A Winning Day at the Races!

July 4th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site seven years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,592/19,236, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,826/19,236. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Full Card Picks/Plays will be posted here on the Free Page through the Holiday Weekend…Happy Fourth of July!!

*Tuesday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Runaway Rumour 6-5               34 3rd
#5 Whatlovelookslike 4-1              32 1st $6.10
#2 Sanura 7-5                                   32 scratched
#3 Golden Rocket 8-1                     30 2nd $17.00

Race 2:

#5 Battleoflexington 7-2                16 1st $15.80
#1 Gossiping Pando 3-1                 15
#6 Bastion 8-1                                  15
#2 Union Trail 9-2                           14 4th

Race 3:

#1a Sy Dog 9-5                                 36
#6 Portfolio Company 3-1              35 1st $7.20
#4 Master Piece (CHI) 7-2              34 2nd $3.60$2.40
#1 Mackinnon 9-5                            34

Race 4:

#4 Frat Pack 9-5                                19 *Best Bet 1st $4.30
#5 Magico 5-2                                    17 2nd $2.70
#3 Honor King 7-2                            17 scratched
#6 Disappearance 4-1                      16 4th

Race 5:

#1 Arrebato 7-2                                  32
#5 Mistical Curlin 2-1                       32 2nd $2.40
#1a Centavo 7-2                                  30 3rd $2.50
#4 Classic Mark 4-1                            29 1st $15.20

Race 6:

#1 Yes and Yes 5-2                             36 2nd $2.80
#6 Heaven Street 3-1                         34 1st $8.90 Ex $29.20
#2 Cazadero 6-1                                  33 4th
#3 Slipstream 8-1                                32 3rd $3.30 Spr $480.40

Race 7:

#6 Federalist Papers 7-2                   33 scratched
#8 Myriskyaffair 9-2                          32 2nd $2.70
#3 Be Up 8-1                                        31 1st $17.60 Ex $41
#2 Amani’s Image 8-1                        30 3rd $3.10 Tri $124.48

Race 8:

#7 Customerexperience 5-1              29 4th
#6 Beautiful Karen 9-2                       28
#1 Diva Banker 6-1                              27
#4 Icy Stare Down 5-2                         27 2nd $4.20

Race 9:

#1 Ortus 3-1                                          31 2nd $5.00
#3 Be of Courage 9-2                           30
#5 Golden Arm 4-1                              29
#2 Be the Boss 6-1                                28 3rd $5.00

Race 10:

#5 Highland Grace 5-1                        31 1st $8.20
#7 Mariah’s Fortune 20-1                   30
#9 Anatolian 3-1                                   29
#8 Pegs A. K. Girl 9-2                           28 3rd $7.30

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,5,2 *2 scratched using 1,5,3 5

Race 2:  5,1,6 5

Race 3:  1a/1,6 6

Race 4:  4,5 4

Race 5:  1/1a,5 x

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,1,6,2 5

Race 3:  1a/1,6 6

Race 4:  4,5,3 *3 scratched using 4,5,6 4

Race 5:  1/1a,5 x

$.50 Ticket:  $24

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  4

Race 5:  1/1a,5,4 4

Race 6:  1,6,2 6

Race 7:  6,8,3,2 3

$.50 Ticket:  $18 $357

Pick 6:

Race 5:  1/1a,5,4 4

Race 6:  1,6 6

Race 7:  6,8 *6 scratched using 8,3 3

Race 8:  7 x

Race 9:  1,3,5 x

Race 10: 5,7,9 5

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  1,6,2,3 6

Race 7:  6,8 *6 scratched using 8,3 3

Race 8:  7,6,1 x

Race 9:  1,3,5,2 x

Race 10: 5,7,9 5

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  6,8,3,2 3

Race 8:  7,6,1 x

Race 9:  1,3,5 x

Race 10: 5,7,9 5

$.50 Ticket:  $54

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 


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