A Winning Day at the Races!
May 15th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,994/23,078 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,674/23,078. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#2 Twirly 3-1 14 1st $7.90
#1 Immigration Law 5-1 13 3rd $6.70
#7 Giant At Work 2-1 13
#5 Gabby’s Legacy 4-1 12 4th
Race 2:
#1 Bells Beach 8-5 30 3rd $2.10
#5 Into Amore 4-1 29 1st $7.60
#4 Prides Crossing 2-1 29 2nd $2.80 Tri $31
#6 Gold Lighting 9-2 28 scratched
Race 3:
#4 Brocknardini 2-1 31
#6 Snowy Evening 9-2 30
#3 Being Betty 7-2 29
#2 Tour Jete 5-2 29
Dirt Selections
#1 Snappin Buttons 8-1 1st $4.60
#11 Call Her Bluff 5-2 2nd $2.80 Ex $10.60
#9 Embraceable Gal 8-1 scratched
#7 Fast and Frisky 7-2 scratched
#8 Racing Colors 6-1 scratched
Race 4:
#4 Snowyte 9-5 20 4th
#6 Mazayaat 5-2 19 1st $7.30
#1 Meursault 3-1 18 2nd $5.10
#3 High Note 6-1 17 3rd $3.60 Spr $268.40
Race 5:
#6 Tap to Mischief 5-2 31
#7 Hilarious Affair 4-1 30
#2 Maya Prince 7-2 29
#3 Fluid Situation 5-1 28
Dirt Selections
#9 Cold as Hell 8-5 2nd $2.20
#10 Laser Sharp 7-2 1st $6.10
#1a Into Diamonds 3-1 scratched
#1 Determinedly 3-1 3rd 2.30
Race 6:
#7 Cdakhat (IRE) 3-1 28 1st $5.50
#5 Bull Eyed Scout 7-2 27 2nd $3.20 Ex $20.60
#8 Shaman Princess 6-1 26 4th
#3 City Blocks 5-1 25
Race 7:
#7 Pretty Magical 2-1 29 1st $6.10 Dbl $15.00
#5 Into Stardom 4-1 28
#2 Grace Reformed 5-2 28
#6 Lika Rolling Stone 5-1 27 3rd $4.00
Race 8:
#9 Benny The Waiter 3-1 18
#6 Todo Men 8-1 17
#3 Shadow Banking 7-2 17
#1 Antisocial 7-2 16
Dirt Selections
#3 Shadow Banking 7-2 3rd $4.00
#1 Antisocial 7-2 1st $12.40
#2 Cuando 4-1 4th
#5 Snare 15-1 scratched
#10 Henry’s Hope 15-1
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 2,1,7,5 2
Race 2: 1,5,4 5
Race 3: 4,6,3,2 Dirt: 1,11,9,7 1
Race 4: 4,6 6
Race 5: 6,7,2 Dirt: 9,10,1 10
$.50 Ticket: $144 $559.50
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 1,5,4,6 5
Race 3: 4,6,3,2 Dirt: 1,11,9,7 1
Race 4: 4,6,1 6
Race 5: 6,7,2 Dirt: 9,10,1 10
$.50 Ticket: $72 $127.50
Pick 6:
Race 3: 4,6,3,2 Dirt: 1,11,9,7
Race 4: 4,6
Race 5: 6,7,2 Dirt: 9,10,1a/1
Race 6: 7,5
Race 7: 7
Race 8: 9 Dirt: 3
$1.00 Ticket: $48
Late Pick 5:
Race 4: 4,6,1 6
Race 5: 6,7,2 Dirt: 9,10,1a/1 10
Race 6: 7,5,8 7
Race 7: 7,5,2 7
Race 8: 9,6,3 Dirt: 3,1,2 1
$.50 Ticket: $121.50 $485.75
Late Pick 4:
Race 5: 6,7,2,3 Dirt: 9,10,1a/1 10
Race 6: 7,5,8 7
Race 7: 7,5,2 7
Race 8: 9,6,3 Dirt: 3,1,2 1
$.50 Ticket: $54 $105.87
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
May 11th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,989/23,069 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,669/23,069. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*6 on top winners last Sunday at Aqueduct …
*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#1 Be Real 4-5 19 2nd $2.20
#4 Solutions 6-1 18 3rd $2.40
#2 Fully Booked 2-1 18 4th
#5 Hot Spun 9-2 17 1st $20.60 Spr $222.40
Race 2:
#2 Danneel 3-1 26 1st $9.70
#3 That’sthefactjack 9-2 25 4th
#1 Focus Pocus 5-2 25 2nd $4.20
#5 Brooklyn Dantz 4-1 24
Race 3:
#6 Broadway Lights 8-5 27 4th
#4 Brooklyn Rhapsody 5-2 26 scratched
#5 Passage East 3-1 25 1st $4.80
#3 Spun Size 10-1 25 3rd $5.90
Race 4:
#3 Runamor 2-5 15 2nd $2.10
#4 Fines Creek 4-1 14
#7 No More Sins 12-1 13
#5 Yo Bro 10-1 12
Race 5:
#8 English Castle 7-5 16 3rd $2.10
#3 Fresh Start 10-1 15
#1 Cognoscenti 8-5 15 1st $3.80
#4 Before the Wind 8-1 14 2nd $5.10
Race 6:
#7 Creed’s Gold 7-2 29 1st $8.70
#5 Tazara (IRE) 5-2 28 2nd $2.20 Ex $18.80
#4 Golden Canary 6-1 28 3rd $3.40 Tri $59.48
#6 Ultimate Ready 8-1 27
Race 7:
#7 Aggelos the Great 3-1 33 3rd $2.10
#6 Master of Arms 2-1 32 2nd $2.70
#5 Light the Way 10-1 31 scratched
#2 Mish 9-5 30 scratched
Race 8:
#9 Born Dancer 5-2 32
#3 Be of Courage 3-1 31 1st $10.00
#2 Slapintheface 5-1 30 4th
#5 Clear Conscience 5-1 29 2nd $9.50
Race 9:
#3 Fire’s Out 4-1 16 3rd $3.10
#4 Mutually Exclusive 7-2 15
#6 Hidden Agenda 15-1 15
#5 Sugar Run 12-1 14 2nd $8.50
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 1,4,2,5
Race 2: 2,3,1
Race 3: 6,4,5
Race 4: 3
Race 5: 8,3,1
$.50 Ticket: $54
