May 4th , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

• May 3, 2018
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Picks will only be available on weekends for the foreseeable future, and will be posted here on the Free Page.

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :            Strength Variable:

#1 Social Fan 1-2                                    19
#2 Herbies Toys 3-1                                17
#1a Flat Rate 1-2                                     16
#2b Waynes Footsteps 3-1                     15

Race 2 :

#5 Simona 10-1                                       26
#1 Regal Dame 2-1                                  25
#4 La Piu Bella 7-5                                  24
#2 Blissful Breeze 3-1                             24

Race 3 :

#4 American Power 5-1                          27
#6 Hyndford 2-5                                       26
#3 Lutheran Rags 9-2                              25
#2 Binkster 10-1                                       23

Race 4 :

#2 Lion in Wait 7-2                                  28
#1 Miko 5-2                                               27
#7 Hoponthebusgus 4-1                          26
#3 Hardly Mate 2-1                                   25

Race 5 :

#5 Posse Needed 5-2                                 28
#2 Sower 6-5                                               26
#3 Stormy’s Song 7-2                                25
#4 Everybody Loves Me 15-1                   23

Race 6 :

#5 Hot Cash 6-1                                         26
#6 Golden Award 9-2                                25
#1 Presumptuous 7-2                                25
#8 Oozle 8-1                                                24

Race 7 :

#2 Super Dude 7-2                                     29
#4 Benefactor 5-2                                      27
#8 Compagno 8-1                                       26
#3 Harlan’s Hunch 3-1                              25

Race 8 :

#1 Hard Study 8-5                                     34 *Best Bet
#6 Scuba 4-1                                               32
#7 Harlan Punch 6-1                                 31
#4 Mills 12-1                                               29

Race 9 :

#1 Heaven’s Runway 7-2                          28
#4 Curtis 8-5                                               26
#8 Tohottoevenspeak 2-1                         25
#2 Holding Aces 6-1                                   25

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  1,2

Race 2 :  5,1,4

Race 3 :  4,6,3

Race 4 :  2,1

Race 5 :  5,2

$.50 Ticket :  $36

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  5,2,3

Race 6 :  5,6,1

Race 7 :  2,4

Race 8 :  1

Race 9 :  1,4

$.50 Ticket :  $27

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  5,6,1,8

Race 7 :  2,4,8,3

Race 8 :  1,6

Race 9 :  1,4,8,2

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Churchill Downs Selections

Race 1 :            Strength Variable :

#6 Go Google Yourself 8-5                         28
#4 She’s Pretty Lucky 3-1                           27
#2 Turbo Shaft 10-1                                     25
#1 First Alternate 6-1                                  24

Race 2 :

#3 Tactical Affair 4-1                                   26
#2 Wild N Ready 4-1                                     25
#4 Killay (GB) 10-1                                        24
#7 Dabinett 5-2                                              24

Race 3 :

#10 Sharky’s Ledger 8-1                              21
#8 Bugle Notes 5-2                                       20
#1 Industrialist 3-1                                       18
#3 Quenlenny 6-1                                         16

Race 4 :

#1 Keep Quiet (FR) 4-1                                 32
#11 Krampus 3-1                                            31
#8 Galton 8-1                                                  30
#2 Sun Lover (GB) 8-1                                   28

Race 5 :

#3 Mia Mischief 5-2                                        34
#5 Talk Veuve to Me 6-1                                32
#6 Gas Station Sushi 2-1                               30
#1 Amy’s Challenge 5-2                                 30

Race 6 :

#8 Martini Glass 6-1                                        36
#3 Abel Tasman 1-1                                         35
#4 Ivy Bell 12-1                                                 32
#1 Salty 3-1                                                        30

Race 7 :

#7 Vision Perfect 3-1                                      35
#9 Bucchero 7-2                                               34
#1 Delectation (GB) 6-1                                  32
#2 Flashaway 5-1                                              31

Race 8 :

#4 Backyard Heaven 9-2                                 34
#1 Good Samaritan 5-2                                   34
#8 Awesome Slew 5-1                                      33
#5 Hoppertunity 3-1                                        33

Race 9 :

#2 Electric Forest 3-1                                      29
#6 Devine Mischief 7-2                                   27
#10 Sworn Silence 8-1                                     26
#4 Upset Brewing 9-2                                      25

Race 10 :

#6 Daddy Is a Legend 9-2                               33
#11 Rushing Fall 4-5                                       32
#7 Toinette 12-1                                               30
#3 Altea (FR) 6-1                                              29

Race 11 :

#4 Chocolate Martini 12-1                             32
#10 Midnight Bisou 5-2                                  31
#14 Monomoy Girl 2-1                                    30
#9 Take Charge Paula 15-1                             28

Race 12 :

#4 Nucla 6-1                                                      27
#3 Princessof the Nyl 8-1                                26
#6 She’s a Julie 7-2                                            26
#10 Gio Game 3-1                                              24

Race 13 :

#6 Tequila Sunrise 4-1                                     26
#11 Ipanema Beach 3-1                                   25
#4 Auspicious 12-1                                           25
#2 Rizzoli 5-2                                                     24

Churchill Downs Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 3 :  10,8,1,3

Race 4 :  1,11,8

Race 5 :  3

Race 6 :  8,3,4

Race 7 :  7,9,1

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Pick 4 (4-7) :

Race 4 :  1,11,8,2

Race 5 :  3,5,6,1

Race 6 :  8,3

Race 7 :  7,9,1,2

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 6 (6-11) :

Race 6 :  8,3

Race 7 :  7,9,1

Race 8 :  4,1

Race 9 :  2

Race 10 : 6,11

Race 11 :  4,10,14

$2.00 Ticket :  $144

Pick 5 (7-11) :

Race 7 :  7,9,1,2

Race 8 :  4,1

Race 9 :  2,6,10

Race 10 : 6,11

Race 11 :  4,10,14

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Pick 4 (8-11) :

Race 8 :  4,1,8,5

Race 9 :  2,6,10,4

Race 10 : 6,11

Race 11 :  4,10,14,9

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 5 (9-13) :

Race 9 :  2,6,10,4

Race 10 : 6,11

Race 11 :  4,10,14

Race 12 :  4,3,6

Race 13 :  6

$.50 Ticket :  $36

Pick 4 (10-13) :

Race 10 :  6,11

Race 11 :  4,10,14,9

Race 12 :  4,3,6,10

Race 13 :  6,11,4,2

$50 Ticket :  $64

Ky Oaks/Ky Derby Double :

4,10 with 14,18,7,5,6

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.