February 17th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,265/20,342, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,344/20,342. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Fair Grounds Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#7 First Class Cat 5-2 12 1st $5.70
#2 Mo Damorninggrouch 3-1 11 2nd $3.80 Ex $17.80
#6 Ukrainian Princess 3-1 10
#5 Our Reward 8-1 9

Race 2:

#5 Bourbon Chase 9-5 32 2nd $2.80
#6 Prince of Pharoahs 3-1 31 3rd $3.30
#4 Colloquy 9-2 30 4th
#2 General Banker 3-1 30 1st $13.00 Spr $280

Race 3:

#1 Anileate 6-1 28
#6 Will Be Famous 7-2 27 2nd $4.20
#4 Mouly 9-2 26 1st $15.20
#5 Belle of the Ball 5-1 25 3rd $4.00

Race 4:

#6 Voleuse 5-2 27 1st $3.60
#4 Irish Jackson 5-1 26 scratched
#5 Ghostly Girl 6-1 25 3rd $2.80
#7 Frannie Lew 12-1 25 2nd $5.90 Tri $70.48

Race 5:

#7 Dr. Settle’s Dream 9-2 27
#3 Red D G P 5-1 27 3rd $4.10
#6 Blue Plate Special 8-1 26 1st $24.20
#1 Youbetterbejoking 5-2 25 4th

Race 6:

#6 Irish Tenor 3-1 16 3rd $2.30
#7 Perno 6-1 15
#8 Uptomykneesinit 6-1 14
#3 French Banker 15-1 13

Race 7:

#4 Halina’s Forte 5-2 33 1st $6.20
#2 Reconcile 5-2 31
#1 Ghalia Princess 2-1 30 2nd $3.30
#3 Tiarella 10-1 29

Race 8:

#9 Ghostbustin 5-2 28 4th
#4 Bussia 10-1 27
#6 Luna’s Song 6-1 26 3rd $4.00
#1 True Empress 5-1 25 1st $11.60

Race 9:

#8 Majestic Return 4-1 32
#6 Kant Hurry Love 2-1 31 3rd $3.10
#7 Security Code 5-1 30 1st $13.80
#3 Bustin Bay 10-1 30 scratched

Race 10:

#4 Memphis 5-2 27 1st $5.70
#6 Uncle Water Flow 6-1 26 4th
#1 Bargaining Power 3-1 26
#9 Ice Road 5-1 25

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 7,2,6,5

Race 2: 5,6

Race 3: 1,6

Race 4: 6,4,5

Race 5: 7,3,6,1

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 5,6,4,2 2

Race 3: 1,6,4,5 4

Race 4: 6,4,5 6

Race 5: 7,3,6,1 6

$.50 Ticket: $96 $709.25

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 6,4,5,7

Race 5: 7,3,6,1

Race 6: 6,7,8

Race 7: 4,2

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 6:

Race 5: 7,3,6,1

Race 6: 6,7,8

Race 7: 4,2

Race 8: 9

Race 9: 8,6

Race 10: 4,6,1

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 6,7,8

Race 7: 4,2,1

Race 8: 9,4,6,1

Race 9: 8,6

Race 10: 4,6,1

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 4,2 4

Race 8: 9,4,6,1 1

Race 9: 8,6,7,3 7

Race 10: 4,6,1,9 4

$.50 Ticket: $64 $277.50

Fair Grounds Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#6 Hardly Able 7-2 28
#10 Macho Beanie 5-1 27
#4 Doctored Deal 4-1 27 1st $16.60
#2 Like This 9-2 26 2nd $4.80

Race 2:

#10 Freedom’s Way 6-1 31 2nd $4.80
#2 Agent Creed 8-1 31 4th
#12 Point Proven 7-2 30 1st $8.00
#9 Big Dreaming 10-1 30

Race 3:

#7 Tuscan Sky 3-1 33 1st $4.00
#3 Nash 9-5 32 2nd
#5 Moonlight 5-2 31 scratched
#1 Ethan Energy 9-2 30 scratched

