July 31st, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,637/25,744 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,859/25,744. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Early Pick 4 for us at Saratoga last Sunday…$216.44 on a $64 ticket…

*Middle Pick 4 for us at Saratoga last Sunday…$131.78 on a $36 ticket…

*Late Pick 4 for us at Saratoga last Sunday…$271.59 on a $36 ticket…

*Late Pick 5 for us at Saratoga last Sunday…$1,648.57 on a $81 ticket…

*Friday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#4 River of Deceit 2-1 19
#7 The Devil in Me 8-1 19
#2 Without Hesitation 9-5 18
#3 Jackpot Jackie 6-1 18

Dirt Selections

#4 River of Deceit 2-1
#2 Without Hesitation 9-5
#3 Jackpot Jackie 6-1
#7 The Devil in Me 8-1

Race 2:

#1 You Are My Suzie Q 6-1 15
#9 You Can Bank On Me 5-1 14
#8 Risky Mission 4-1 14
#3 Cream Puff 10-1 13

Race 3:

#5 Sheer Will 2-1 30
#4 Proud Foot 7-2 29
#2 Mursal 3-1 28
#1 Edistrudis 12-1 27

Race 4:

#1 First Call Bob 4-5 31
#8 Noble Heritage 10-1 29
#4 I’m Worthy 4-1 29
#5 Who’s Your Zaddy 6-1 28

Race 5:

#6 Cederberg 4-1 17
#10 Vivaldi 3-1 16
#4 Urgency 6-1 15
#1 Visible 6-1 15

Dirt Selections

#13 Stream It 8-5
#14 Disparate Impact 5-2
#5 Ghost Driver 20-1
#12 Meanstepper 12-1
#11 Holy Dancer 20-1

Race 6:

#2 Calling Mr. Mo 6-1 19
#3 Parkridge 15-1 18
#9 McMoon 8-1 18
#1 Freedom Charge 9-2 17

Race 7:

#5 Sharp Spark 6-1 32
#6 Calibrate 2-1 31
#4 Sara’s Shaman 10-1 30
#3 Coach Cronin 5-2 30

Race 8:

#8 Lighting Strike 3-1 31
#5 K Gun 7-2 30
#6 Lady Rose 5-1 29
#4 Liberty’s Secret 6-1 28

Race 9:

#7 Obliteration 7-5 37
#4 Gilded Bandit 9-2 35
#3 Solitude Dude 4-1 34
#2 Local Knowledge 5-1 32

Race 10:

#8 Lilies N Paradise 12-1 28
#5 Heads in Beds (FR) 6-1 28
#2 Five Dozen Roses 5-1 27
#3 Emerald Ember 4-1 27

Dirt Selections

#12 Expecto Patronum 4-1
#8 Lilies N Paradise 12-1
#14 Amelia’s Echo 6-1
#1 Scorch 9-2
#13 Leslie’s Star 8-1
#11 Will of a Womanne 15-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 4,7,2,3 Dirt: 4,2,3,7

Race 2: 1,9,8

Race 3: 5,4,2

Race 4: 1

Race 5: 6,10,4 Dirt: 13,14,5

$.50 Ticket: $54

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1,9,8

Race 3: 5,4,2

Race 4: 1,8,4,5

Race 5: 6,10,4 Dirt:13,14,5

$.50 Ticket: $54

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 5,4

Race 4: 1,8,4,5

Race 5: 6,10,4,1 Dirt: 13,14,5,12

Race 6: 2,3,9,1

Race 7: 5,6

$.50 Ticket: $128

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 1,8,4

Race 5: 6,10,4,1 Dirt: 13,14,5,12

Race 6: 2,3,9,1

Race 7: 5,6,4,3

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 6:

Race 5: 6,10 Dirt: 13,14

Race 6: 2,3,9,1

Race 7: 5,6,4,3

Race 8: 8,5

Race 9: 7

Race 10: 8,5,2 Dirt: 12,8,14

$1.00 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 2,3,9,1

Race 7: 5,6,4,3

Race 8: 8,5

Race 9: 7,4

Race 10: 8,5,2,3 Dirt: 12,8,14,1

$.50 Ticket: $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 5,6,4,3

Race 8: 8,5,6,4

Race 9: 7,4

Race 10: 8,5,2,3 Dirt: 12,8,14,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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