A Winning Day at the Races!

July 3rd, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site seven years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,585/19,227, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,823/19,227. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Full Card Picks/Plays will be posted here on the Free Page through the Holiday Weekend…Happy Fourth of July!!

*Monday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Roses for Debra 9-5                 33 1st $4.00
#4 Adaay In Asia (GB) 8-5           32 4th
#1 Mail Order 3-1                          31 2nd $4.00
#5 Majestic d’ Oro 6-1                  30 3rd $2.90

Race 2:

#3 Just a Splash (IRE) 5-1             16
#2 Wonder Girl 6-1                        15 2nd $3.00
#8 Keep It Sexy 15-1                      15 scratched
#5 Belleshazza 10-1                       14 4th

Race 3:

#3 Harlan’s Band 3-1                     25
#6 Sweetie 9-2                                 24 1st $5.10
#2 Reigning Chick 9-5                   24
#4 April Antics 5-2                         23 2nd $3.20

Race 4:

#1 Valenzan Day 2-1                      27 1st $4.20
#7 Cumberland Blues 3-1              26 3rd $3.30
#4 Bert Bert Bert 5-1                       25
#6 Super Quality 12-1                     24 scratched

Race 5:

#5 Strictly Taboo 7-2                      18 *Best Bet
#10 Cerretta 6-1                               16 4th
#8 Spinning Colors 10-1                 15 1st $13.00
#4 Shelly 4-1                                     14

Race 6:

#5 Safalow’s Mission 3-1                29 4th
#1 Colloquy 5-2                                 28 3rd $4.10
#4 Pineapple Man 9-2                      28
#6 Cicciobello 10-1                           27 2nd $11.80

Race 7:

#6 Magical Ways 6-1                        28
#2 Ice Road 5-2                                 27 2nd $3.10
#5 Improper 5-1                                26
#3 Leonids 7-2                                   26

Race 8:

#4 Jerry the Nipper 5-2                    36 3rd $2.50
#2 Dakota Gold 2-1                           35 1st $3.90
#5 Cold Hard Cash 5-1                      34
#1 Hush of a Storm 6-1                     33 4th

Race 9:

#7 Maythisbetheone 7-2                   16
#11 Bad Larry 5-1 AE                         15
#8 Kid Emerald 15-1                          15
#1 Zapruder 9-2                                  14
#6 In My Shadow 20-1                       14

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,4,1 3

Race 2:  3,2,8,5

Race 3:  3,6,2

Race 4:  1,7

Race 5:  5,10

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  3,2,8,5

Race 3:  3,6,2,4

Race 4:  1,7

Race 5:  5,10

$.50 Ticket:  $32

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  3,6,2,4

Race 4:  1,7,4

Race 5:  5,10,8

Race 6:  5,1

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Pick 6:

Race 4:  1,7,4

Race 5:  5

Race 6:  5,1

Race 7:  6,2,5

Race 8:  4,2

Race 9:  7,11,8 *11 scratched using 7,8,1

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  5,10,8

Race 6:  5,1,4

Race 7:  6,2,5,3

Race 8:  4,2

Race 9:  7,11,8,1

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  5,1,4,6

Race 7:  6,2,5,3

Race 8:  4,2

Race 9:  7,11,8,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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