1 12 4th
#1 Henry’s Hope 6-1 10 2nd $2.80
#6 Hey Cat 3-1 9 scratched
Race 3:
#2 Danneel 7-2 24 3rd $3.00
#1 She’s Wicked Smart 9-5 23 1st $4.50
#4 Alley’s Song 7-2 22
#5 Dream On Cara 3-1 21 2nd $3.10
Race 4:
#5 La Grotte 5-1 26
#3 Whistler’s Style 9-5 26 1st $4.70
#6 Troubled Luck 12-1 25
#2 Karen’s Honor 6-1 24 3rd $3.50
Race 5:
#3 Omaha Pistol 2-1 15 2nd $3.00
#7 Allofasuddenlee 7-2 14
#6 Skippy Town 6-1 14
#1 Consider It Done 9-2 13 1st $8.40
Race 6:
#4 Unlimitedpotential 9-5 31 1st $7.50
#2 Skylander 3-1 30 3rd $3.30
#6 Burninhunkoflove 9-2 29 2nd $3.00 Tri $52
#5 Quick Hammer 5-2 28 4th Spr $61
Race 7:
#8 She’s Our Tiz 3-1 28 3rd $4.70
#11 Sinead 7-2 28
#4 Miss Bourbon 12-1 27
#12 Slightly Busy 12-1 26 1st $26.00
Race 8:
#10 Practical Romance 3-1 16
#11 Argentiera 30-1 15
#8 One More Dance 8-1 15
#6 Castledell 12-1 14
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 3,4,1a/1,5
Race 2: 4
Race 3: 2,1,4,5
Race 4: 5,3,6,2
Race 5: 3,7
$.50 Ticket: $64
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 4,5,1,6
Race 3: 2,1,4,5
Race 4: 5,3,6,2
Race 5: 3,7
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 6:
Race 3: 2,1
Race 4: 5,3
Race 5: 3,7
Race 6: 4,2
Race 7: 8,11
Race 8: 10
$1.00 Ticket: $32
Late Pick 5:
Race 4: 5,3,6,2
Race 5: 3,7
Race 6: 4,2,6,5
Race 7: 8,11
Race 8: 10,11,8,6
$.50 Ticket: $128
Late Pick 4:
Race 5: 3,7,6,1
Race 6: 4,2
Race 7: 8,11,4,12
Race 8: 10,11,8,6
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
April 23rd, 2024 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,917/22,948 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,620/22,948. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*6 on top winners last Saturday at Keeneland…
*Wednesday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#4 Silo Ridge 8-5 29 2nd $2.70
#2 Light the Way 2-1 28 1st $9.40 Ex $15.80
#3 J D Factor 3-1 28 3rd $2.20 Tri $34.00
#1 Vinsanity 4-1 27
Race 2:
#1 My Last Mission 3-1 31 1st $6.60
#4 Baron of Sealand 7-2 30 scratched
#1a Hagrid’s Flame 3-1 30 scratched
#5 Land d’Oro 3-1 29 4th
Race 3:
#5 Accidental Bid 3-1 27 3rd $3.60
#4 On the Ledge 5-2 26 1st $4.90
#3 Wajda 9-5 25 4th
#2 One Vision 10-1 24
Race 4:
#5 Vehemente 3-1 28 1st $4.40
#4 Blue Eyed Scout 3-1 27 4th
#3 Taliesin 8-1 26
#2 Cdakhat (IRE) 6-1 26 3rd $3.50
Race 5:
#2 Persistent Danger 7-2 27 *Best Bet 2nd $3.90
#1a Kahala 6-5 25
#5 Gun Maestro 10-1 24
#7 Majestic Tiger 15-1 23 4th
Race 6:
#2 Midway Memories 1-1 17 1st $3.20
#1a Big Magic (IRE) 5-1 16
#4 Siyouni Flash (FR) 3-1 15
#5 Scarlett’s Halo 8-1 14 3rd $3.40
