A Winning Day at the Races!

May 20th , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

*Picks will only be available on weekends for the foreseeable future, and will be posted here on the Free Page.

*All Belmont Picks are Handicapped For a Sloppy/Dirt Surface

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :       Strength Variable:

#4 Run Rate 8-1                             22
#11 C K Dexter Haven 7-2            21
#8 Bridey’s Kitten 9-2                   19
#6 Stormy Forecast 3-1                 18

Race 2 :

#6 You Promise 2-1                        19
#5 Way Over Budget 6-5                18
#3 Abeja Negra 6-1                         16

Race 3 :

#5 Conquest Twister 4-1               25
#6 Too Fast to Pass 7-2                  24
#9 Forest Blue 5-2                           24
#2 Foreset 5-1                                   23

Race 4 :

#5 Scorpion Bowl 5-1                      24
#6 Kreah’s Ribbon 10-1                   22
#10 Caitriona 12-1                            21
#3 Saratoga Sass 12-1                      19

Race 5 :

#2 Midnight Bounty 9-5                 25 *Best Bet
#4 Ritzy Lass 2-1                              23
#1 Doinwhatshelikes 5-2                22
#6 Madame Barbarian 9-2               21

Race 6 :

#13 Beach Access 8-1                        26
#12 Theresa’s Boy 9-2                       25
#1 Gambler’s Fallacy 3-1                  23
#3 Lemon Blitz 5-2                             23

Race 7 :

#1 Tapella 9-2                                      29
#4 Homeland Security 1-1                 27
#2 Savannah Belle 12-1                      25

Race 8 :

#4 Hard Hitter 4-1                               26
#7 Appealing Henry 5-2                     25
#8 Joopster 5-1                                     24
#2 Lightning Buzz 9-2                         22

* No Pick 4/5 Plays Today with the weather/surface uncertainty.

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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