November 13th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

• November 12, 2025
• Free Picks & Plays
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Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,676/24,223 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 11,158/24,223. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Middle Pick 4 for us last Friday at Aqueduct…$322.93 on a $32 ticket…

*Early Pick 5 for us last Saturday at Aqueduct…$207.30 on a $36 ticket…

*Early Pick 4 for us last Saturday at Aqueduct…$143.49 on a $36 ticket…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Leading Role 7-5                    27 3rd $2.92
#2 Dark Vector 2-1                      26 4th
#6 Wajda 4-1                                 25 2nd $4.96
#4 Enduring Spirit 8-1                24 1st $9.02 Spr $239.40

Race 2:

#2 Brew Pub 3-1                           28 4th
#3 Systematic Change 9-5          27 1st $3.36
#1 Skylander 4-1                           26
#6 Suerte 5-1                                 25

Race 3:

#1 Hellacious 9-2                          17 2nd $4.72
#7 Billy White Shoes (IRE) 8-1   16
#5 Dew 6-1                                      15
#3 Snare 5-2                                    14 3rd $2.68

Dirt Selections

#15 Free Spin 3-1
#16 Fiddling Felix 9-2
#1 Hellacious 9-2
#14 Momentum Files 7-5
#13 Magnanimous Max 8-1

Race 4:

#7 Peek 2-1                                   28 2nd $2.58
#3 O P Firecracker 3-1                27
#4 Winter’s Ghost 4-1                 26 4th
#2 Bob John Ray 4-1                    26

Race 5:

#12 Livin the Breeze 9-2              16 1st $20.70
#10 Cara’s Dreamchaser 3-1       16
#5 Silly Season 5-2                        15 2nd $6.08
#7 Bernina Express 10-1              14

Dirt Selections

#16 Factory Setting 7-5
#15 Cathedral Aisle 15-1
#5 Silly Season 5-2
#4 Intothewilderness 15-1

Race 6:

#2 Mutaawid 7-2                          32 1st $15.68 Dbl $114.38
#5 Dirand (IRE) 3-1                     31 2nd $4.52 Ex $46.82
#3 Space Legend (IRE) 2-1         30 3rd $2.20 Tri $122.68
#9 Dupont Law (IRE) 6-1            29 4th Spr $809

Dirt Selections

#13 Land d’Oro 9-5
#8 Interceptor 10-1
#12 Playa Del Mar 3-1
#1 Create Trouble 20-1

Race 7:

#7 Senza Parole 9-5                      33 1st $4.04 Dbl $29.58
#5 Mazayaat 10-1                          32                    Pk 3 $211.98
#6 Army Gal 3-1                             31 3rd $2.36
#2 Despo’s Dream 10-1                 30

Race 8:

#8 Fancy Lights 4-1                       29 4th
#2 Neshika 8-1                                28
#5 Maria Callas 8-1                         28
#4 Boomington 9-2                         27 3rd $3.82

Dirt Selections

#7 Cosmic Candy Girl 9-2
#2 Neshika 8-1
#4 Boomington 9-2

Race 9:

#4 Wicked Improbable 5-1             19
#5 Operation Overlord 6-1             18 4th
#3 A Bourbon for Toby 9-2              18 1st $7.50
#6 Disclaimer 7-2                              17 3rd $2.84

Dirt Selections

#12 Salvation 2-1
#10 Roger Roger 6-1

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,2

Race 2:  2,3,1,6

Race 3:  1,7,5,3 Dirt: 15,16,1,14

Race 4:  7,3

Race 5:  12,10,5 Dirt: 16,15,5

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  2,3

Race 3:  1,7,5,3 Dirt: 15,16,1,14

Race 4:  7,3,4,2

Race 5:  12,10,5,7 Dirt: 16,15,5,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  1,7,5,3 Dirt: 15,16,1,14

Race 4:  7,3

Race 5:  12,10,5 Dirt: 16,15,5

Race 6:  2,5,3 Dirt: 13,8,12

Race 7:  7,5,6

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 6:

Race 4:  7,3

Race 5:  12,10,5 Dirt: 16,15,5

Race 6:  2,5,3 Dirt:  13,8,12

Racc 7:  7

Race 8:  8,2,5,4 Dirt: 7,2,4

Race 9:  4,5,3

$1.00 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  12,10,5 Dirt: 16,15,5

Race 6:  2,5,3 Dirt: 13,8,12

Race 7:  7,5,6

Race 8:  8,2,5 Dirt: 7,2,4

Race 9:  4,5,3 Dirt: 12,10

$.50 Ticket:  $121.50

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  2,5,3 Dirt: 13,8,12

Race 7:  7,5,6

Race 8:  8,2,5,4 Dirt: 7,2,4

Race 9:  4,5,3,6 Dirt: 12,10

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.