July 30th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,632/25,736 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,856/25,736. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Early Pick 4 for us at Saratoga last Sunday…$216.44 on a $64 ticket…

*Middle Pick 4 for us at Saratoga last Sunday…$131.78 on a $36 ticket…

*Late Pick 4 for us at Saratoga last Sunday…$271.59 on a $36 ticket…

*Late Pick 5 for us at Saratoga last Sunday…$1,648.57 on a $81 ticket…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Gotta Gun Runner 5-2 16
#3 Into the Unknown 3-1 15
#4 Unlock the Value 2-1 15
#2 Suited Connectors 5-2 14

Race 2:

#2 Honest Won 4-1 18
#4 Top Thriller 6-1 17
#1 Autospell 3-1 16
#6 Fire Marshal 2-1 16

Dirt Selections

#2 Honest Won 4-1
#4 Top Thriller 6-1
#12 Midnight Raider 12-1
#3 Scramjet 8-1
#11 Ninuccio 8-1

Race 3:

#3 Barb 5-2 33
#2 Bedard (ON) 9-5 32
#5 Playing Tricks 2-1 31
#4 Shattuck 8-1 30

Race 4:

#5 Preside 7-5 20
#6 Collado Hueco 5-2 19
#4 Presidential Power 5-1 18
#1 Hadrian’s Wall 3-1 18

Race 5:

#4 Right to Win (IRE) 6-1 30
#8 Classic Creation 5-1 29
#2 Fortune Seller 7-2 28
#7 Late Call 2-1 28

Dirt Selections

#15 Determinedly 10-1
#14 Three Technique 8-1
#10 Black Powder 4-1
#12 Sturdy 5-2
#11 Peek 8-1

Race 6:

#3 Pair of Socks 2-1 31
#2 Run Classic 9-5 30
#5 Factually Correct 9-2 29
#6 Princip 10-1 28

Race 7:

#6 Adrian 4-1 29
#5 Princess Ny 5-2 28
#1 Accelerated News 9-2 27
#4 Miss Ellary 9-2 27

Race 8:

#7 Bellezza (IRE) 8-1 35
#5 Speed Shopper 5-1 34
#8 Favorite Memory 10-1 33
#1 Survie (IRE) 4-1 32

Dirt Selections

#12 Bernietakescharge 4-5
#5 Speed Shopper 5-1
#3 Massarat 20-1

Race 9:

#3 Tamino 4-1 29
#9 Hong Kong Phooey 8-1 28
#10 Heartily 8-1 28
#7 Slay Sadie Slay 6-1 27

Dirt Selections

#3 Tamino 4-1
#11 Nash Potatoes 12-1
#12 Seeker’s Hope 5-2
#7 Slay Sadie Slay 6-1
#13 Leo’s Reward 9-2

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,3,4,2

Race 2: 2,4,1,6 Dirt: 2,4,12,3

Race 3: 3,2

Race 4: 5,6

Race 5: 4,8,2,7 Dirt: 15,14,10,12

$.50 Ticket: $128

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,4,1,6 Dirt: 2,4,12,3

Race 3: 3,2,5

Race 4: 5,6

Race 5: 4,8,2,7 Dirt: 15,14,10,12

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 3,2,5

Race 4: 5,6,4,1

Race 5: 4,8,2,7 Dirt: 15,14,10,12

Race 6: 3,2

Race 7: 6,5,1

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 6:

Race 4: 5,6

Race 5: 4,8,2 Dirt: 15,14,10

Race 6: 3

Race 7: 6,5

Race 8: 7,5,8,1 Dirt: 12

Race 9: 3,9,10,7 Dirt: 3,11,12,7

$1.00 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 4,8,2,7 Dirt: 15,14,10,12

Race 6: 3,2

Race 7: 6,5

Race 8: 7,5,8,1 Dirt: 12,5

Race 9: 3,9,10,7 Dirt: 3,11,12,7

$.50 Ticket: $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 3,2

Race 7: 6,5,1,4

Race 8: 7,5,8,1 Dirt: 12,5,3

Race 9: 3,9,10,7 Dirt: 3,11,12,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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