A Winning Day at the Races!
May 16th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site nine years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,378/25,315 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,682/25,315. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Late Pick 4 for us last Thursday at Aqueduct…$128.65 on a $40.50 ticket…
*Late Pick 5 for us last Thursday at Aqueduct…$373.85 on a $108 ticket…
*Pick 6 for us last Thursday at Aqueduct…$1,997.14 on a $108 ticket…
*Middle Pick 4 for us last Saturday at Churchill…$860.89 on a $48 ticket…
*Middle Pick 5 for us last Saturday at Churchill…$7,167.64 on a $144 ticket…
*Early Pick 5 for us last Sunday at Aqueduct…$260.87 on a $72 ticket…
*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Laurel Park Picks/Plays below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#1 Factually Correct 4-1 29
#3 Big Hat Willie 3-1 29
#2 Nabokov 4-1 28
#5 Clancy Fancy 9-2 27
Race 2:
#5 Gena B 7-2 30
#6 Prince of Broadway 3-1 29
#2 Niche 4-1 28
#1 Law School 4-1 28
Race 3:
#5 Chardonnay Derby 7-2 26
#8 Will of a Womanne 5-2 25
#2 That’sthefactjack 5-1 25
#3 Combatant’s Song 15-1 24
Race 4:
#5 Shore War 5-1 31
#4 Soloshot 3-1 30
#1 Sadie Earp 7-2 29
#6 Madonna of Loreto 8-1 28
Race 5:
#3 Private Flight 5-2 27
#8 Swiss Army Knife 9-5 26
#6 Magnum’s Macrobrst 15-1 25
#1 Isola d’Oro 8-1 25
Race 6:
#6 Texas Red Hot 6-1 29
#2 Brew Pub 9-2 28
#1 High Tide 7-2 27
#4 Prove Worthy 3-1 26
Race 7:
#3 Peyton 5-2 16
#9 Mykonos 3-1 15
#4 War Anthem 8-1 15
#8 Until Last Call 5-1 14
Race 8:
#3 Athena’s Fury 3-1 16
#7 Sky Low Low 8-1 15
#1 Rocket Robin 6-1 14
#9 Night Jasmine 5-2 13
Race 9:
#5 Ez Roll 9-2 30
#6 Lotsa Trouble 9-2 29
#3 Berning Beauty 12-1 28
#2 Leftembehind 8-1 28
Race 10:
#6 Burning Bridges 4-1 29
#10 Joker On Fire 5-1 28
#2 Lawyer Mason 8-1 27
#4 Voodoo Doll 8-1 27
Race 11:
#8 Sleep Walking 5-2 17
#4 Qbits 12-1 16
#6 Emotionlyavailble 6-1 15
#2 Rons Legacy 12-1 15
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 1,3,2,5
Race 2: 5,6,2
Race 3: 5,8
Race 4: 5,4,1
Race 5: 3,8
$.50 Ticket: $72
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 5,6,2,1
Race 3: 5,8
Race 4: 5,4,1
Race 5: 3,8
$.50 Ticket: $24
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 5,8,2
Race 4: 5,4,1
Race 5: 3,8,6,1
Race 6: 6,2,1
Race 7: 3,9
$.50 Ticket: $108
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 5,4,1,6
Race 5: 3,8
Race 6: 6,2,1,4
Race 7: 3,9,4,8
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 3,8,6,1
Race 6: 6,2,1,4
Race 7: 3,9
Race 8: 3,7,1,9
Race 9: 5,6
$.50 Ticket: $128
Pick 6:
Race 6: 6,2,1,4
Race 7: 3,9
Race 8: 3,7,1
Race 9: 5,6
Race 10: 6,10
Race 11: 8
$1.00 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 5:
Race 7: 3,9,4,8
Race 8: 3,7,1,9
Race 9: 5,6,3
Race 10: 6,10
Race 11: 8,4
$.50 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 4:
Race 8: 3,7,1,9
Race 9: 5,6
Race 10: 6,10,2,4
Race 11: 8,4,6,2
