July 12th , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

• July 11, 2020
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8200/12331, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5378/12331. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Saratoga Meet Pass $129.99…See Memberships Tab…

*There will be select Free Picks posted daily during the Saratoga Meet , but for full access to Picks/Plays , Comments, and Stakes Analysis please visit the Member Page…

*We hit our Early Pick 5 Play Friday, $751 on a $121.50 ticket…

*We hit our Early Pick 5 Play Saturday at Keeneland , $654.60 on a $96 ticket…

*Sunday’s Full Card Belmont Park Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#1 Fair Regis 2-1                          30 2nd $2.70
#4 Into Chocolate 8-5                 29 1st $5.10 Ex $12.80
#5 Sadie Lady 5-2                         28 3rd $2.30 Tri $21.20
#3 Gypsy Janie 5-1                       28

Race 2 :

#8 War Call 4-1                              17
#5 Perfect Munnings 5-1             17 scratched
#7 Lookin for Trouble 9-2           16 4th
#6 Thin White Duke 7-2              15 3rd $2.40

Race 3 :

#3 First Dawn 3-1                          26 scratched
#8 She’s a Lumberjane 12-1        25
#2 Heartstrings 8-1                       25 2nd $8.00
#6 Wear My Ring 5-2                    24

Race 4 :

#3 Klickitat 2-1                               14 2nd $3.30
#9 High Tone 6-1                            13 4th
#12 Petrus 5-1                                 12
#10 Michael’s Bad Boy 9-2            12 3rd $3.10

Race 5 :

#8 Bourbon Currency 8-1             28
#11 Tenure 3-1                                27 2nd $5.60
#4 Variant Perception 10-1           26 3rd $7.30
#2 Bourbon Mission 8-1                25

Race 6 :

#2 Moana’s Tale 4-1                        28
#11 Silky Blue 7-2                            28 scratched
#12 Hunnybunnerdini 6-1              27
#1 Dancingwthdaffodls 5-1            26 1st $6.40

Race 7 :

#7 Violent Delights 7-2                   26 3rd $2.30
#3 Prince of New York 4-1              25 scratched
#2 Bobbyfromthepalm 3-1              24 1st $11.40
#10 Runningforhome 8-1                24 2nd $7.20 Tri $154

Race 8 :

#9 Wegetsdamunnys 7-2                 33
#6 Olympic Games (FR) 3-1            32 2nd $4.50
#1 Dyna Passer 5-1                           31 4th
#7 Civil Union 8-1                             30 1st $11.80

Race 9 :

#8 Pippi 8-1                                         12
#10 Empress Luciana 15-1                11
#12 Baby Girl 12-1                              10
#5 Dream Chasing 5-2                       10

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  1,4,5 4

Race 2 :  8,5,7,6 x

Race 3 :  3,8,2 *3 scratched using 8,2,6 x

Race 4 :  3,9,12 x

Race 5 :  8,11 x

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  8,5,7,6 x

Race 3 :  3,8,2 *3 scratched using 8,2,6 x

Race 4 :  3,9,12 x

Race 5 :  8,11,4 x

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  3,9,10,12 x

Race 5 :  8,11,4,2 x

Race 6 :  2,11,12 *11 scratched using 2,12,1 1

Race 7 :  7,3,2 *3 scratched using 7,2,10

Race 8 :  9,6

Race 9 :  8,10,12

$.20 Ticket :  $172.80

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  8,11,4,2 x

Race 6 :  2,11 *11 scratched  using 2,12 x

Race 7 :  7,3,2 *3 scratched using 7,2,10

Race 8 : 9,6

Race 9 :  8,10,12,5

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  2,11,12,1 1

Race 7 :  7,3,2 *3 scratched using 7,2,10 2

Race 8 :  9,6

Race 9 :  8,10,12,5

$.50 Ticket :  $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.