January 13th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,181/20,187, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,282/20,187. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Early Pick 5/4 for us last Friday at Aqueduct…$292.75 on a $81 ticket…$110.25 on a $48 ticket…

*Pick 6 for us last Friday at Aqueduct…$2871 on a $72 ticket…

*Late Pick 5/4 for us last Friday at Aqueduct…$596.50 on a $108 ticket…$105.25 on a $36 ticket…

*Late Pick 4 for us yesterday at Aqueduct…$278 on a $48 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Ambition 5-2 18 4th
#3 Tuscan Sky 3-1 17 1st $9.00
#2 True Connection 10-1 17 3rd $5.30
#6 Have You Heard 8-5 17 2nd $2.50 Spr $437

Race 2:

#2 Natural Harbor 9-5 30 3rd $2.20
#5 Clubhouse 6-1 29 2nd $5.90
#3 Dark Vector 3-1 28
#1 Kant Beat the Rock 9-2 28 1st e $13.20

Race 3:

#1 Shelly 8-5 16 1st $3.70
#5 The Splendid One 4-1 15 3rd $2.80
#2 Malu 7-2 15 2nd $2.90 Tri $24.20
#8 Montauk Mystique 6-1 14 4th Spr $53

Race 4:

#8 Quiet Wisdom 3-1 17 3rd $2.30
#2 Neptune Beach 6-1 16
#6 Seba M 8-1 15
#3 Liberty Central 5-2 15 2nd $3.80

Race 5:

#9 Proven Hope 8-1 28 1st $12.60
#3 Inspeightoftrainer 7-2 27
#1 Rock the Weekend 12-1 26
#5 Complete Agenda 3-1 26 2nd $3.80

Race 6:

#4 Class Act 6-1 30
#2 Shimmering Allure 4-5 30 3rd $2.10
#1 Gin Gin 5-2 29 1st $7.60
#3 Most of All 9-2 29 4th

Race 7:

#2 Waralo 9-2 31 2nd $5.30
#1 Agility 6-1 30
#4 Please Be Nice 4-1 29
#7 Kid Billy 8-1 28

Race 8:

#10 Mama’s Gold 5-1 32
#4 Cascais 7-2 31
#3 Expected Value 5-1 30
#6 Silo Ridge 6-1 30

Race 9:

#4 The Big Torpedo 2-1 18
#2 Inonit 6-1 17
#8 Dixie Pharaoh 5-1 17
#5 Vin Santo 4-1 16

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,2,3,6

Race 2: 2,5,3,1

Race 3: 1,5

Race 4: 8,2,6

Race 5: 9,3

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,5

Race 3: 1,5,2,8

Race 4: 8,2,6,3

Race 5: 9,3,1,5

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 3 (3-6):

Race 3: 1,5,2,8

Race 4: 8,2,6,3

Race 5: 9,3,1,5

Race 6: 4,2

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 4: 8,2,6,3

Race 5: 9,3,1,5

Race 6: 4,2

Race 7: 2,1,4

Race 8: 10,4

Race 9: 4

$1.00 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 9,3,1,5

Race 6: 4,2,1

Race 7: 2,1,4,7

Race 8: 10,4,3

Race 9: 4,2

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 4,2,1

Race 7: 2,1,4,7

Race 8: 10,4,3,6

Race 9: 4,2,8

$.50 Ticket: $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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