July 2nd, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

“Marketwise” outside, “Whirlaway” inside, 1941 Jockey Gold Cup

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,020/16,776, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,484/16,776. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont & Churchill Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Fly High 5-2 19 4th
#7 Tribal Queen 4-1 19 2nd $3.00
#6 Ransom Style 9-5 18
#1a Marla From Miami 3-1 17 3rd $8.60/$3.90

Race 2:

#2 Twirling Patti 9-5 28 scratched
#9 Maybe Later 4-1 27
#6 Basilla 5-2 27 scratched
#8 Miss Delicious 6-1 26 2nd $3.10

Race 3:

#7 Lucky Brody 3-5 15 1st $2.70
#2 Tuesday’s Child 4-1 13 2nd $2.80
#3 Lucky Mucho Man 5-1 12 3rd $3.20
#5 El Veinticuatro 8-1 11

Race 4:

#1 Life Is Good 1-2 45 1st $2.40
#5 Speaker’s Corner 6-5 42 2nd $2.10
#3 Harvard 20-1 34 4th
#2 Repo Rocks 12-1 32 3rd

Race 5:

#5 Capensis 3-1 20 1st $12.40
#4 Internal Capital 5-2 19 4th
#2 Breakwater 4-1 18
#7 Running Bee 10-1 17 2nd $7.10

Race 6:

#5 Dangerous Edge 9-2 29 1st $16.00 Dbl $99
#1 Bold Victory 5-2 28 3rd $2.40 Pk 3 $118
#6 Air Show 7-2 27
#2 Endowed 9-5 26 2nd $3.50

Race 7:

#3 Autumn Glory 2-1 28 4th
#2 She’s a Mia 3-1 27 2nd $3.50
#8 Makin My Move 5-2 26 1st $9.30
#1 Happy Hill Lil 8-1 26

Race 8:

#1 Charge It 4-5 35 1st $3.20
#6 Nabokov 2-1 33
#3 Fluid Situation 5-1 32 3rd $3.60
#5 Runninsonofagun 8-1 30 2nd $7.90

Race 9:

#7 She’s the One 5-2 29 3rd $2.50
#3 Anador (FR) 6-1 28
#11 Cruz Bay 10-1 27
#12 Mail Order 20-1 27 1st $25.00

Dirt Selections

#9 To a T 8-1
#16 Awillaway 15-1
#15 Ruvies in Time 4-1
#13 Chasing Cara 3-1

Race 10:

#6 Celestial City 8-1 30 3rd $4.00
#7 Devil’s Outlaw 4-1 29
#4 Shawdyshawdyshawdy 15-1 28
#3 Jerry the Nipper 5-1 28 1st $17.40

Dirt Selections

#15 Efficiency 8-5
#3 Jerry the Nipper 5-1
#13 Theisastormbrewin 8-1
#14 No Burn 7-2

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,7,6,1a/1 1

Race 2: 2,9,6 *2 scratched using 9,6,8 x

Race 3: 7 7

Race 4: 1 1

Race 5: 5,4,2 5

$.50 Ticket: $18

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,9,6,8 x

Race 3: 7,2 7

Race 4: 1,5 1

Race 5: 5,4,2,7 5

$.50 Ticket: $32

Pick 6:

Race 5: 5,4,2 5

Race 6: 5,1,6 5

Race 7: 3,2,8 8

Race 8: 1 1

Race 9: 7,3 Dirt: 9,16 x

Race 10: 6,7 Dirt: 15,3 x

$1.00 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 5,1,6,2 5

Race 7: 3,2,8 8

Race 8: 1,6 1

Race 9: 7,3,11 Dirt: 9,16,15 x

Race 10: 6,7,4,3 Dirt: 15,3,13,14 3

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 3,2,8,1 8

Race 8: 1,6 1

Race 9: 7,3,11,12 Dirt: 9,16,15,13 12

Race 10: 6,7,4,3 Dirt: 15,3,13,14 3

$.50 Ticket: $64 $728

Churchill Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Boxster 7-2 19
#11 Mr Bingo 8-1 19
#6 Rarified Flair 15-1 18 4th
#2 Hallow Point 4-1 18