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 2,3,1
Race 3: 6,4,5,3
Race 4: 3
Race 5: 8,3,1
$.50 Ticket: $18
Pick 4 (3-6):
Race 3: 6,4,5,3
Race 4: 3,4,7,5
Race 5: 8,3,1
Race 6: 7,5
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 6:
Race 4: 3
Race 5: 8,3,1
Race 6: 7,5,4
Race 7: 7,6
Race 8: 9,3
Race 9: 3,4
$.50 Ticket: $72
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 8,3,1,4
Race 6: 7,5
Race 7: 7,6,5,2
Race 8: 9,3
Race 9: 3,4
$.50 Ticket: $64
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 7,5
Race 7: 7,6,5,2
Race 8: 9,3,2,5
Race 9: 3,4,6,5
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
May 10th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,980/23,058 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,664/23,058. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*6 on top winners last Sunday at Aqueduct…
*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#4 Ten Cent Town 8-5 31
#1 Daufuskie Island 9-2 30 4th
#2 Braciole 10-1 29 3rd $4.80
#6 Heavyweight Champs 5-1 29
Race 2:
#3 Far Bridge 3-5 36 1st $2.60
#4 Capture the Flag 7-2 34 4th
#1 Anglophile 5-2 34 2nd
#2 Padiddle 12-1 32 3rd
Dirt Selections
#4 Capture the Flag 7-2
#2 Padiddle 12-1
Race 3:
#4 Silo Ridge 6-5 28 1st $3.30
#7 Enduring Spirit 8-1 27
#2 J J’s Joker 3-1 26
#5 Tarpaulin 5-1 26 4th
Race 4:
#6 Hero’s Medal 6-1 32 4th
#3 Keewaydin 8-5 31 3rd $2.10
#4 Quick to Accuse 7-5 30 1st $4.50
#1 Waitlist 8-1 29 2nd $6.00
Race 5:
#9 Empty Tomb 5-2 29 scratched
#5 High Tide 4-1 28 scratched
#4 Catch the Smoke 6-1 27 1st $6.50
#7 Centavo 12-1 27
Race 6:
#10 Eighty Gold 8-1 16
#1 Rhyton 2-1 16
#8 Brenchley 8-1 15
#5 Unity Dreams 12-1 15
Dirt Selections
#7 Van Vollenhoven 3-1 1st $3.80 Dbl $22.20
#5 Unity Dreams 12-1
#11 Sanzio 5-1 2nd $2.90
#1 Rhyton 2-1 scratched
#2 Dead Aim 30-1
Race 7:
#3 Whatchatalkinabout 6-5 35 1st $4.00 Pk 3 $33.80
#4 Surveillance 4-1 34 3rd $3.40
#5 Anarchist 7-2 33
#1 Full Moon Madness 3-1 32 4th
Race 8:
#6 Itsallcomintogetha 7-2 34
#7 Bonus Move 6-1 33
#1 Activist Investing (GB) 5-2 32
#4 Enlighten 3-1 32
Dirt Selections
#3 Magical Ways 5-1 3rd $2.10
#10 Seeking Unity 3-1 1st $6.60
#9 Sagamore Mischief 5-1 2nd $7.90 Tri $93.48
#8 Unbridled Bomber 12-1
Race 9:
#6 Annascaul 9-2 304th
#4 Love Cervere 5-1 29 1st $12.00
#3 Disco Star 8-1 29 3rd $5.60
#8 Hey Bertie 7-2 28 2nd $4.60 Spr $1,240
Dirt Selections
#3 Disco Star 8-1
#6 Annascaul 9-2
#7 Lovely Emma 9-2
#10 Wisconsin Gal 30-1
Race 10:
#10 My Mane Squeeze 7-2 36 3rd $2.40
#11 Headline Numbers 6-1 34
#9 Gun Song 8-1 33
#4 Sterling Silver 9-2 32 2nd $4.10
Race 11:
#8 Captain Cook 2-1 34 3rd $2.20
#4 Hill Road 5-2 32 1st $6.10
#5 McAfee 8-1 32 2nd $5.70 Tri $71
#1 Vassimo 5-1 31
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 4,1,2,6
Race 2: 3,4 Dirt: 4,2
Race 3: 4,7,2
Race 4: 6,3,4
Race 5: 9,5 *9,5 scratched using 4,7
$.50 Ticket: $72
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 3,4 Dirt: 4,2
Race 3: 4,7,2,5
Race 4: 6,3,4
Race 5: 9,5,4 *9,5 scratched using 4,7,1a
$.50 Ticket: $36
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 4,7,2,5
Race 4: 6,3,4
Race 5: 9,5,4 *9,5 scratched using 4,7,1a
Race 6: 10,1,8 Dirt: 7,5,11
Race 7: 3,4
$.50 Ticket: $108
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 6,3,4,1
Race 5: 9,5,4,7 *9,5 scratched using 4,7,1a,6
Race 6: 10,1,8,5 Dirt: 7,5,11,1
Race 7: 3,4
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 9,5,4 *9,5 scratched using 4,7,1a
Race 6: 10,1,8 Dirt: 7,5,11
Race 7: 3,4,5
Race 8: 6,7,1 Dirt: 3,10,9
Race 9: 6,4,3,8
$.50 Ticket: $162
Pick 6:
Race 6: 10,1,8 Dirt: 7,5,11
Race 7: 3
Race 8: 6,7,1 Dirt: 3,10,9
Race 9: 6,4,3 Dirt: 3,6,7
Race 10: 10,11
Race 11: 8,4
$1.00 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 5:
Race 7: 3,4,5
Race 8: 6,7,1,4 Dirt: 3,10,9,8
Race 9: 6,4,3,8 Dirt: 3,6,7,10
Race 10: 10,11
Race 11: 8,4
$.50 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 4:
Race 8: 6,7,1,4 Dirt: 3,10,9,8
Race 9: 6,4,3,8 Dirt: 3,6,7,10
Race 10: 10,11,9,4
Race 11: 8,4
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
