A Winning Day at the Races!

May 3rd , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

*Picks will only be available on weekends for the foreseeable future, and will be posted here on the Free Page.

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :            Strength Variable:

#4 Lonely Road 8-1                                 18
#2 Abyssinian 7-2                                    17
#6 Give Me a Hug 6-5                              16
#5 Mae Never No (IRE) 5-2                    16

Race 2 :

#2 Change of Venue 8-5                         20
#5 Bridey’s Kitten 5-2                             19
#4 Go Lassie Go 6-1                                 17
#7 C K Dexter Haven 7-2                        16

Race 3 :

#1 Ultimateenticement 10-1                  28
#6 Earned Success 9-5                             28
#5 Almithmaar 8-5                                   27
#2 Show Me the Bucks                             26

Race 4 :

#3 Our Passion 3-1                                   20
#4 No Limit Babe 2-1                               18
#2 Smack 6-1                                             17
#6 Hot Honey 7-2                                      16

Race 5 :

#5 Loose 2-1                                               27 *Best Bet
#8 Special Dividend 6-1                           25
#6 Da Wildcat Girl 6-1                              24
#1 The Cake Is a Lie 5-2                            23

Race 6 :

#5 Magari 2-1                                             24
#2 Hot Possebility 12-1                            22
#8 Consubstantial 4-1                              21
#6 Bowl of Kisses 5-2                                19

Race 7 :

#3 Avast Matey 7-2                                    28
#6 Conquest Bigluck E 6-5                       28
#8 Cloud Control 4-1                                 26
#2 Spring Emperor 15-1                            24

Race 8 :

#8 Miss Jen 8-1                                            27
#1 Vortex Road 8-5                                     26
#2 Talkn Til Midnight 2-1                         25
#4 Eighth Commandment 10-1                22

Race 9 :

#4 Source Control 3-1                                 25
#11 Fact Check 2-1                                      24
#8 No Regrets 6-1                                         24
#9 Alien Invasion 8-1                                   22

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  4,2,6,5

Race 2 :  2,5,4

Race 3 :  1,6

Race 4 :  3,4

Race 5 :  5

$.50 Ticket :  $24

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  3,4,2

Race 5 :  5

Race 6 :  5,2,8

Race 7 :  3

Race 8 :  8,1

Race 9 :  4,11

$2.00 Ticket : $72

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  5

Race 6 :  5,2,8

Race 7 :  3,6

Race 8 :  8,1,2

Race 9 :  4,11

$.50 Ticket :  $18

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  5,2,8,6

Race 7 :  3,6,8,2

Race 8 :  8,1,2,4

Race 9 :  4,11

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Churchill Downs Selections

Race 1 :             Strength Variable :

#1 One River Place 2-1                               26
#4 Pop Culture 3-1                                      24
#5 Bobby Jack 6-1                                        23
#6 Toothpic 3-1                                            21

Race 2 :

#3 Win With Pride 4-1                                29
#1 The Red Dude 4-1                                   27
#6 Burgameister 3-1                                    26
#2 Electric Avenue 5-2                                25

Race 3 :

#6 Arch Arch Baby 5-2                                24
#7 Ashleys Magens Bay 4-1                        23
#2 Annapolis Class 7-2                                22
#1 Aubrey 4-1                                                21

Race 4 :

#8 Union Bowman 3-1                                 25 *Best Bet
#1 Inmyfathersimage 7-2                            23
#7 Quiet Concert 5-2                                    22
#3 Due to His Charm 8-1                             20

Race 5 :

#5 New York Charmer 5-2                            17
#2 Dreaming Diamonds 5-1                         16
#3 Super Simple 3-1                                       15
#8 Toy Moon 3-1                                             15

Race 6 :

#2 Dapper Sam 3-1                                       26
#7 Cause to Action 7-2                                 25
#3 Maximus Dan 6-1                                     24
#1 Huntin Buddy 4-1                                     22

Race 7 :

#3 Sunny’s Rainbow 7-2                               27
#1 Jazzy Times 4-1                                         25
#7 The Money Monster 5-2                          25
#8 Tarpys Zapper 3-1                                     24

Race 8 :

#4 Mr. Misunderstood 5-2                            35
#9 Royal Son 12-1                                           33
#3 Mr Cub 6-1                                                  32
#2 Colonelsdarktemper 10-1                         31

Race 9 :

#2 True Boots 4-1                                            26
#6 Hint of Mint 5-2                                         25
#4 Thirteen Songs 7-2                                    25
#3 Naples Mist 4-1                                          23

Race 10 :

#5 Myhotrodlincoln 4-1                                 21
#4 Luv This Lifestyle 7-5                                20
#3 Shanghaied Roo 2-1                                   19
#7 Baytown Macca 10-1                                  17

Race 11 :

#9 Sensitive 3-1                                                28
#11 La Sola Ranger 7-2                                    27
#7 Wicked Lick 20-1                                         24
#2 Arch of Troy 10-1                                         23

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 2 :  3,1,6,2

Race 3 :  6,7,2

Race 4 :  8

Race 5 :  5,2,3

Race 6 :  2,7,3

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  5,2,3,8

Race 6 :  2,7

Race 7 :  3,1,7

Race 8 :  4

Race 9 :  2,6,4

$.50 Ticket :  $36

Late Pick 4 :

Race 8 :  4,9

Race 9 :  2,6,4,3

Race 10 : 5,4,3,7

Race 11 :  9,11,7,2

$.50 Ticket :  $64

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 


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