May 15th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,366/25,293 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,672/25,293. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Late Pick 4 for us last Thursday at Aqueduct…$128.65 on a $40.50 ticket…

*Late Pick 5 for us last Thursday at Aqueduct…$373.85 on a $108 ticket…

*Pick 6 for us last Thursday at Aqueduct…$1,997.14 on a $108 ticket…

*Middle Pick 4 for us last Saturday at Churchill…$860.89 on a $48 ticket…

*Middle Pick 5 for us last Saturday at Churchill…$7,167.64 on a $144 ticket…

*Early Pick 5 for us last Sunday at Aqueduct…$260.87 on a $72 ticket…

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Laurel Park Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#3 Tylos 7-5 18
#6 First Site 9-2 17
#1 Medieval 6-1 16
#5 Goodbye to Romance 7-2 16

Race 2:

#6 Anyway 5-2 31
#5 Special Ops 1-1 30
#3 Southeastern 4-1 29
#1 B Provocateur 8-1 28

Race 3:

#7 Motorcade 3-1 28
#3 Art Fair 7-2 28
#1 Caramel Chip 2-1 27
#4 Free Dance 8-1 26

Race 4:

#2 Agia Marina 5-1 29
#7 Three to G 3-1 29
#3 Thiene (IRE) 9-2 28
#6 Starship Athena 8-1 27

Race 5:

#3 Fraudster 5-2 16
#5 Magnum’s Microbrst 7-2 15
#2 Ocean Ripple 6-1 14
#9 Devilish Grin 9-2 14

Race 6:

#2 Illmatic 6-5 30
#3 Fireballin 7-2 28
#1 Mozambique 6-1 27
#5 Leo’s Reward 6-1 26

Race 7:

#8 Heavenly Light 10-1 27
#9 Juliet On Approach 9-2 27
#2 Hauntress 20-1 26
#3 North End Lady 7-2 25

Race 8:

#7 Rollin in Dough 7-2 32
#6 City of Oscars 3-1 31
#5 Willintoriskitall 8-1 30
#1 Alexis Zorba (GB) 12-1 29

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 3,6,1,5

Race 2: 6,5

Race 3: 7,3,1

Race 4: 2,7,3

Race 5: 3,5

$.50 Ticket: $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 6,5

Race 3: 7,3,1

Race 4: 2,7,3

Race 5: 3,5,2

$.50 Ticket: $27

Pick 6:

Race 3: 7,3,1

Race 4: 2,7,3

Race 5: 3,5

Race 6: 2

Race 7: 8,9,2,3

Race 8: 7,6

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 2,7,3

Race 5: 3,5,2,9

Race 6: 2,3

Race 7: 8,9,2,3

Race 8: 7,6,5

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 5: 3,5,2,9

Race 6: 2,3

Race 7: 8,9,2,3

Race 8: 7,6,5,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

Laurel Park Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#9 Tax and Tags 20-1 14
#2 Isaiah Fiftythree 6-1 13
#6 J C’s Boys 7-2 13
#4 Regency Tale 4-1 12

Race 2:

#10 Without Borders 4-1 30
#8 Boastfully Irish 20-1 29
#11 Big Tankness 5-2 29
#7 Built by Khozan 5-1 28

Race 3:

#3 Lonesome Road 6-5 33
#7 Statesman 6-1 32
#6 Surfside Moon 7-2 31
#2 Derbyness 4-1 30

Race 4:

#4 Tough Workout 15-1 28
#7 Noah Chance 9-2 27
#8 Barzini 7-5 26
#2 Catahoula Moon 20-1 26

Race 5:

#5 Se Thar Barr 6-1 16
#2 Garage Beers 10-1 15
#1 Country Bumpkin 4-1 14
#8 Typhoon Kuhn 10-1 13

Race 6:

#4 Raisin Weekend 10-1 15
#7 Sota Summers 3-1 14
#1 American Tapit 7-2 14
#2 Toocoolforschool 8-1 13

Race 7:

#8 King Size 3-1 32
#10 Sardis 20-1 31
#12 Light Mood (FR) 6-1 30
#5 Sky’s Not Falling 8-1 29

Race 8:

#5 Tessellate 9-2 30
#1 Little Miss Curlin 9-5 30
#7 Victory Music 8-1 29
#6 Late Night Text 10-1 28

Race 9:

#2 Ultimate Love 4-5 31
#1 Use Me 7-2 (IRE) 7-2 30
#4 Siouxse 12-1 29
#3 Coach Mazzula 6-1 28

Race 10:

#2 Margie’s Intention 1-1 32
#6 Queen Azteca 5-1 31
#4 Complexity Jane 5-1 30
#1 Low Country Magic 12-1 29

Race 11:

#2 Sporting Lady 6-1 33
#9 Les Reys (FR) 8-1 32
#8 Sunna 6-1 31
#5 Saturday Flirt 6-5 31

Race 12:

#2 Navajo Warrior 5-2 35
#7 Yo Daddy 3-1 34
#1 Maclean’s Rook 4-1 33
#4 Awesome Aaron 9-2 32

Race 13:

#3 Holly’s Holiday 6-1 32
#10 My Miss Mo 7-2 31
#9 A. P.’s Girl 5-1 30
#1 Miss Fulton Girl 30-1 29

Race 14:

#3 Tartabull 7-2 28
#6 Close the Gate 7-2 27
#2 Street Party 9-2 27
#7 Bala de Plata 3-1 26

Laurel Park Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 9,2,6,4

Race 2: 10,8,11,7

Race 3: 3,7,6

Race 4: 4,7,8

Race 5: 5,2,1

$.50 Ticket: $216

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 10,8,11,7

Race 3: 3,7

Race 4: 4,7,8,2

Race 5: 5,2,1,8

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 3,7,6

Race 4: 4,7,8

Race 5: 5,2,1,8

Race 6: 4,7,1

Race 7: 8,10,12

$.50 Ticket: $162

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 4,7,8

Race 5: 5,2,1

Race 6: 4,7,1

Race 7: 8,10,12,5

$.50 Ticket: $54

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 5,2,1,8

Race 6: 4,7,1,2

Race 7: 8,10,12,5

Race 8: 5,1

Race 9: 2,1

$.50 Ticket: $128

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 4,7,1,2

Race 7: 8,10,12,5

Race 8: 5,1,7,6

Race 9: 2,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (7-11):

Race 7: 8,10,12,5

Race 8: 5,1,7

Race 9: 2,1

Race 10: 2,6

Race 11: 2,9,8,5

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 6:

Race 8: 5,1,7

Race 9: 2,1

Race 10: 2,6,4

Race 11: 2,9,8,5

Race 12: 2,7

Race 13: 3,10,9

$.20 Ticket: $86.40

Late Pick 5:

Race 9: 2,1,4,3

Race 10: 2,6,4

Race 11: 2,9,8,5

Race 12: 2,7,1

Race 13: 3,10,9

$.50 Ticket: $216

Pick 4 (10-13):

Race 10: 2,6,4

Race 11: 2,9,8,5

Race 12: 2,7

Race 13: 3,10,9,1

$.50 Ticket: $48

Late Pick 4:

Race 11: 2,9,8,5

Race 12: 2,7,1,4

Race 13: 3,10,9

Race 14: 3,6,2

$.50 Ticket: $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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