July 11th , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

• July 10, 2020
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8188/12311, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5371/12311. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Saratoga Meet Pass $129.99…See Memberships Tab…

*All content will be posted here on the Free Page through the Belmont Park final weekend…There will be select Free Picks posted daily during the Saratoga Meet , but for full access to Picks/Plays , Comments, and Stakes Analysis please visit the Member Page…

*We hit our Early Pick 5 Play Friday, $751 on a $121.50 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont & Keeneland Picks/Plays Below…

*We hit our Early Pick 5 Play at Keeneland , $654.60 on a $96 ticket…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#2 Classic Colors 2-1                     17
#1 Shaker Shack 3-1                      16
#3 Highway Queen 6-1                 15 2nd $8.40
#6 Shesadirtydancer 4-1               14 3rd $4.00

Race 2 :

#5 Dirty Bird 12-1                           27
#2 Radiantrithym 6-5                     26 3rd $2.20
#7 Solitary Gem 3-1                        26 2nd $3.60
#1 Miss Loyalty 10-1                       25

Race 3 :

#10 Passcode 7-2                              28 2nd $5.40
#1 Waynes Footsteps 3-1                27
#6 Cobble Hill 4-1                             26 1st $7.50
#7 Implied Volatility 15-1               25

Race 4 :

#5 Monomoy Girl 2-5                       36 1st $2.30
#4 Always Shopping 15-1                35
#1 Piedi Bianchi 12-1                       33 3rd
#3 Vexatious 6-1                                31 2nd $4.30

Race 5 :

#11 Quarky 3-1                                   31 4th
#10 Honey Won’t 2-1                         30 1st $7.40
#12 Duress 9-2                                    30 2nd $4.40
#2 Yes and Yes 5-1                              29

Race 6 :

#5 Lucky Latkes 3-1                            16 3rd $2.60
#3 Afleeting Glance 6-1                     14
#8 Courted 7-2                                     13
#6 Woman Not Easy 4-1                     12 4th

Race 7 :

#1 Good Credence 5-2                         27 1st $6.00
#8 Bustin Scones 4-1                           26 2nd $4.70 Ex $30.80
#2 Single Verse 4-1                               25
#6 Pot of Hunny 8-1                             25 3rd

Race 8 :

#7 Heavy Roller 3-1                              33
#5 Han Sense 4-1                                  32 2nd $7.00
#6 Super Dude 5-1                                31 3rd $3.60
#1a Leitone (CHI) 5-2                           31 1st $6.80

Race 9 :

#4 Uncle George 7-2                             29
#10 Fly Fly Away 6-1                            28
#8 Impazible Odds 12-1                       27 2nd $12.20
#2 More Graytful 8-1                            26 4th

Race 10 :

#10 After Prom Party 4-1                     14
#11 Wardenofthenorth 5-1                  14
#5 Lord Camden 9-2                              13
#7 Warriors Revenge 12-1                    12

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  2,1 x

Race 2 :  5,2,7 x

Race 3 :  10,1,6 6

Race 4 :  5,4 5

Race 5 :  11,10,12 10

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  5,2,7,1 x

Race 3 :  10,1,6,7 6

Race 4 :  5 5

Race 5 :  11,10,12,2 10

$.50 Ticket :  $32

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  11,10,12,2 10

Race 6 :  5,3,8,6 X

Race 7 :  1,8,2 1

Race 8 :  7,5,6

Race 9 :  4,10

Race 10 : 10,11,5

$.20 Ticket :  $172.80

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  5,3,8,6 X

Race 7 :  1,8,2 1

Race 8 :  7,5

Race 9 :  4,10

Race 10 : 10,11,5

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  1,8,2,6 1

Race 8 :  7,5 x

Race 9 :  4,10,8,2 x

Race 10 : 10,11,5,7

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Keeneland Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#4 Civil Servant 4-1                       17
#5 Dynacharge 9-2                         16 4th
#8 Looking At Liberty 3-1             16 1st $8.20
#6 Copper King 5-1                        15

Race 2 :

#9 Therideofalifetime 3-1              18 1st $5.00
#10 Directional 8-1                          17
#6 Swill 4-1                                        16 2nd $4.60
#11 Fire At Will 8-1                          16 scratched

Race 3 :

#9 Crown Jewel 3-1                          30
#6 Mundaye Call 5-1                        28 1st $10.80
#4 Remanded 20-1                           27 4th
#1 Tipsy Gal 6-1                                27

Race 4 :

#2 Enola Gay 6-1                                31 1st $12.60
#4 Alms 6-5                                         31 3rd $2.10
#5 Passion Factor 12-1                     30
#6 Walk In Marrakesh (IRE) 9-5      30 2nd $4.40

Race 5 :

#3 Sally’s Curlin 10-1                         35
#5 Guarana 1-1                                    35 1st $3.00
#7 Mia Mischief 3-1                            34 2nd $5.00
#9 Amy’s Challenge 8-1                     33

Race 6 :

#2 Wildman Jack 5-2                          38
#1 Extravagant Kid 6-1                      37
#8 Bound for Nowhere 5-2                36 3rd $3.80
#7 Fast Boat 8-1                                   35 4th

Race 7 :

#2 Venetian Harbor 6-5                       36 2nd $2.40
#6 Speech 2-1                                        35 1st $10.00
#4 Envoutante 5-1                                33 3rd $2.60 Tri $42
#3 Bonny South 5-1                              32 4th

Race 8 :

#4 Rushing Fall 6-5                              39 1st $3.60
#6 Jollie Olimpica (BRZ) 5-2              38 2nd $5.20 Ex $20.20
#8 Toinette 5-1                                      36 4th
#1 Secret Message 15-1                       34

Race 9 :

#1 Shivaree 8-1                                      34
#8 Basin 8-1                                            33
#10 Rushie 5-1                                        32 3rd $4.00
#3 Art Collector 5-1                               31 1st $6.60

Race 10 :

#5 Joy of Treasure 5-1                           33
#3 Romantic Pursuit 7-5                       32
#2 Summer in Saratoga 9-2                  31
#6 Kuora (PER) 5-1                                 31

Keeneland Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  4,5,8,6 8

Race 2 :  9,10,6 9

Race 3 :  9,6,4,1 6

Race 4 :  2,4 2

Race 5 :  3,5 5

$.50 Ticket :  $96 $623.85

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  9,10,6,11 9

Race 3 :  9,6,4,1 6

Race 4 :  2,4,5,6 2

Race 5 :  3,5 5

$.50 Ticket :  $64 $130.55

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  2,4,5,6 2

Race 5 :  3,5 5

Race 6 :  2,1,8 x

Race 7 :  2,6 6

Race 8 :  4

Race 9 :  1,8,10 x

$1 Ticket :  $144

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  3,5 5

Race 6 :  2,1,8,7 x

Race 7 :  2,6 6

Race 8 :  4,6,8 4

Race 9 :  1,8,10 x

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Pick 4 (6-9) :

Race 6 :  2,1,8 x

Race 7 :  2,6 6

Race 8 :  4,6 4

Race 9 :  1,8,10,3 3

$.50 Ticket :  $24

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  2,6 6

Race 8 :  4,6,8 4

Race 9 :  1,8,10 x

Race 10 : 5,3,2

$.50 Ticket :  $27

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.