May 9th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,973/23,049 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,659/23,049. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*6 on top winners last Sunday at Aqueduct…
*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#1 Mila Candy 5-2 17 1st $8.50
#3 Cara’s Chianti 10-1 16
#2 Numbered 9-5 15 3rd $2.50
#5 Sporting Lady 6-1 15 2nd $5.20
Race 2:
#3 Floge 8-5 27 1st $3.30 Dbl $17.80
#1a Goldcrest 5-2 26 4th $3.30
#5 Raw Power 5-1 25
#1 It Takes Heart 5-2 25 2nd $3.30
Race 3:
#2 Very Satisfactory 2-1 15 3rd $2.70
#7 Battle Anthem 8-5 14 4th
#3 John the Baptist 6-1 13 1st $6.30
#1 Spirit Dragon 4-1 12 2nd $8.00 Spr $431
Race 4:
#5 Capturing 6-1 29
#2 Serendipity 9-5 28
#7 Lavender Disaster 2-1 27
#4 Obeissante 5-1 26
Dirt Selections
#8 Cat Chat 5-2 1st $6.00
#4 Obeissante 5-1 scratched
#7 Lavender Disaster 2-1 scratched
#2 Serendipity 9-5 2nd
Race 5:
#1 Foxy Cara 3-1 27
#7 Despo’s Dream 9-2 26 2nd $3.80
#2 Lady Arwen 5-2 25
#5 Sheza Bernardini 6-1 24
Race 6:
#3 Cadencia 2-1 28
#2 Parola Sicura 6-1 27
#5 La Salvadorena 5-2 26
#6 Shesinamood 12-1 25
Dirt Selections
#9 Majestic Return 3-1
#1a Sarir 5-1
#1 All Class 5-1
#8 I’mhavingamoment 15-1
Race 7:
#4 Good Skate 6-1 32
#3 Chileno 2-1 31
#2 Masqueparade 3-1 30
#1 Certified Loverboy 5-2 30
Race 8:
#5 Noted 7-2 31
#7 Malarchuk 5-2 30
#2 Equivoque 8-1 29
#4 Classic Creation 6-1 29
Dirt Selections
#7 Malarchuk 5-2
#8 Badge of War 4-1
#10 Kolomio 6-1
#12 Skylander 5-1
Race 9:
#1 Silsbee 5-1 15
#4 Lackadaisical 8-1 14
#10 Long Legged Queen 2-1 13
#9 Trulli Magic 8-1 12
Dirt Selections
#4 Lackadaisical 8-1
#8 Jalimar 10-1
#1 Silsbee 5-1
#10 Long Legged Queen 2-1
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 1,3,2,5
Race 2: 3,1a/1,5
Race 3: 2,7
Race 4: 5,2,7 Dirt: 8,2,5
Race 5: 1,7,2
$.50 Ticket: $108
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 3,1a/1,5
Race 3: 2,7
Race 4: 5,2,7,4 Dirt: 8,2,5
Race 5: 1,7,2
$.50 Ticket: $27
Pick 4 (3-6):
Race 3: 2,7,3,1
Race 4: 5,2,7 Dirt: 8,2,5
Race 5: 1,7,2
Race 6: 3,2,5 Dirt: 9,1a/1,8
$.50 Ticket: $54
Pick 6:
Race 4: 5,2,7 Dirt: 8,2,5
Race 5: 1,7,2
Race 6: 3 Dirt: 9
Race 7: 4,3,2,1
Race 8: 5,7 Dirt: 7,10,2
Race 9: 1,4,10 Dirt: 10,9,11
$1.00 Ticket: $243
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 1,7,2
Race 6: 3,2,5 Dirt: 9,1a/1,8
Race 7: 4,3,2,1
Race 8: 5,7 Dirt: 7,10,2
Race 9: 1,4,10 Dirt: 10,9,11
$.50 Ticket: $121.50
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 3,2,5 Dirt: 9,1a/1,8
Race 7: 4,3,2,1
Race 8: 5,7,2,4 Dirt: 7,10,2,11
Race 9: 1,4,10,9 Dirt: 10,9,11
$.50 Ticket: $54
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
May 8th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,970/23,041 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,655/23,041. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*6 on top winners last Sunday at Aqueduct…
*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#7 Ranger Battalion 8-5 16 1st $3.80
#4 Lean Music Machine 2-1 15 2nd $2.30
#6 Aerate 4-1 14 3rd $2.10
#3 Party With Sandy 6-1 14 scratched
Race 2:
#7 Flat On 8-5 28 scratched
#6 Macaw 5-1 27 3rd $3.00
#1 Outsource 3-1 26 4th
#3 Unbroken Chain 10-1 25
Race 3:
#3 He’smyhoneybadger 3-1 29 scratched
#2 Bramito 5-2 29 2nd $2.60
#4 Dot’s Dollar 4-1 28 3rd $2.40
#1a Concorde Spirit 6-1 27
Race 4:
#3 Lou 4-1 28 3rd $2.50
#2 Glint 5-2 27 4th
#8 Blame It On Daddy 6-1 27
#1 Have You Heard 9-2 26 1st $10.40
Race 5:
#5 Observer 2-1 14 2nd $2.50
#3 Sunset Park 7-2 13 1st $6.00 Ex $12.60
#8 Our Lil Surfergirl 5-1 12
#6 Sounds of Summer 4-1 11 3rd $4.40
Race 6:
#1 Twenty Four Mamba 5-2 35 1st $11.00
#4 Octane 2-1 34
#6 Nova Rags 4-1 33 3rd $4.70
#5 Nelson Avenue 5-1 32 4th
Race 7:
#5 Big Everest (GB) 9-5 36
#1 Donegal Momentum 2-1 35
#4 Hush of a Storm 3-1 34
#6 Sherlock’s Jewel 6-1 33
Dirt Selections
#1 Donegal Momentum 2-1
#9 Magnolia Midnight 7-2
#6 Sherlock’s Jewel 6-1
#8 Unbridled Bomber 10-1
Race 8:
#9 Army Proud 7-2 16
#1 Orie 5-2 15
#6 Cousin Ed 3-1 14
#7 Joevia’s First 30-1 13
Dirt Selections
#16 Omaha Pistol 7-5
#14 Alzero 8-1
#9 Army Proud 7-2
#15 Magni 5-1
#8 Joker On Fire 8-1
