A Winning Day at the Races!

February 18th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,284/20,366, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,359/20,366. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*6 on top winners on yesterday’s Fair Grounds card…

*Early & Late Pick 4 for us yesterday at Aqueduct$709.25 on a $96 ticket & $277.50 on a $48 ticket…

*Early Pick 5/4 for us yesterday at the Fair Grounds$1,205.15 on a $72 ticket…$163 on a $48 ticket…

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Carolo Rapido 4-1                  17 4th
#4 Eusebius 4-5                            16 2nd $2.50
#1 Timing Difference 9-5           15 1st $4.80
#2 Allegrini 10-1                          15

Race 2:

#1 Antenna 5-2                            27 2nd $3.10
#6 Progeny 5-2                             27 3rd $2.10
#2 Anna’s Wish 2-1                     26 1st $6.00
#4 Classic Diva 6-1                      25 4th

Race 3:

#7 Cheeky Tico 6-5                      28 1st $3.70
#2 Union Lights 5-2                     27 2nd $3.40 Ex $11.40
#5 Street Cop Officer 6-1            26
#4 Disappearance 8-1                  25 3rd $3.00

Race 4:

#3 Monarch 2-1                             18
#6 Princess Vino 5-2                     17 1st $7.70
#5 Just Music 9-5                           16 2nd $2.90
#1 Hot Candy 6-1                           15

Race 5:

#8 Army of Thoughts 5-1             26
#2 Lady Banker 8-5                        25 2nd $2.10
#5 Devilly 9-2                                  25 1st $8.10
#7 Pauciloquent 6-1                       24

Race 6:

#1 Judge Rules 4-5                         16 3rd
#1a Eric From Miami 4-5              15 1st $3.40
#5 Arco Augusta 12-1                    14
#7 Mama’s Dream 10-1                 13 2nd $8.80

Race 7:

#5 Keystone Field 5-2                    29
#12 Gut Feeling 8-1                        28
#10 Pit Boss 10-1                             27
#3 Prince of Joy 50-1                       27

Race 8:

#10 My Mane Squeeze 7-5            32
#9 Rumint 10-1                               31
#2 Bernietakescharge 4-1              30
#6 Munny Grab 8-1                         29

Race 9:

#9 Qorokwe 20-1                             16
#3 Wanna Winna 2-1                      16
#1 Good Reunion 5-2                      15
#5 Wafir 6-1                                      14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,4,1

Race 2:  1,6,2

Race 3:  7,2

Race 4:  3,6,5

Race 5:  8,2

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,6,2,4 2

Race 3:  7,2 7

Race 4:  3,6,5 6

Race 5:  8,2,5,7 5

$.50 Ticket:  $48 $56.37

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  7,2

Race 4:  3,6,5,1

Race 5:  8,2,5,7

Race 6:  1/1a,5,7

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 4:  3,6

Race 5:  8,2

Race 6:  1/1a

Race 7:  5,12,10 *12 scratched using 5,10,3

Race 8:  10,9,2

Race 9:  9,3,1

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  8,2,5

Race 6:  1/1a

Race 7:  5,12,10 *12 scratched using 5,10,3

Race 8:  10,9,2,6

Race 9:  9,3,1,5

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  1/1a,5,7

Race 7:  5,12,10 *12 scratched using 5,10,3

Race 8:  10,9,2

Race 9:  9,3,1

$.50 Ticket:  $40.50

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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