Race 7:
#2 Antonio of Venice 9-5 32 scratched
#4 Contrary Thinking 3-1 30 4th
#3 Laser Sharp 6-1 29 3rd $2.70
#1 What’s Up Bro 7-2 28 1st $6.70
Race 8:
#12 Doomed 9-2 17 1st $7.00
#8 Pistol Hip Sam 10-1 16
#2 Yo Bro 10-1 16
#11 Fresh Start 12-1 15 4th
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 4,2,3
Race 2: 1/1a,4,5
Race 3: 5,4
Race 4: 5,4
Race 5: 2,1a/1
$.50 Ticket: $36
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 1/1a,4,5
Race 3: 5,4,3
Race 4: 5,4,3,2
Race 5: 2,1a/1
$.50 Ticket: $36
Pick 6:
Race 3: 5,4,3
Race 4: 5,4
Race 5: 2,1a/1
Race 6: 2
Race 7: 2 *2 scratched using 4
Race 8: 12,8,2,11
$1.00 Ticket: $48
Late Pick 5:
Race 4: 5,4,3,2
Race 5: 2,1a/1
Race 6: 2,1a/1
Race 7: 2,4 *2 scratched using 4
Race 8: 12,8,2,11
$.50 Ticket: $64
Late Pick 4:
Race 5: 2,1a/1
Race 6: 2,1a/1,4
Race 7: 2,4,3,1
Race 8: 12,8,2,11
$.50 Ticket: $48
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
April 19th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,898/22,916 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,600/22,916. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct ,Oaklawn, and Keeneland Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#2 Goldcrest 8-5 26 1st $6.30
#1 Ghostly Girl 2-1 25 scratched
#4 Lika Rolling Stone 3-1 24 2nd $2.20 Ex $13.20
#3 Shezanarcticqueen 4-1 24 3rd
Race 2:
#2 Shared Success 5-2 27 1st $6.90 Dbl $27.40
#1 Senegal 1-1 27 2nd $2.20 Ex $12.00
#4 A Lister 6-1 26
#5 Cumberland Blues 5-1 25 3rd $2.40
Race 3:
#4 Limits of Power 7-2 14
#6 Mano E Mano 5-1 13
#1 Prairie Dunes 5-1 12 4th
#2 Her Sugar Baby 3-1 11 3rd $3.90
Race 4:
#6 Barb 6-1 19
#1 Duration 6-5 18 3rd $3.40
#1a Strategic Focus 6-5 18 1st $3.40
#5 Sturdy 9-2 17 4th
Race 5:
#3 Roadie 7-2 16
#5 Foto 3-1 15
#6 Pandemic Hero 4-1 14 2nd $7.30
#2 Carlin Contention 8-1 13
Race 6:
#7 The Big Calhouna 7-2 33 1st $10.00
#1 Mursal 7-2 31
#8 Grammy Girl 9-2 31 3rd $3.60
#4 Speightful Lily 6-1 30 2nd $3.60
Race 7:
#6 Commander of Truth 3-1 18
#1 Market Timing 6-1 17
#2 Radauti 3-1 16 2nd $4.70
#4 Turn and Count 5-2 16 1st $9.30
Race 8:
#4 Mo Plex 9-5 31 1st $4.60
#3 Faster Gator 5-2 30 2nd $3.60 Ex $12.60
#1 Pascaline 2-1 29 3rd $2.20 Tri $25.40
#5 McKellen 6-1 28
Race 9:
#8 Dillinger 2-1 28 2nd $3.10
#2 Zeebear 6-1 27 scratched
#9 Return the Ring 6-1 26
#5 Hot Rod Rumble 15-1 26 scratched
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 2,1,4
Race 2: 2,1,4,5
Race 3: 4,6,1,2
Race 4: 6,1/1a
Race 5: 3,5
$.50 Ticket: $96
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 2,1