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 7,4
Race 2: 7,6,1 *7 scratched using 6,1,3
Race 3: 3,2,4,1a/1
Race 4: 3,2
Race 5: 5,3,8
$.50 Ticket: $72
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 7,6,1,3
Race 3: 3,2,4,1a/1
Race 4: 3,2
Race 5: 5,3,8,6
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 6:
Race 3: 3,2 *3 scratched using 2,4
Race 4: 3,2
Race 5: 5,3
Race 6: 1,4,6
Race 7: 5,1 Dirt: 1,9
Race 8: 9,1 Dirt: 16,14
$1.00 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 5:
Race 4: 3,2,8,1
Race 5: 5,3,8
Race 6: 1,4
Race 7: 5,1,4 Dirt: 1,9,6
Race 8: 9,1,6 Dirt: 16,14,9
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 5: 5,3,8,6
Race 6: 1,4,6,4
Race 7: 5,1 Dirt: 1,9
Race 8: 9,1,6,7 Dirt: 16,14,9,15
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
May 4th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,963/23,031 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,649/23,031. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#1 Poppy’s Ticket 5-2 16 3rd $3.30
#3 Tiote 6-5 15
#6 Terminal Velocity 6-1 14 4th
#4 College Hunk 15-1 13
Race 2:
#6 Bendoog 7-5 35 1st $2.90
#4 Classic Catch 7-2 34 3rd $2.70
#2 General Banker 5-1 33 4th
#1 Otello 9-2 32 scratched
Race 3:
#3 Love Appeals 5-2 34 4th
#2 Buttercream Babe 9-2 33 scratched
#5 Dontlookbackatall 9-5 32
#1 Weehawken 12-1 31
Dirt Selections
#8 Save Us Melania 8-5
#7 On Command 10-1
#3 Love Appeals 5-2
Race 4:
#2 Uncatalyzed (GB) 2-1 20 1st $5.30
#6 Noble Confessor 1-1 20 2nd $2.10
#1 Freedom Glider 6-1 19 scratched
#10 Just Bernie 30-1 18
Dirt Selections
#6 Noble Confessor 1-1
#11 Summit Ridge 6-5
#7 Spun 30-1
#12 Aerate 8-1
Race 5:
#5 General Partner 7-5 34 4th
#2 Strapped 8-1 32 3rd $7.40
#3 Pirate 9-2 31 scratched
#7 Holiday Pay 10-1 30 2nd $8.10
Race 6:
#8 Felix 3-1 33 1st $11.20
#3 Works for Me 5-2 32 2nd $2.80 Ex $29.80
#1 Boltage 8-1 32
#4 Cigarette Boat 9-2 31 4th
Dirt Selections
#9 Toxic Gray 2-1
#3 Works for Me 5-2
#10 What’s Up Bro 4-1
#12 Bramito 8-1
#2 Alder
Race 7:
#5 Haulin Ice 5-2 37 1st $6.00 Dbl $31.80
#1 R Disaster 5-1 36 2nd $4.60 Ex $25.40
#2 Almostgone Rocket 2-1 35
#4 St. Benedicts Prep 6-1 34 4th
Race 8:
#5 No Mo Candy 9-2 36 scratched
#9 Spaliday 8-1 36
#7 Dynamic Pricing (IRE) 7-2 35 1st $9.00
#1 Grayosh 3-1 34 4th
Dirt Selections
#5 No Mo Candy
#10 Amanda’s Folly
#3 Edict (ARG) 20-1
Race 9:
#1 Bishops Bay 2-1 38 1st $5.00
#7 Quint’s Brew 5-2 37 2nd $2.70 Ex $10.60
#2 Bank Frenzy 3-1 36 4th
#5 Worcester 8-1 35
Race 10:
#5 Train the Trainer 4-5 19 1st $3.20
#7 Come Full Circle 20-1 17
#8 Merica’s Back 3-1 16 2nd $3.40
#1 Executive Style 12-1 15
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 1,3
Race 2: 6,4,2
Race 3: 3,2,5 Dirt: 8,7,3
Race 4: 2,6 Dirt: 6,11
Race 5: 5,2,3,7
$.50 Ticket: $72
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 6,4
Race 3: 3,2,5,1 Dirt: 8,7,3
Race 4: 2,6,1 Dirt: 6,11,7
Race 5: 5,2,3
$.50 Ticket: $36
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 3,2,5 Dirt: 8,7,3
Race 4: 2,6 Dirt: 6,11
Race 5: 5,2,3
Race 6: 8,3 Dirt: 9,3
Race 7: 5,1,2
$.50 Ticket: $54
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 2,6 Dirt: 6,11
Race 5: 5,2,3,7
Race 6: 8,3,1,4 Dirt: 9,3,10,12
Race 7: 5,1,2,4
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 6:
Race 5: 5,2,3
Race 6: 8,3 Dirt: 9,3
Race 7: 5
Race 8: 5,9,7 Dirt: 5,10,3
Race 9: 1,7
Race 10: 5
$1.00 Ticket: $36
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 8,3 Dirt: 9,3
Race 7: 5,1,2
Race 8: 5,9,7,1 Dirt: 5,10,3
Race 9: 1,7,2
Race 10: 5,7,8
$.50 Ticket: $108 $290.50
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 5,1,2
Race 8: 5,9,7,1 Dirt: 5,10,3
Race 9: 1,7,2
Race 10: 5,7,8
$.50 Ticket: $54 $56.62
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
May 3rd, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,963/23,031 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,649/23,031. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#1 Kadabra 1-1 19 1st $2.60
#5 Always Ready 5-2 18 4th
#3 Nacho Problem 4-1 16 3rd $2.20
#4 Gena B 7-2 15 2nd $4.10
Race 2:
#5 No No Joe 8-5 28 3rd $2.20
#6 Paxsational 2-1 27 1st $4.00