Race 2:

#4 Special Reserve 7-5 38 scratched
#6 Long Range Toddy 5-1 35 3rd $2.80
#1 Necker Island 4-1 34 2nd $3.00
#2 Jalen Journey 8-1 32

Race 3:

#3 Confidence Game 12-1 19 3rd $5.80
#10 Nak Nak Bolt 12-1 19
#12 Frosted Departure 4-1 18
#5 Damon’s Mound 9-2 17 1st $10.80

Race 4:

#4 Gunning 4-1 20 1st $5.40
#11 Romance Novel 5-1 19 4th
#3 Dreamalot 5-1 18
#8 Tubman 15-1 18

Race 5:

#6 Spankster 7-2 30
#9 Sacred Samurai 3-1 29 scratched
#5 Mendenhall 8-1 28
#2 Hippodrome 5-1 27

Race 6:

#4 Wicked Halo 9-5 34 1st $2.60
#1 Heartyconstitution 7-2 33 2nd $2.40
#2 Patna 3-1 32 scratched
#3 Verylittlecents 8-1 31 4th

Race 7:

#8 Kuchar 5-1 32 2nd $4.60
#5 McLaren Vale 4-1 31
#10 War Campaign 15-1 30 scratched
#6 Double Clutch 6-1 29 scratched

Race 8:

#5 Shedaresthedevil 9-5 35 1st $4.80
#1 Super Quick 2-1 34 2nd $3.20
#4 Pauline’s Pearl 5-2 33 3rd $2.10
#3 Ava’s Grace 6-1 32

Race 9:

#5 Bango 5-2 36 4th
#1 Awesome Gerry 8-1 35 scratched
#2 Heart Rhythm 15-1 34
#8 A C Expressway 12-1 32 scratched

Race 10:

#1 Caddo River 10-1 38
#3 Olympiad 5-2 37 1st $5.00
#7 Last Samurai 8-1 35
#5 Proxy 9-2 34 3rd $3.60

Race 11:

#11 Millefeuille 3-1 33
#8 Altered Shot 4-1 32 2nd $6.00
#6 Honorifique 9-2 31
#4 Regal Retort 9-2 30 4th

Race 12:

#10 Alejandro 3-1 32 1st $5.80
#2 Greatheart 7-2 32
#6 Rogue Element 20-1 31
#7 Mr. Tip 12-1 30

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,11,6,2 x

Race 2: 4 *4 scratched using 6,1 x

Race 3: 3,10,12,5 5

Race 4: 4,11,3 4

Race 5: 6,9,5 *9 scratched using 6,5,2 x

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 4,6 *4 scratched using 6,1 x

Race 3: 3,10,12,5 5

Race 4: 4,11,3,8 4

Race 5: 6,9,5,2 x

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 6,9 *9 scratched using 6,5 x

Race 6: 4,1,2 *6 scratched using 4,1,3 4

Race 7: 8,5,10,6 x

Race 8: 5,1,4 5

$.50 Ticket: $36

Pick 5 (6-10):

Race 6: 4,1 4

Race 7: 8,5,10,6 x

Race 8: 5,1,4 5

Race 9: 5,1,2 x

Race 10: 1,3,7 3

$.50 Ticket: $108

Pick 6:

Race 7: 8,5,10,6 x

Race 8: 5,1,4 5

Race 9: 5,1,2,8 x

Race 10: 1,3,7 3

Race 11: 11,8,6 x

Race 12: 10,2 10

$.20 Ticket: $172.80

Late Pick 5:

Race 8: 5,1,4 5

Race 9: 5,1,2,8 x

Race 10: 1,3,7 3

Race 11: 11,8,6 x

Race 12: 10,2 10

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 9: 5,1,2,8 x

Race 10: 1,3,7,5 3

Race 11: 11,8,6 x

Race 12: 10,2,6,7 10

$.50 Ticket: $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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