$.50 Ticket: $64
Laurel Park Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#7 Epic Style 8-5 30
#3 Cairo Street 6-1 29
#2 Boujee Bubblez 7-2 29
#11 River Seine (IRE) AE12-1 28
#1 Sally’s Gold 8-1 28
Race 2:
#1a Blue Kingdom 6-5 34
#12 Grand Opening 8-1 32
#5 Suremeanttoobe 12-1 31
#6 Radical Right 12-1 31
Race 3:
#6 Munny Problem 9-2 17
#3 Naabaahii 7-2 16
#5 Scanner 5-1 16
#4 Master Sommelier 4-1 15
Race 4:
#2 Passage East 3-1 32
#3 Kappa Kappa 5-2 31
#1 Striker Has Dial 8-1 30
#6 Complexity Jane 12-1 29
Race 5:
#4 Sassari 5-2 29
#5 Serenity Song 10-1 28
#9 Tideoftime 10-1 27
#8 So Darn Pretty (IRE) 12-1 27
Race 6:
#4 Final Story 2-1 33
#7 Reagan’s Honor 7-5 32
#5 Falcon Jet 10-1 31
#1 Minorinconvenience 12-1 30
Race 7:
#5 Igniter 5-2 33
#4 Obliteration 6-5 32
#2 Hollywood Import 15-1 31
#3 Buds Notion 12-1 30
Race 8:
#5 Floodlites 4-1 36
#2 Faster Gator9-2 35
#6 Celtic Contender 9-2 34
#1 Bring the Smoke 10-1 33
Race 9:
#5 Proton 9-5 33
#3 Zihnal 6-1 32
#4 Attfield 9-2 32
#1 My Favorite Bird 10-1 31
Race 10:
#6 Dresden Row 7-5 34
#3 Cruise the Nile 9-5 33
#2 Thundering 15-1 32
#5 A Bourbon for Toby 12-1 31
Race 11:
#2 Ribaltagaia 6-1 33
#7 Child of the Moon (FR) 5-2 32
#6 Cheetah Lady 12-1 31
#3 Accent (GB) 3-1 31
Race 12:
#8 Outlaw Kid 5-1 35
#1 Run Curtis Run 4-1 34
#4 Chasing Liberty 3-1 33
#7 Isivunguvungu (SAF) 10-1 33
Race 13:
#1 Taj Mahal 5-1 35
#9 Iron Honor 9-2 33
#6 Chip Honcho 5-1 32
#7 The Hell We Did 15-1 32
Race 14:
#4 Bruno 4-1 16
#8 Holy Moly Mitole 9-2 15
#6 Grant the Great 3-1 15
#9 Mister Monday Nite 6-1 14
Laurel Park Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 7,3,2,11
Race 2: 1a/1,12,5
Race 3: 6,3
Race 4: 2,3,1
Race 5: 4,5,9,8
$.50 Ticket: $144
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 1a/1,12
Race 3: 6,3,5,4
Race 4: 2,3,1,6
Race 5: 4,5,9,8
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 6,3,5
Race 4: 2,3,1
Race 5: 4,5,9,8
Race 6: 4,7
Race 7: 5,4
$.50 Ticket: $72
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 2,3
Race 5: 4,5,9,8
Race 6: 4,7
Race 7: 5,4
$.50 Ticket: $16
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 4,5,9,8
Race 6: 4,7,5
Race 7: 5,4
Race 8: 5,2,6
Race 9: 5,3,4
$.50 Ticket: $108
Pick 4 (6-9):
Race 6: 4,7
Race 7: 5,4,2,3
Race 8: 5,2,6
Race 9: 5,3,4
$.50 Ticket: $36
Pick 5 (7-11):
Race 7: 5,4
Race 8: 5,2,6,1
Race 9: 5,3,4,1
Race 10: 6,3
Race 11: 2,7,6,3
$.50 Ticket: $128
Pick 6:
Race 8: 5,2,6
Race 9: 5,3,4
Race 10: 6,3
Race 11: 2,7,6,3
Race 12: 8,1,4
Race 13: 1,9,6
$.20 Ticket: $129.60
Late Pick 5:
Race 9: 5,3,4,1
Race 10: 6,3
Race 11: 2,7,6,3
Race 12: 8,1,4
Race 13: 1,9,6,7
$.50 Ticket: $192
Pick 4 (10-13):
Race 10: 6,3
Race 11: 2,7,6,3
Race 12: 8,1,4,7
Race 13: 1,9,6,7
$.50 Ticket: $64
Late Pick 4:
Race 11: 2,7,6,3
Race 12: 8,1,4,7
Race 13: 1,9,6
Race 14: 4,8,6
$.50 Ticket: $72
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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