#4 Six Kings 10-1 26
#2 Charlie’s Express 4-1 25 2nd $6.50
Race 3:
#6 Ari’s Magic 2-1 28 scratched
#5 Miles and Miles 5-2 27 2nd
#2 Go Irish 5-1 26 1st $3.80
#1 Tarpaulin 9-2 26 scratched
Race 4:
#5 Accidental Bid 10-1 27
#2 Mr. Mendelssohn 6-1 27
#7 Gimme Gimme 3-1 26
#1 Prince of Truth 9-5 26
Race 5:
#7 Magic Beach 2-1 14
#2 Ridolfi 4-1 12
#3 Sittin Chilly 3-1 11
#1a Nine N Four 9-2 11
Race 6:
#9 Currane 6-1 16
#5 Rad Llama 5-1 15
#3 Mommy’s Turn 9-2 15
#8 Willful Mama 3-1 14
Dirt Selections
#8 Willful Mama 3-1
#13 Our Preferred Pal 6-1
#14 Farm House 7-2
#1a Patience N Grace 10-1
#5 Rad Llama 5-1
Race 7:
#9 Alogon 9-2 37
#1 Nothing Better 3-1 36
#4 Apollo Ten 6-1 34
#3 Shards 10-1 33
Dirt Selections
#11 Surveillance 8-5
#7 Bold Journey 15-1
#12 Unlimitedpotential 4-1
Race 8:
#2 Cees Get Degrees 7-5 30
#3 Joking Way 7-2 28
#7 Charging Aero 5-1 28
#4 Jake Rocks 6-1 27
Race 9:
#8 Ori 5-2 32
#4 Scarlet Poppy (IRE) 4-1 30
#2 Highland Light 5-1 29
#5 Anileate 30-1 28
Dirt Selections
#13 Save Us Melania 2-1
#16 Patty Van Twinkle 7-2
#14 Bells Beach 5-2
Race 10:
#3 Deterministic 3-1 35
#4 Carson’s Run 2-1 34
#2 Master Piece (CHI) 7-2 33
#5 Tuscan Sky 9-2 32
Dirt Selections
#5 Tuscan Sky 9-2
#3 Deterministic 3-1
#6 Magnolia Midnight 5-1
Race 11:
#1 Bronx Bomber 2-1 26
#4 Hot Rod Rumble 6-1 25
#2 Allure of Money 7-2 24
#5 Honorary Degree 5-2 23
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 1,5,3,4
Race 2: 5,6
Race 3: 6,5
Race 4: 5,2,7,1
Race 5: 7,2,3
$.50 Ticket: $96
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 5,6
Race 3: 6,5,2,1
Race 4: 5,2,7,1
Race 5: 7,2,3,1a/1
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (4-8):
Race 4: 5,2,7,1
Race 5: 7,2,3,1a/1
Race 6: 9,5,3,8 Dirt: 8,13,14,1a
Race 7: 9,1,4 Dirt: 11,7,12
Race 8: 2
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 4 (5-8):
Race 5: 7,2,3,1a/1
Race 6: 9,5,3,8 Dirt: 8,13,14,1a
Race 7: 9,1,4 Dirt: 11,7,12
Race 8: 2,3
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 6:
Race 6: 9,5,3,8 Dirt: 8,13,14,1a
Race 7: 9,1 Dirt: 11,7
Race 8: 2
Race 9: 8,4,2 Dirt: 13,16,14
Race 10: 3,4 Dirt: 5,3,6
Race 11: 1,4,2,5
$1.00 Ticket: $192
Late Pick 5:
Race 7: 9,1,4 Dirt: 11,7,12
Race 8: 2,3
Race 9: 8,4,2 Dirt: 13,16,14
Race 10: 3,4,2 Dirt: 5,3,6
Race 11: 1,4,2,5
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 8: 2,3
Race 9: 8,4,2,5 Dirt: 13,16,14
Race 10: 3,4,2,5 Dirt: 5,3,6
Race 11: 1,4,2,5
$.50 Ticket: $64
Churchill Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#8 Sansone 6-1 20 3rd $3.78
#12 Chillax 5-1 19 2nd $5.40
#11 Coffee Talk 4-1 19
#10 Knicks Gate 15-1 18
Race 2:
#4 Home Game 6-1 32
#5 Tapit Quick 5-1 31 3rd $4.06
#10 Generous Lover 7-2 31 2nd $3.34
#7 Normandy Queen 9-2 30 4th
Race 3:
#2 Bracket Buster 6-1 34
#3 Valentinian 6-1 33 4th
#11 Sorcerer’s Silver 8-1 32
#5 Goal Oriented 4-1 32 1st $4.62
Race 4:
#10 Implementation 6-1 36 scratched
#3 Accretive 6-1 35
#13 New King 12-1 35
#11 Inveigled 10-1 34 4th
Race 5:
#5 Five Towns (GB) 10-1 37 4th
#2 Movin’ On Up 5-1 36 3rd $3.58
#4 Serene Seraph (IRE) 20-1 35
#6 Sacred Wish 3-1 35
Dirt Selections
#6 Sacred Wish 3-1
#4 Serene Seraph (IRE) 20-1
#2 Movin’ On Up 5-1
Race 6:
#6 Gaming 3-1 39
#5 Gate to Wire 6-1 38
#4 Smoken Wicked 12-1 37
#1 Madaket Road 2-1 36
Race 7:
#8 Rogue Lighting (IRE) 7-2 42
#7 Think Big 4-1 41
#2 Ambivalent 12-1 40
#5 Arrest Me Red 6-1 40
Dirt Selections
#1 Coppola 10-1
#7 Think Big 4-1
#12 Mischievous Rogue 20-1
#6 Run Carson
Race 8:
#4 Giant Mischief 8-1 43
#2 Banishing 5-1 42
#7 Mindframe 3-1 41
#6 Extra Anejo 12-1 41
Race 9:
#5 Test Score 10-1 34
#7 Zulu Kingdom (IRE) 4-1 33
#10 Iron Man Cal 9-2 32
#2 Scipio 12-1 32
Dirt Selections
#4 Mi Bago 10-1
#18 Discreet Dancer 20-1
#9 Giocoso 30-1
#11 Classic of Course 20-1
Race 10:
#11 Positano Sunset 12-1 44
#9 Emery 6-1 43
#5 Haulin Ice 15-1 42
#2 Kopion 8-1 41
Race 11:
#2 Gold Phoenix (IRE) 10-1 42
#7 Running Bee 5-1 42
#8 Cameo Performance 20-1 41
#6 Taking Candy 8-1 41
Dirt Selections
#10 Spirit of St Louis 9-2
#12 Gigante 15-1
#9 Mercante 10-1
Race 12:
#12 East Avenue 20-1 39
#21 Baeza 12-1 38
#8 Journalism 3-1 38