Race 3: 4,6,1,2
Race 4: 6,1/1a,5
Race 5: 3,5,6,2
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 4 (3-6):
Race 3: 4,6,1,2
Race 4: 6,1/1a
Race 5: 3,5,6,2
Race 6: 7,1,8,4
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 6:
Race 4: 6,1/1a
Race 5: 3,5
Race 6: 7,1,8,4
Race 7: 6,1,2
Race 8: 4
Race 9: 8
$1.00 Ticket: $48
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 3,5,6
Race 6: 7,1,8,4
Race 7: 6,1,2
Race 8: 4,3
Race 9: 8,2,9 *2 scratched using 8,9,4
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 7,1,8,4
Race 7: 6,1,2,4
Race 8: 4,3,1
Race 9: 8,2,9 *2 scratched using 8,9,4
$.50 Ticket: $72
Oaklawn Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#3 Haunted Flame 2-1 27 4th
#4 Rebel Moon 5-1 26
#9 Rock Solo 9-5 26 1st $4.80
#5 Iron Sharpens Iron 20-1 25 2nd $7.40
Race 2:
#8 Raymond 3-1 32 scratched
#12 Principe Carlo 6-1 30 1st $8.00
#1 Briterdayzahead 8-1 29 3rd $3.80
#10 Uncaptured Warrior 7-2 28 scratched
Race 3:
#4 Avery’s Mischief 3-1 17 2nd $3.20
#3 Tempting Eve 5-2 16 3rd $2.40
#9 Olympic Star 15-1 15
#5 Rational Theory 6-1 14 4th
Race 4:
#1 Gun Party 4-1 30 3rd $3.40
#3 Darrow 5-1 29 scratched
#8 Mena 9-2 29 2nd $5.80
#7 Imperial Gun 5-2 28
Race 5:
#10 Sports Hero 4-1 19
#11 Thirteen G’s 8-1 18 4th
#4 Fanatical 3-1 18 2nd $4.20
#7 Septimus 7-2 17
Race 6:
#7 Instant Replay 4-5 34 1st $3.40
#1 Hymn 4-1 32 4th
#4 Tiz Secure 9-2 31
#2 Caldera 15-1 31 2nd $2.60
Race 7:
#7 Super Cruise 2-1 20 1st $6.20
#9 Global Quote 7-2 19
#10 Kavanaugh 10-1 18 scratched
#8 Tap Into This 5-2 18 2nd $3.40
Race 8:
#10 Little Blaze 5-2 31 2nd $3.80
#8 Mo for Us 3-1 30
#5 Brooklyn Drew 8-1 29
#2 Insightful Miss 7-2 28
Race 9:
#12 Hicko 8-5 17 2nd $3.20
#2 Tizmarkus 5-2 16 4th
#7 Personal Jet 6-1 15
#3 Willy Cuts 10-1 14
Race 10:
#4 Quantum Burst 2-1 31 3rd $3.00
#7 Miss Martini 3-1 30
#3 Anonima 7-2 30 4th
#5 Dare to Fly 4-1 29 2nd $5.00
Race 11:
#7 Banishing 7-2 41 2nd $7.20
#3 First Mission 2-1 40 1st $4.80 Ex $29.80
#5 Alexander Helios 4-1 39
#4 Skippylongstocking 5-2 38 3rd $2.40
Race 12:
#8 Gettinby 8-1 29
#9 Nicholai 12-1 28 4th
#2 Campisi 7-2 28
#7 Zippy Mark 5-2 27
Oaklawn Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 3,4,9
Race 2: 8,12,1,10 *8,10 scratched using 12,1,4,6
Race 3: 4,3
Race 4: 1,3,8
Race 5: 10,11,4,7
$.50 Ticket: $144
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 8,12,1,10 *8,10 scratched using 12,1,4,6
Race 3: 4,3
Race 4: 1,3,8,7
Race 5: 10,11,4,7
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 10,11,4,7
Race 6: 7,1
Race 7: 7,9,10,8
