January 12th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,174/20,179, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,278/20,179. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Early Pick 5/4 for us last Friday at Aqueduct…$292.75 on a $81 ticket…$110.25 on a $48 ticket…

*Pick 6 for us last Friday at Aqueduct…$2871 on a $72 ticket…

*Late Pick 5/4 for us last Friday at Aqueduct…$596.50 on a $108 ticket…$105.25 on a $36 ticket…

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Rock Star Boy 3-1 15 3rd $2.40
#2 First Trumpet 7-2 15 scratched
#1 Heard On Thestreet 9-2 14 2nd $4.90
#6 Game Misconduct 8-1 13 1st $21.40 Tri $394.48

Race 2:

#3 Big Save 2-1 27 2nd $3.30
#7 Union Lights 5-2 26 4th
#5 Commerce Comet 7-2 25 1st $7.80
#1a Moving Pictures 3-1 25 3rd $2.10 Spr $60

Race 3:

#6 Sendera 3-1 17 3rd $2.10
#4 Calling an Audible 8-5 16 2nd $3.10
#5 Poseidon’s Mist 4-1 16 scratched
#1 Midnight Concerto 2-1 15 1st $8.50 Tri $29.40

Race 4:

#3 Digital 5-1 33 scratched
#2 Mystic Night 8-1 32 3rd $6.70
#7 Keystone Field 3-1 32 4th
#1 Thunderian 10-1 31

Race 5:

#3 Little Linzee 5-2 27
#7 Harlan’s Bond 3-1 27 1st $8.80
#6 Queens Over Threes 8-1 26 4th
#8 True Empress 9-2 26 2nd $5.20

Race 6:

#8 Big Engine 7-2 29 2nd $3.00
#5 Chuck Willis (IRE) 4-1 28 1st $9.10 Ex $36.80
#1 Cajun Casanova 6-1 27 4th
#2 Bronx Bomber 10-1 26 3rd $3.90 Spr $953

Race 7:

#5 Twenty Four Mamba 3-1 33 1st $10.00
#3 Nova Rags 5-2 32
#4 Fluid Situation 6-1 31
#2 Factor It In 4-1 30

Race 8:

#1 Masterwork 2-1 30
#6 Stjames 8-1 29
#9 Apollo Rising 9-2 28
#4 Cloud Forest 5-1 27

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,2,1 *2 scratched using 5,1,6,4

Race 2: 3,7

Race 3: 6,4

Race 4: 3,2,7,1

Race 5: 3,7,6

$.50 Ticket: $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 3,7,5,1a/1

Race 3: 6,4,5,1

Race 4: 3,2,7,1

Race 5: 3,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 3: 6,4

Race 4: 3,2,7

Race 5: 3,7

Race 6: 8

Race 7: 5,3,4

Race 8: 1,6

$1.00 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 3,2,7,1

Race 5: 3,7

Race 6: 8,5,1

Race 7: 5,3,4

Race 8: 1,6,9

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 5: 3,7,6,8

Race 6: 8,5,1

Race 7: 5,3,4,2

Race 8: 1,6

$.50 Ticket: $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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