February 23rd, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,296/20,383, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,367/20,383. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*6 on top winners on last Saturday’s Fair Grounds card…

*Early & Late Pick 4 for us last Saturday at Aqueduct…$709.25 on a $96 ticket & $277.50 on a $48 ticket…

*Early Pick 5/4 for us last Saturday at the Fair Grounds…$1205.15 on a $72 ticket…$163 on a $48 ticket…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#4 La Girvina 4-5 16 4th
#3 Split Screen 4-1 15
#2 Quiescent 8-1 14 3rd $4.60
#1 Shirl’s Delight 5-2 13 2nd $4.60

Race 2:

#7 Paschal Moon 8-5 17 1st $3.10
#5 Saka Shocka 3-1 16 scratched
#1 Twirling Vine 5-1 15 3rd $2.50
#6 Flying in Style 8-1 14

Race 3:

#2 Roman Goddess 2-1 27 2nd $2.90
#1 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 9-2 26 3rd $3.00
#5 Fancy Feline 6-1 25
#4 Perpetual Praise 3-1 25

Race 4:

#6 Darn That Song 8-1 26
#3 Sweet as Sugar 8-1 25
#2 Midtown Rose 5-2 25
#4 Cupids Girl 3-1 24

Race 5:

#5 Emerald Forest 9-5 33
#2 Midlaner 9-2 32
#6 Wake Surf 3-1 31
#1 Gentleman Joe 6-1 30

Race 6:

#7 Alfio 4-1 25
#2 Wild Banker 7-5 24
#1 Bold Medication 9-2 24
#3 Hang Tight 6-1 23

Race 7:

#4 Petulante 2-1 34
#1 Synthesis 10-1 33
#9 Anejo 8-1 32
#6 Law Professor 5-2 31

Race 8:

#4 Profitability 1-1 14
#2 The Saxon Story 12-1 12
#6 Li’l Lang 2-1 11
#7 Drinking Solo 5-1 10

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 4,3,2,1

Race 2: 7

Race 3: 2,1,5

Race 4: 6,3,2,4

Race 5: 5,2

$.50 Ticket: $48

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 7,5

Race 3: 2,1,5,4

Race 4: 6,3,2,4

Race 5: 5,2,6

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 6:

Race 3: 2,1,5

Race 4: 6,3,2,4

Race 5: 5

Race 6: 7,2

Race 7: 4,1,9 *9,4 scratched using 1,6,3

Race 8: 4

$1.00 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 6,3,2,4

Race 5: 5,2,6

Race 6: 7,2,1

Race 7: 4,1,9,6 *9,4 scratched using 1,6,3

Race 8: 4

$.50 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 5: 5,2,6,1

Race 6: 7,2,1,3

Race 7: 4,1,9,6 *9,4 scratched using 1,6,3

Race 8: 4,2

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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