A Winning Day at the Races!
November 14th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,680/24,232 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 11,163/24,232. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Middle Pick 4 for us last Friday at Aqueduct…$322.93 on a $32 ticket…
*Early Pick 5 for us last Saturday at Aqueduct…$207.30 on a $36 ticket…
*Early Pick 4 for us last Saturday at Aqueduct…$143.49 on a $36 ticket…
*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#6 Echo in Eternity 6-5 27 1st $3.10
#2 Mambagigi 7-2 26 scratched
#5 Book of Wisdom 8-1 25 3rd $2.46
#4 Ghostly Girl 15-1 24 4th
Race 2:
#7 Golden Plate 2-1 29 scratched
#3 Free Dance 4-1 28 3rd $3.00
#6 Social Hour 3-1 27 1st $3.82
#2 Aero Star 8-1 26 4th
Race 3:
#6 Guilty 7-2 18
#7 Poppy’s Ticket 6-1 17 3rd $4.22
#3 Counter Move 9-2 16
#4 Merica’s Back 7-5 16 1st $3.34
Race 4:
#5 Gypsy Art 2-1 18 3rd $2.10
#2 Eva Ready 5-1 17 1st $10.04
#8 Chasing Freedom 5-2 17 4th
#9 Brooklyn Styles 8-1 16 scratched
Race 5:
#5 Caroline St. Beat 5-2 29 2nd $3.64
#6 Jaxer 4-1 28 1st $8.68 Ex $33.46
#2 Truman’s Commander 6-1 28
#1 Spirit of New York 3-1 27 4th
Race 6:
#6 Twisted Banker 8-1 15 4th
#2 Red Fern 12-1 14
#4 Central Spirit 12-1 13 scratched
#1 The Toy Cannon 7-2 12 2nd $3.64
Race 7:
#5 Brave Buck 5-2 27 1st $5.76
#3 Tarpaulin 3-1 26
#8 Ride Up 8-1 25 4th
#1 Funny Uncle 8-1 25
Race 8:
#2 Mr Flowers 7-2 30
#8 Hedge the Risk 8-1 28
#11 Just for Luck 6-1 27 3rd $4.46
#10 Blown Cover 10-1 26 1st $18.28
Race 9:
#10 My Munny Talks 7-2 18
#9 Music in Motion 9-2 18 4th
#3 Cerro Rico 10-1 17 1st $10.28
#4 Twenty One Red 5-2 16
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 6,2 *2 scratched using 6,5 6
Race 2: 7,3,6 *7 scratched using 3,6,2 6
Race 3: 6,7,3,4 4
Race 4: 5,2,8 2
Race 5: 5,6,2 6
$.50 Ticket: $108 $141.09
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 7,3,6,2 6
Race 3: 6,7,3,4 4
Race 4: 5,2,8 2
Race 5: 5,6 6
$.50 Ticket: $36 $61.42
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 6,7,3,4
Race 4: 5,2,8
Race 5: 5,6,2
Race 6: 6,2,4,1
Race 7: 5,3
$.50 Ticket: $144
Pick 6:
Race 4: 5,2,8
Race 5: 5
Race 6: 6,2,4,1
Race 7: 5
Race 8: 2
Race 9: 10,9,3,4
$1.00 Ticket: $48
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 5,6,2,1
Race 6: 6,2,4,1
Race 7: 5,3
Race 8: 2,8,11
Race 9: 10,9
$.50 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 6,2,4,1
Race 7: 5,3
Race 8: 2,8,11,10
Race 9: 10,9,3,4
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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