A Winning Day at the Races!
May 5th , 2018 Free Picks & Plays
*Picks will only be available on weekends for the foreseeable future, and will be posted here on the Free Page.
Belmont Selections
Race 1 : Strength Variable:
#1 Our Whim 6-1 24
#4 Summer Punch 1-1 24
#5 Jump for Joy 8-5 23
#3 Tough Old Bird 8-1 21
Race 2 :
#4 Beach Access 15-1 22
#10 Joe’s Smokin Gun 10-1 21
#2 Causeforcelebration 7-2 20
#9 Hokulea 8-1 18
Race 3 :
#7 Dublinthepleasure 4-1 26
#4 Combat Controller 3-1 25
#1 Mister Hayes 2-1 25
#2 Micozzi 6-1 24
Race 4 :
#4 China Rider 8-1 27
#2 Sister Sophia 5-1 26
#8 Misericordia (GB) 2-1 25
#7 Guerriere (IRE) 5-2 23
Race 5 :
#4 Moses Supposes 5-1 18
#9 Preternatural 3-1 17
#1 Fast Getaway 5-2 16
#6 Tenency 12-1 14
Race 6 :
#7 Summersault 5-1 34
#3 Holy Helena 7-5 33
#4 Lottie 6-1 31
#6 Santa Monica (GB) 5-2 30
Race 7 :
#6 Getoffmyback 7-2 27
#8 Cause for Surprise 4-1 26
#2 Conquest Twister 10-1 25
#3 Big Guy Ian 8-5 25
Race 8 :
#8 Tapping Colors 10-1 26
#1 Rubellite 12-1 25
#2 Competitionofideas 4-1 23
#5 My Bronx Tail 7-2 22
Race 9 :
#3 Patternrecognition 8-5 35 *Best Bet
#6 Wonderful Light 5-2 32
#8 Morning Buzz 9-2 30
#5 Phi Beta Express 6-1 29
Race 10 :
#2 Lucullan 12-1 32
#5 Manitoulin 6-1 31
#8 Silverwave (FR) 2-1 30
#7 Spring Quality 8-1 30
Race 11 :
#5 Tommy Macho 5-2 36
#6 Conquest Big E 3-1 35
#2 Cloud Computing 1-1 32
#1 Tale of Silence 10-1 30
Race 12 :
#1 Burkie 8-1 15
#8 Bunyan’s Axe 8-1 14
#12 Heroism 30-1 12
#4 Can’tweallgetalong 5-1 11
Belmont Plays
Early Pick 5 :
Race 1 : 1,4,5
Race 2 : 4,10,2
Race 3 : 7,4
Race 4 : 4,2,8
Race 5 : 4,9,1
$.50 Ticket : $81
Late Pick 5 :
Race 6 : 7,3,4
Race 7 : 6,8,2,3
Race 8 : 8,1,2
Race 9 : 3
Race 10 : 2,5,8
$.50 Ticket : $54
Pick 4 (7-10) :
Race 7 : 6,8,2,3
Race 8 : 8,1,2,5
Race 9 : 3,6
Race 10 : 2,5,8,7
$.50 Ticket : $64
Pick 4 (9-12) :
Race 9 : 3,6
Race 10 : 2,5,8,7
Race 11 : 5,6,2,1
Race 12 : 1,8,12,4
$.50 Ticket : $64
Churchill Downs Selections
Race 1 : Strength Variable :
#2 Share the Upside 5-1 28
#5 Crosswalk 2-1 28
#6 Once On Whiskey 5-2 27
#3 Cove Blue 6-1 25
Race 2 :
#6 Big Gray Rocket 5-1 27
#1 Gray Sky 3-1 26
#2 Summer Luck 5-2 25
#5 Misspent Youth 5-1 22
Race 3 :
#4 Hollywood Handsome 3-1 34
#8 Lookin At Lee 5-2 33
#5 Sonneteer 3-1 32
#6 Irish Freedom 7-2 30