Race 4:

#6 Benji Star 4-1 18 1st $11.60 Dbl $27.80
#10 Leroux 6-1 17
#7 Causeway Benny 6-1 16 3rd $5.20
#1 He’s Just Lucky 9-2 15 4th

Race 5:

#8 Our Pretty Woman 4-1 31 1st $5.60 Dbl $36.20
#4 Standoutsensation 7-2 30 2nd $3.40 Ex $22.60
#5 Liuzza 6-1 29 4th Pk 3 $98.40
#3 Splash Master 6-1 29

Race 6:

#7 Stylish Sue 12-1 19
#8 Quality Credit 7-2 18
#4 La La Rose 6-1 18 scratched
#10 Harbor Springs 6-1 17 1st $12.20

Race 7:

#2 Banned for Life 9-2 20 3rd $3.60
#10 Granthor 6-1 19 4th
#4 Discreet Mischief 7-2 19 2nd $5.20
#11 Higgins Boat 8-1 18

Race 8:

#5 Sosua Summer 3-1 35 scratched
#2 Charging 8-1 34 scratched
#3 Minnesota Ready 4-1 33 1st $4.60
#1 Silent Poet 8-1 33

Race 9:

#6 Antiquarian 7-2 19 1st $6.60 Dbl $13.80
#10 Cornishman 3-1 19 2nd $3.20 Ex $18.40
#8 Sweetalkingbourbon 6-1 18
#5 Goldentown 15-1 17 scratched

Race 10:

#3 Creative Cairo 7-2 34 4th
#13 Join the Dance 8-1 33
#5 Spirit And Glory (IRE) 3-1 32 1st $8.00
#8 Not So Close 6-1 32

Race 11:

#3 Best Actor 3-1 38 2nd $2.80
#9 Smile Happy 5-1 37
#1 Red Route One 5-1 36 4th
#6 Dubyuhnell 8-1 35

Race 12:

#10 Beatbox 7-2 37 1st $11.60
#11 Gigante 8-1 36 4th
#2 Chasing the Crown 8-1 35
#3 Strong Quality 3-1 35 2nd $3.80

Race 13:

#4 Intricate 3-1 33 2nd $3.20
#7 West Omaha 9-2 32 scratched
#1 Tarifa 5-1 31 1st $7.00 Ex $24.40
#2 Pennick 8-1 31

Race 14:

#7 Hall of Fame 6-1 34
#11 Track Phantom 7-2 33
#4 Sierra Leone 4-1 33
#3 Honor Marie 6-1 32

Fair Grounds Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 6,10,4,2 4

Race 2: 10,2,12 12

Race 3: 7,3,5,1 7

Race 4: 6,10,7 6

Race 5: 8,4 8

$.50 Ticket: $144 $1,205.15

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 10,2,12,9 12

Race 3: 7,3,5,1 7

Race 4: 6,10,7,1 6

Race 5: 8,4,5 8

$.50 Ticket: $96 $163

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 6,10,7,1

Race 5: 8,4,5

Race 6: 7,8,4,10

Race 7: 2,10,4

Race 8: 5,2 *5,2 scratched using 3,1

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 8,4,5,3

Race 6: 7,8,4,10

Race 7: 2,10,4

Race 8: 5,2,3 *5,2 scratched using 3,1

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 4 (7-10):

Race 7: 2,10,4,11

Race 8: 5,2,3,1

Race 9: 6,10,8

Race 10: 3,13,5

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 6:

Race 9: 6,10,8

Race 10: 3

Race 11: 3,9,1

Race 12: 10,11,2

Race 13: 4,7

Race 14: 7,11

$1.00 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 10: 3,13,5,8

Race 11: 3,9,1

Race 12: 10,11,2,3

Race 13: 4,7

Race 14: 7,11,4

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 11: 3,9,1

Race 12: 10,11,2,3

Race 13: 4,7

Race 14: 7,11,4,3

$.50 Ticket: $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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