July 3rd, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

• July 3, 2022
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,031/16,798, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,493/16,798. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Sunday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Perform 4-1                              19 2nd $4.50
#5 Aaron 6-1                                  18 3rd $2.90
#2 Lost Ark 7-5                              17 1st $3.50 Tri $45.80
#1 Certified Loverboy 9-5            17

Race 2:

#7 Quaria Thunder 7-5                 16 1st $3.50
#6 Miscreant 6-1                            15 2nd $6.60 Ex $32.60
#1 Requestforproposal 3-1          14
#2 Regina 7-2                                  13 scratched

Race 3:

#3 Girl of Tosconova 8-5               29 2nd $3.30
#1a She’s a Black Belt 5-2             27 4th
#2 Cadeau de Paix 7-5                    26 3rd $2.90
#5 Violent Point 8-1                       25 1st $24.40 Spr $286

Race 4:

#6 Legends Can’t Die 4-1               19 1st $4.80
#7 Almanzo 7-2                                18
#4 Cynwyd 5-2                                  18 2nd $5.70
#3 Java Buzz 3-1                               17 3rd $4.00

Race 5:

#6 Hombre 5-1                                 36
#8 Ocala Dream 3-1                        35
#1 Floriform 5-2                               34 3rd $3.10
#2 Sifting Sands (GB) 8-1               33 1st $17.80

Race 6:

#5 Daufuskie Island 5-2                  28 1st $7.80
#1 On the Hill 6-1                             27 2nd $7.10 Ex $58
#6 Mocephus 7-2                               26
#2 Luni Sima 8-5                               26 4th

Race 7

#6 Higher Truth (IRE) 1-1               34 1st $3.20 Dbl $17.60
#9 Mia Martina 10-1                         33
#1 Flanigan’s Cove 8-1                     32 2nd $5.30
#2 Community Adjusted 12-1         31 scratched

Race 8:

#5 Love And Thunder (IRE) 9-5      33 3rd $2.30
#6 Messidor (IRE) 9-2                       32 4th
#2 Giggle Factory 8-1                        31
#1 Jouster 5-2                                     30 1st $7.30

Race 9:

#1 Ocean’s Reserve 2-1                      18 *Best Bet 2nd $2.90
#6 Street Tsar 9-2                                16 1st $16.20 Ex $46.60
#3 Refuah 5-1                                       15 3rd $3.60 Tri $166
#5 Full Complement 10-1                  14 4th Spr $961

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,5,2,1 2

Race 2:  7,6,1 7

Race 3:  3,1a/1 x

Race 4:  6,7,4 6

Race 5:  6,8,1 x

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7,6,1,2 7

Race 3:  3,1a/1 x

Race 4:  6,7,4,3 6

Race 5:  6,8,1,2 2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  6,7,4 6

Race 5:  6,8,1 x

Race 6:  5,1,6 5

Race 7:  6 6

Race 8:  5,6 x

Race 9:  1 x

$1.00 Ticket:  $54

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  6,8,1,2 2

Race 6:  5,1,6,2 5

Race 7:  6,9,1 6

Race 8:  5,6,2 x

Race 9:  1 x

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  5,1,6,2 5

Race 7:  6,9,1,2 6

Race 8:  5,6,2,1 1

Race 9:  1,6 6

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $124.75

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.