#13 Publisher 30-1 37
Race 13:
#9 Romanesque 5-1 34
#7 Multiverse 12-1 33
#14 Big Truzz 9-2 33
#11 Patch Adams 5-2 32
Race 14:
#14 Mainstream 7-2 19
#5 Advanced Spirit 5-1 18
#8 Harbe 12-1 18
#10 Excite 12-1 17
Churchill Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 8,12,11,10
Race 2: 4,5,10,7
Race 3: 2,3,11,5
Race 4: 10,3
Race 5: 5,2,4,6 Dirt: 6,4,2
$.50 Ticket: $256
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 4,5,10
Race 3: 2,3,11,5
Race 4: 10,3,13,11
Race 5: 5,2,4,6 Dirt: 6,4,2
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 2,3,11,5
Race 4: 10,3,13,11
Race 5: 5,2,4,6 Dirt: 6,4,2
Race 6: 6,5
Race 7: 8,7,2 Dirt: 1,7,12
$.50 Ticket: $192
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 10,3,13,11
Race 5: 5,2,4,6 Dirt: 6,4,2
Race 6: 6,5,4,1
Race 7: 8,7 Dirt: 1,7
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 5,2,4,6 Dirt: 6,4,2
Race 6: 6,5,4,1
Race 7: 8,7 Dirt: 1,7
Race 8: 4,2,7
Race 9: 5,7,10 Dirt: 4,18,9
$.50 Ticket: $144
Pick 4 (6-9):
Race 6: 6,5,4,1
Race 7: 8,7,2,5 Dirt: 1,7,12,6
Race 8: 4,2,7
Race 9: 5,7,10,2 Dirt: 4,18,9,11
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 7: 8,7,2,5 Dirt: 1,7,12,6
Race 8: 4,2,7
Race 9: 5,7,10,2 Dirt: 4,18,9,11
Race 10: 11,9,5 *5 scratched using 11,9,2
Race 11: 2,7,8,6 Dirt: 10,12,9
Race 12: 12,21
$.20 Ticket: $230.40
Pick 5 (8-12):
Race 8: 4,2,7,6
Race 9: 5,7,10 Dirt: 4,18,9,11
Race 10: 11,9,5,2 *5 scratched using 11,9,2,1
Race 11: 2,7,8,6 Dirt: 10,12,9
Race 12: 12
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 4 (9-12):
Race 9: 5,7,10,2 Dirt: 4,18,9,11
Race 10: 11,9,5,2 *5 scratched using 11,9,2,1
Race 11: 2,7,8,6 Dirt: 10,12,9
Race 12: 12,21,8
$.50 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 5:
Race 10: 11,9,5,2 *5 scratched using 11,9,2,1
Race 11: 2,7,8,6 Dirt: 10,12,9
Race 12: 12,21,8,13
Race 13: 9,7,14,11
Race 14: 14
$.50 Ticket: $128
Late Pick 4:
Race 11: 2,7,8,6 Dirt: 10,12,9
Race 12: 12,21,8,13
Race 13: 9,7,14,11
Race 14: 14,5
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
May 2nd, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,950/23,009 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,636/23,009. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#5 Beira 7-5 27 1st $4.40
#4 Yo Leven 9-5 26 2nd $3.40 Ex $14.00
#1 Rodeo Star 10-1 25
#6 Welcome Back Babe 4-1 24 4th
Race 2:
#3 Peek 6-5 29 2nd $2.70
#2 Sundaeswithsandy 7-2 28 3rd $2.40
#4 Castle Island 4-1 27 1st $13.20 Tri $45.40
#1a Celestial Moon 9-2 26 4th Spr $99
Race 3:
#4 Beach Bomb (SAF) 2-1 35 2nd $2.80
#2 Silvology 3-1 34 3rd $3.10
#5 La Mehana (FR) 5-2 33 4th
#1 Bellezza (IRE) 3-1 32 1st $22.40 Spr $279
Race 4:
#5 Mozambique 7-2 17 scratched
#2 Counter Move 7-5 16 3rd $2.10
#6 Vitalize 3-1 15 4th
#1 Palace Boss 5-1 14 1st $9.90
Race 5:
#6 Java Buzz 6-1 28
#7 Musical Maestro 8-1 27
#4 I See You Lookin 15-1 27 3rd $5.90
#2 Cool Hand Rich 8-1 26
Race 6:
#7 Equus 6-1 28
#2 Pistol Liz Ablazen 2-1 28
#1 Willow Bend 3-1 27
#3 Our Liberty Belle 8-1 26
Race 7:
#3 Short Shift 4-1 27
#4 Echo in Eternity 8-1 26
#5 Snappin Buttons 7-2 26
#1 Jackson’s Dixie 5-2 25
Race 8:
#3 Summer Whirl 5-1 29
#10 Spool 6-1 28
#4 Tongue Twister 8-1 27
#2 Firsttimeinforever 5-2 26
Race 9:
#10 Consumer Sentiment 4-1 18
#8 Mendee 5-1 17
#7 More for Sure (IRE) 9-2 16
#4 Sota Summers 3-1 16
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 5,4
Race 2: 3,2,4,1a/1
Race 3: 4,2,5
Race 4: 5,2 *5 scratched using 2,6
Race 5: 6,7,4,2
$.50 Ticket: $96
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 3,2,4,1a/1
Race 3: 4,2,5,1
Race 4: 5,2 *5 scratched using 2,6
Race 5: 6,7,4,2
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 4 (3-6):
Race 3: 4,2,5,1
Race 4: 5,2,6,1
Race 5: 6,7,4,2
Race 6: 7,2,1
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 4: 5,2 *5 scratched using 2,6
Race 5: 6,7,4,2
Race 6: 7,2
Race 7: 3,4,5
Race 8: 3,10
Race 9: 10
$1.00 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 6,7,4,2
Race 6: 7,2,1
Race 7: 3,4,5,1
Race 8: 3,10,4,2
Race 9: 10
$.50 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 7,2,1
Race 7: 3,4,5,1
Race 8: 3,10,4,2
