A Winning Day at the Races!

May 19th , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

*Picks will only be available on weekends for the foreseeable future, and will be posted here on the Free Page.

*All Belmont Picks are Handicapped For a Sloppy/Dirt Surface

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :          Strength Variable:

#1a Abyssinian 7-5                             21
#5 Mertz 5-2                                        19
#7 Ma Meatloaf 3-1                            18
#1 Romani 7-5                                     16

Race 2 :

#5 Dreams Are Free 5-2                      24
#6 Salty Smile 9-5                                23
#1 Blissful Breeze 7-5                          23
#4 Honey Graeme 10-1                        21

Race 3 :

#9 Minsky Moment 5-2                       27
#8 Gio d’Oro 8-1                                   25
#11 Engineers Report 8-1                   24
#4 Dynamax Prime 15-1                      22

Race 4 :

#4 Major League 5-2                             25
#5 Toohottoevenspeak 7-2                  25
#1 Missle Bomb 9-2                               23
#3 Holding Aces 4-1                              22

Race 5 :

#5 Darlablue 15-1                                   18
#10 My First Gal 6-1                               18
#9 Single Mission 9-2                             17
#3 Celtic Serenade 15-1                         15

Race 6 :

#4 Daring Destiny 5-2                           23
#5 Asphalt Paving 3-1                           22
#1 Flatexcel 7-2                                       21
#8 Beyond Honor 10-1                           19

Race 7 :

#4 Rock Doc 5-1                                       27
#9 Blue Belt 7-2                                        26
#10 Sudden Surprise 3-1                         25
#2 Mission Command 6-1                       23

Race 8 :

#1 Calculated Risker 7-2                         28
#2 Horoscope 6-5                                      28
#3 Evaluator 6-1                                        27
#6 Charming Indy 12-1                            26

Race 9 :

#5 Elevenses 8-1                                          30
#7 Strategic Dreams 15-1                          30
#3 Nootka Sound 5-1                                  29
#4 Mominou 6-1                                          28

Race 10 :

#9 Missbigtimes 7-2                                    25 *Best Bet
#4 Queenofeverything 5-2                         23
#3 Downtown At Noon 9-2                        22
#7 Reata’s Reward 6-1                                 22

* No Pick 4/5 Plays Today with the weather/surface uncertainty.

Pimlico Selections

Race 1 :              Strength Variable :

#1 Autostrade 6-5                                       26
#7 Hill Shadow 9-2                                     24
#4 Flash Attack 2-1                                     23
#6 Correjon 15-1                                          21

Race 2 :

#9 She Doesn’t Mind (FR) 3-1                  28
#5 Aquamarina (GB) 6-1                            26
#3 Going Out 6-1                                         24
#12 Monte Crista 10-1                                24

Off-Turf :

#4 Contrarian 9-2
#3 Going Out 6-1
#10 Conjecture 7-2
#8 Oh My 15-1

Race 3 :

#8 Pop Keenan 5-2                                      28
#7 Forge 8-5                                                  27
#6 Happy Farm 7-2                                      26
#3 Ballivor 10-1                                            24

Race 4 :

#3 Mai Ty One On 5-2                                 27
#5 Square Shooter 4-1                                 26
#12 Dothat Dance 12-1                                24
#9 Fear 10-1                                                   23

Off-Turf :

#5 Square Shooter 4-1
#6 Big Bella Brown 20-1
#9 Fear 10-1
#7 Warleigh 6-1

Race 5 :

#6 Say the Word 5-2                                    26
#9 Coltandmississippi 3-1                          26
#4 Black Stetson 9-2                                    25
#3 Tap Daddy 12-1                                       23

Off-Turf :

#5 California Night 6-1
#9 Coltandmississippi 3-1
#4 Black Stetson 9-2
#7 Threes Over Deuces 6-1

Race 6 :

#7 Uncle Mojo 6-5                                        28 *Best Bet
#1 Hollywood Strike 9-2                             25
#10 Deal Driven 8-1                                     24
#3 Bo Vuk 6-1                                                22

Race 7 :

#4 Frostmourne 9-2                                     36
#1 Fire Away 6-1                                           35
#7 World Approval 1-1                                35
#6 Just Howard 12-1                                     33

Race 8 :

#5 Mitole 3-5                                                 34
#7 Curly’s Rocket 6-1                                   30
#9 Soutache 8-1                                             29
#3 Pure Shot 10-1                                          28

Race 9 :

#6 Blessed Silence (FR) 12-1                       32
#8 Elysea’s World (IRE) 9-5                         31
#3 Ultra Brat 5-1                                            30
#2 Brooks House 12-1                                   28

Race 10 :

#5 Switzerland 5-2                                          33
#9 Long Haul Bay 2-1                                     32
#6 Irish Colonel 10-1                                      30
#3 Red Dragon Tattoo 12-1                           29

Race 11 :

#11 Smiling Causeway 7-2                            34
#12 Just Talkin 9-2                                          32
#7 Girls Know Best 3-1                                   31
#9 Daylight Ahead 20-1                                  29

Off-Turf :

#7 Girls Know Best 3-1
#3 Pretty Perfection 10-1
#5 Angel At War 30-1
#1 Chanteline 6-1

Race 12 :

#8 Ax Man 8-5                                                 32
#11 Title Ready 5-1                                        30
#2 Pony Up 7-2                                                29
#1 Forest Fire 15-1                                          27

Race 13 :

#7 Justify 1-2                                                    44
#5 Good Magic 3-1                                          40
#1 Quip 12-1                                                     38
#2 Lone Sailor 15-1                                          35

Race 14 :

#6 Iredell 5-2                                                    26
#5 Ugottahaveheart 3-1                                  25
#8 Sir Bond 10-1                                               23
#3 Phil’s Cocktail 5-1                                       22

* No Pick 4/5 Plays Today with the weather/surface uncertainty.

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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