Race 8: 10,8
Race 9: 12,2,7
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 4 (6-9):
Race 6: 7,1,4 *4 scratched using 7,1,2
Race 7: 7,9,10,8
Race 8: 10,8,5,2
Race 9: 12,2
$.50 Ticket: $48
Late Pick 5:
Race 8: 10,8,5,2
Race 9: 12,2
Race 10: 4,7,3
Race 11: 7,3,5
Race 12: 8,9,2,7
$.50 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 4:
Race 9: 12,2
Race 10: 4,7,3,5
Race 11: 7,3,5,4
Race 12: 8,9,2,7
$.50 Ticket: $64
Keeneland Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#3 My Bossy Lady 3-1 27 4th
#5 Always Practical 8-1 26 1st $6.68
#6 Digital Sale 2-1 25 3rd $4.32
#2 Delicate 7-2 25
Race 2:
#4 Crudo 4-5 19 1st $2.88
#1 Night Agent 5-2 18 3rd $2.86
#6 Homer’s Odyssey 9-2 16 4th
#5 You Belong Here 8-1 15
Race 3:
#4 Executive Action 4-1 29 1st $9.44 Dbl $14.98
#9 Copperlite 5-2 28 4th
#2 Proven Hope 3-1 28 3rd $4.14
#5 Boitano 6-1 27
Race 4:
#7 Fixin to Bee 8-5 30 1st $12.06 Dbl $54.24
#2 Calmate 7-2 29 Pk 3 $51.44
#6 Good Temper 3-1 28
#5 El Joury 12-1 27 3rd $3.78
Race 5:
#7 Top Gun Rocket 9-5 29 1st $3.64 Dbl $18.92
#8 Liam’s Journey 7-2 28 scratched Pk 3 $83.60
#6 Colorado Cruiser 9-2 27 4th
#3 Ask Arthur 8-1 26
Race 6:
#1 How’s Ur Attitude 4-1 31 4th
#2 Cat On Time 2-1 30 1st $7.14
#6 Gilcrease 8-1 29
#3 Honky Tonk Highway 7-2 29 scratched
Race 7:
#7 Pipsy (IRE) 9-2 33 1st $7.18
#4 Bandonarun 7-2 32
#2 Dancing Duchess 10-1 31 4th
#3 Cloudwalker 6-1 30
Race 8:
#5 Just a Touch 6-5 36 1st $2.96
#9 Skinner 3-1 35 4th
#8 Gould’s Gold 6-1 33 3rd $3.84
#6 Stretch Ride 8-1 32
Race 9:
#9 Missed the Cut 6-1 39
#1 Rebel Red (GB) 8-1 38 4th
#6 Limited Liability 8-5 38 2nd $5.36
#2 Grand Sonata 4-1 37
Race 10:
#4 Time for Trouble 4-1 36 4th
#7 Uno Mas Bourbon 7-2 35 3rd $3.22
#6 Duke of Love 5-2 34
#1 San Siro 9-2 33 2nd $3.92
Race 11:
#7 Rothschild 9-2 34 *Best Bet
#8 Then 7-2 32 3rd $3.48
#2 English Chunnel 6-1 31 1st $31.66
#12 Ciro di Marzio 4-1 30
Keeneland Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 3,5,6,2
Race 2: 4,1
Race 3: 4,9,2
Race 4: 7,2,6
Race 5: 7,8 *8 scratched using 7,6
$.50 Ticket: $72 $130.87
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 4,1,6
Race 3: 4,9,2
Race 4: 7,2,6
Race 5: 7,8 *8 scratched using 7,6
$50 Ticket: $27 $39.19
Pick 6:
Race 6: 1,2
Race 7: 7,4
Race 8: 5
Race 9: 9,1,6
Race 10: 4,7,6
Race 11: 7,8
$1.00 Ticket: $72
Late Pick 5:
Race 7: 7,4,2,3
Race 8: 5,9
Race 9: 9,1,6
Race 10: 4,7,6
Race 11: 7,8
$.50 Ticket: $72
Late Pick 4:
Race 8: 5,9
Race 9: 9,1,6,2
Race 10: 4,7,6,1
Race 11: 7,8,2,12
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.