Race 9: 10,8,7,4
$.50 Ticket: $96
Churchill Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#4 Chasten 2-1 32 2nd $3.04
#3 Shred the Gnar 5-2 31 1st $3.76
#1 Anonima 3-1 30 scratched
#5 Sierra November 8-1 29 scratched
Race 2:
#9 Salted 3-1 19
#3 Saucier 6-1 18 4th
#1 Joyous Song 12-1 18
#4 Defiant Lass 4-1 17 1st $11.80
Race 3:
#11 Vivaldi 5-1 19 2nd $4.64
#10 Some Performance 9-2 19 4th
#3 Profound 4-1 18
#2 Tom Collins 8-1 18
Dirt Selections
#1 Elko County 6-1
#14 Its Bourbon Thirty 8-1
#15 Ambition 10-1
#3 Profound 4-1
#4 Spill the Wine 20-1
Race 4:
#7 Beauty Reigns 9-2 31 1st $14.86
#9 Mindy’s Union 8-1 30
#3 Stable Currency 7-2 29 3rd $2.34
#10 Foie Gras 6-1 29 2nd $5.20
Race 5:
#8 Will Then 9-2 34
#5 Nitrogen 8-5 33 1st $3.94
#2 Vixen 3-1 32 3rd $2.42
#4 Aterradora (IRE) 15-1 31 4th
Dirt Selections
#1 Gowells Delight 10-1
#5 Nitrogen 8-5
#6 Hideaway 15-1
#3 Admit 20-1
Race 6:
#5 Most Wanted 7-2 42 2nd $5.16
#2 Locked 2-1 41 4th
#4 Fierceness 6-5 40 1st $3.88
#3 Hall of Fame 4-1 39 3rd $3.56 Spr $81.78
Race 7:
#4 Raging Sea 9-2 39 1st $10.08
#2 Thorpedo Anna 2-5 39
#5 Randomized 6-1 37 3rd $6.24
#1 Dorth Vader 30-1 35 4th
Race 8:
#8 Saffron Moon 3-1 37 3rd $2.34
#7 She Feels Pretty 6-5 36 1st $3.58
#2 Gimme a Nother 7-2 35 2nd $3.30
#3 Segesta 9-2 34 4th
Dirt Selections
#8 Saffron Moon 3-1
#3 Segesta 9-2
#1 Waves of Mischief 20-1
#4 Pin Up Betty 12-1
Race 9:
#10 Impulse Buy 7-2 35
#12 Eclatant 5-2 34
#6 Kimchi Cat 15-1 33
#5 Verity 3-1 33
Race 10:
#3 Gavea (GER) 15-1 38
#5 Epona’s Hope 6-1 38
#4 Ag Bullet 8-5 37
#7 Crown Imperial 12-1 36
Dirt Selections
#5 Epona’s Hope 6-1
#8 Asternia 20-1
#6 Bling 8-1
#4 Ag Bullet 8-5
Race 11:
#2 Simply Joking (PA) 10-1 40
#7 La Cara 6-1 39
#11 Good Cheer 6-5 39
#6 Ballerina d’Oro 10-1 38
Race 12:
#6 Into Pleasure 9-2 34
#2 Lat Long 8-1 33
#7 Resilience 7-2 33
#10 Not This Boy 4-1 32
Race 13:
#12 Cue the Duckboats 8-1 19
#10 Chaching Chaching 7-2 18
#3 Ivory and Ebony 5-1 18
#7 La Neige 10-1 17
Churchill Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 4,3,1
Race 2: 9,3,1,4
Race 3: 11,10,3 Dirt: 1,14,15
Race 4: 7,9,3
Race 5: 8,5 Dirt: 1,5
$.50 Ticket: $108
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 9,3,1,4
Race 3: 11,10,3,2 Dirt: 1,14,15,3
Race 4: 7,9,3,10
Race 5: 8,5,2 Dirt: 1,5,6
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 11,10,3 Dirt: 1,14,15
Race 4: 7,9,3
Race 5: 8,5,2 Dirt: 1,5,6
Race 6: 5,2,4
Race 7: 4,2
$.50 Ticket: $81
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 7,9,3,10
Race 5: 8,5,2,4 Dirt: 1,5,6,3
Race 6: 5,2,4
Race 7: 4,2
$.50 Ticket: $48 $89.69
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 8,5,2,4 Dirt: 1,5,6,3
Race 6: 5,2,4
Race 7: 4,2,5
Race 8: 8,7 Dirt: 8,3
Race 9: 10,12,6,5
$.50 Ticket: $144
Pick 6:
Race 6: 5,2,4
Race 7: 4,2
Race 8: 8,7,2 Dirt: 8,3,1
Race 9: 10,12,6,5
Race 10: 3,5,4 Dirt: 5,8,6
Race 11: 2,7,11
$.20 Ticket: $129.60
Pick 5 (7-11):
Race 7: 4,2,5
Race 8: 8,7,2 Dirt: 8,3,1
Race 9: 10,12,6,5
Race 10: 3,5,4,7 Dirt: 5,8,6,4
Race 11: 2,7,11
$.50 Ticket: $216
Pick 4 (8-11):
Race 8: 8,7 Dirt: 8,3
Race 9: 10,12,6,5
Race 10: 3,5,4,7 Dirt: 5,8,6,4
Race 11: 2,7,11,6
$.50 Ticket: $64
Late Pick 5:
Race 9: 10,12,6,5
Race 10: 3,5,4,7 Dirt: 5,8,6,4
Race 11: 2,7,11,6
Race 12: 6,2,7
Race 13: 12,10,3
$.50 Ticket: $288
Late Pick 4:
Race 10: 3,5,4 Dirt: 5,8,6
Race 11: 2,7,11
Race 12: 6,2,7,10
Race 13: 12,10,3,7
$.50 Ticket: $72
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
May 1st, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,947/23,001 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,634/23,001. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Friday & Saturday’s Churchill Downs Oaks/Derby Full Card Picks/Plays will be posted here in addition to Aqueduct on both days…
*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#2 Cupid’s Heart 7-5 32 3rd $2.10
#1 Tipple 5-2 31 scratched
#4 Golden Degree 4-1 30 2nd $4.00
#6 Caldwell Luvs Gold 4-1 30 1st $7.30 Tri $40.80
Race 2:
#5 Book of Wisdom 6-1 27 4th
#3 Harlan’s Bond 7-2 26
#2 Dashing Della 5-1 25 2nd $7.00
#1 Despo’s Dream 6-1 24
Race 3:
#2 Goldfire 7-2 28