Race 4 :
#4 Unbridled Rebel 3-1 29
#9 Irish Territory (IRE) 5-1 27
#2 Midnight Tea Time 5-1 26
#3 Ding Dong Ditch 7-2 25
Race 5 :
#6 Behavioral Bias 5-1 32
#5 Petrov 4-1 31
#1 Siem Riep 9-2 29
#9 Dazzling Gem 9-2 28
Race 6 :
#8 American Gal 7-2 38
#3 Ivy Bell 5-1 36
#5 Lewis Bay 3-1 35
#1 Finley’sluckycharm 7-2 33
Race 7 :
#7 Res Ipsa 10-1 35
#3 Dream Awhile 7-2 34
#9 On Leave 8-1 32
#2 Thundering Sky 10-1 31
Race 8 :
#1 Whitmore 6-1 40
#10 Awesome Slew 5-2 38
#6 Awesome Saturday 20-1 36
#3 Imperial Hint 9-5 35
Race 9 :
#10 Maraud 6-1 33
#12 Rushing Fall 5-1 32
#3 Threeandfourpence 4-1 31
#6 River Boyne (IRE) 5-1 29
Race 10 :
#8 Mask 4-1 32
#5 Mississippi 10-1 30
#12 Restoring Hope 9-2 29
#7 Madison’s Luna 5-1 27
Race 11 :
#3 Kurilov (CHI) 6-1 34
#7 Synchrony 5-1 34
#10 Beach Patrol 5-2 33
#6 Arklow 12-1 31
Race 12 : “The Kentucky Derby”
#14 Mendelssohn 5-1 44 *Best Bet
#18 Vino Rosso 12-1 41
#5 Audible 8-1 40
#7 Justify 3-1 39
#6 Good Magic 12-1 38
Derby Plays
WPS – #14
Exacta & Triple Box – #14 with #18,#5,#7,#6
Super – #14 with #18,#5,#7,#6
Super Box – #14,#18,#5,#7,#6
Race 13 :
#5 Lionite 7-2 28
#11 King Zachary 5-1 27
#6 Determinant 6-1 26
#3 Last Bad Habit 5-1 25
Race 14 :
#7 Mo Zone 8-1 26
#8 Elusive Hero 6-1 25
#4 Corot 4-1 24
#6 Limation 5-2 24
Churchill Downs Plays
Pick 4 (2-5) :
Race 2 : 6,1,2,5
Race 3 : 4,8,5,6
Race 4 : 4,9,2,3
Race 5 : 6,5
$.50 Ticket : $64
Early Pick 5 :
Race 3 : 4,8,5,6
Race 4 : 4,9,2
Race 5 : 6,5
Race 6 : 8
Race 7 : 7,3,9,2
$.50 Ticket : $48
Pick 4 (5-8) :
Race 5 : 6,5,1,9
Race 6 : 8,3
Race 7 : 7,3,9,2
Race 8 : 1,10,6,3
$.50 Ticket : $64
Pick 6 :
Race 7 : 7,3,9,2
Race 8 : 1,10
Race 9 : 10,12,3
Race 10 : 8,5,12
Race 11 : 3
Race 12 : 14
$.50 Ticket : $144
Pick 5 (8-12) :
Race 8 : 1,10,6,3
Race 9 : 10,12,3
Race 10 : 8,5,12
Race 11 : 3,7
Race 12 : 14
$.50 Ticket : $36
Pick 4 (9-12) :
Race 9 : 10,12,3,6
Race 10 : 8,5,12,7
Race 11 : 3,7,10,6
Race 12 : 14,18
$.50 Ticket : $64
Pick 5 (10-14) :
Race 10 : 8,5,12,7
Race 11 : 3,7,10
Race 12 : 14
Race 13 : 5,11,6
Race 14 : 7,8,4,6
$.50 Ticket : $72
Pick 4 (11-14) :
Race 11 : 3,7,10,6
Race 12 : 14,18
Race 13 : 5,11,6,3
Race 14 : 7,8,4,6
$.50 Ticket : $64
* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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