#6 Golden Purchase 6-1 27
#9 Sunday Gilt 5-1 27
#3 Iron Man Ira 3-1 26
Race 4:
#7 Irish Jackson 6-1 27
#5 Gone and Forgotten 3-1 27
#9 My First Love 4-1 26
#4 Spiritual Lady 6-1 25
Race 5:
#3 Total Sensation 5-1 17
#2 Nantz 4-1 16
#9 Honor the Bull 10-1 15
#1 Dark Devil 3-1 15
Race 6:
#5 Linarite 7-2 28
#1 Quick Power Nap 9-2 27
#4 Marian Cross (GB) 3-1 26
#2 Duboff 15-1 26
Race 7:
#4 Cassiar 3-1 33
#1 Scottish Lasie 8-5 32
#3 Vanilla Sundae 8-1 31
#7 Little Margaret 9-2 30
Race 8:
#10 Lakeside Getaway 4-1 29
#6 Big Beautiful (IRE) 7-5 28
#5 Bottle Rocket (FR) 6-1 27
#9 Determined Princess 6-1 27
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 2,1 *1 scratched using 2,4
Race 2: 5,3,2
Race 3: 2,6,9,3
Race 4: 7,5,9
Race 5: 3,2,9,1
$.50 Ticket: $144
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 5,3,2
Race 3: 2,6,9,3
Race 4: 7,5,9,4
Race 5: 3,2,9,1
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 3: 2,6,9
Race 4: 7,5,9
Race 5: 3,2
Race 6: 5,1
Race 7: 4,1
Race 8: 10,6
$1.00 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 5:
Race 4: 7,5,9,4
Race 5: 3,2,9,1
Race 6: 5,1,4
Race 7: 4,1
Race 8: 10,6,5
$.50 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 4:
Race 5: 3,2,9,1
Race 6: 5,1,4,2
Race 7: 4,1,3,7
Race 8: 10,6
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
April 27th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,940/22,992 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,639/22,992. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*6 on top winners last Saturday at Keeneland …
*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#5 Khafre 3-1 28 1st $8.50
#2 O P Firecracker 8-5 27 2nd $3.10 Ex $18.60
#6 Retail Man 12-1 26 4th
#4 Commandperformance 5-1 26
Race 2:
#2 Fortuna Mia 9-2 29
#5 Briland 7-5 29 4th
#1 Army Gal 5-2 28 2nd $5.00
#3 Twirling Beauty 5-1 27
Race 3:
#4 Runandscore 2-1 30 3rd $3.30
#2 Waralo 4-1 28 4th
#6 Stewie 4-1 28 2nd $3.60
#1 Messi the Magician 20-1 27
Race 4:
#5 Smooth Breeze 5-2 29 1st $4.90
#9 Pay the Juice 4-1 28 3rd $4.30
#6 Royal Browne 5-1 28
#4 Courtly Banker 6-1 27 4th
Dirt Selections
#9 Pay the Juice 4-1
#7 Willintoriskitall 10-1
#1 I’m Solo N in Love 15-1
Race 5:
#1 Floy Joy 15-1 17
#12 Bodegas 12-1 16
#7 Mommy’s Turn 5-1 15
#2 Perugia 5-2 15
Dirt Selections
#12 Bodegas 12-1
#15 Lollipops 7-2
#2 Perugia 5-2 1st $4.70
#7 Mommy’s Turn 5-1 scratched
#6 Sunshine Lily 12-1 2nd $4.50
Race 6:
#4 Top Spin Ace 5-1 18 4th
#8 Dear Moon 7-2 18 2nd $4.00
#6 Kay Cup 5-2 17 1st $3.40
#5 Munnings Express 4-1 17 3rd $2.60 Spr $77.40
Race 7:
#7 Cornucopian 3-5 36 2nd
#3 Garamond 5-1 34 1st $7.70
#4 Keewaydin 9-2 33 scratched
#5 Sand Devil 6-1 32 scratched
Race 8:
#5 Opulent Restraint 5-1 33 2nd $3.80
#2 Laurelin (IRE) 2-1 32 1st $6.90 Ex $20.00
#9 Virgin Colada 5-2 32 3rd $2.40 Tri $52.00
#7 Love Cervere 6-1 31 scratched
Dirt Selections
#10 Bernieandtherose 8-5
Race 9:
#9 Leon Blue 2-1 16
#11 Cousin Ed 5-1 15
#3 Rhyton 9-2 15
#6 Nothingbutnitro 30-1 14
Dirt Selections
#15 Mozambique 5-2 scratched
#7 No Problem 8-1
#5 Eighty Gold 20-1
#9 Leon Blue 2-1 1st $7.50
#16 Kings and Queens 8-1
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 5,2
Race 2: 2,5,1,3
Race 3: 4,2,6
Race 4: 5,9,6 Dirt: 9,7,1
Race 5: 1,12,7,2 Dirt: 12,15,2,6
$.50 Ticket: $144
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 2,5,1
Race 3: 4,2,6
Race 4: 5,9,6 Dirt: 9,7,1
Race 5: 1,12,7,2 Dirt: 12,15,2,6
$.50 Ticket: $54
Pick 4 (3-6):
Race 3: 4,2,6,1
Race 4: 5,9,6,4 Dirt: 9,7,1
Race 5: 1,12,7,2 Dirt: 12,15,2,6
Race 6: 4,8,6
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 4: 5,9 Dirt: 9,7
Race 5: 1,12,7,2 Dirt: 12,15,2,6
Race 6: 4,8,6
Race 7: 7
Race 8: 5,2 Dirt: 10
Race 9: 9,11 Dirt: 7,5
$1.00 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 1,12,7,2 Dirt: 12,15,2,6
Race 6: 4,8,6,5
Race 7: 7,3
Race 8: 5,2,9 Dirt: 10
Race 9: 9,11,3 Dirt: 7,5,9
$.50 Ticket: $144 $365.50
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 4,8,6,5
Race 7: 7,3
Race 8: 5,2,9,7 Dirt: 10
Race 9: 9,11,3,6 Dirt: 7,5,9,16
$.50 Ticket: $64 $64.12
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
