November 12th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

• November 11, 2021
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,016/15,238, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6,746/15,238. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*We closed out the Belmont meet this past Sunday hitting both our Late Pick 5/4 Plays…Pick 5 $5365…Pick 4 $2039.50…Both on $72 tickets…

*With weather and surface uncertainty all Aqueduct content will be posted here on the Free Page through the weekend…

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#4 Mischievous Diane 2-1           18 2nd $2.70
#7 Kathleen O 8-1                         17 1st $8.50 Ex $34.60
#1 Greatitude 3-1                          17 3rd $3.90 Tri $149
#2 Demandsrespect 5-2               16

Race 2 :

#9 Front Man 10-1                        29
#7 Albie 9-2                                    28
#11 Mr.Vincent 6-1                       27
#1 Reckless Spirit 6-1                   27

Dirt Selections

#14 Therisastormbrewin 4-1 3rd $4.00
#13 Bourbon Bay 5-2 2nd $4.80
#15 Handy 5-1 1st $9.80 Tri $147
#16 Mr. Briggs 3-1 4th Spr $316

Race 3 :

#5 Shesalittle Edgy 2-1                 30 2nd $3.30
#1 Vegas Weekend 3-1                  29 1st $7.30 Ex $30.20
#2 Dealing Justice 5-2                   28 4th
#6 Royal Meghan 8-1                     27 3rd $2.70 Spr $268

Race 4 :

#1 Jerusalem Gates 2-1                 28 scratched
#5 Giocare 1-1                                28 1st $3.70
#7 Mister Winston 6-1                  27
#1a Make It in Ny 2-1                    26 2nd $6.30

Race 5 :

#7 Fort Washington 5-2                 19
#10 Parquetry 5-1                            18
#3 Pioneering Spirit 4-1                 17
#4 Order of Magnitude 6-1            17

Dirt Selections

#4 Order of Magnitude 6-1
#5 Debate 12-1 3rd $5.90
#12 Predicted 4-1 2nd $3.60
#9 Charming Charlie 8-1

Race 6 :

#6 Imposing Treasure 9-2              17
#5 Serenade Soldier 15-1               16
#12 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 7-2              15
#2 Noli Temere 3-1                          15

Dirt Selections

#15 True Empress 7-2 3rd $4.90
#16 Thinking It Over 2-1 1st $6.10
#13 Bank On Anna 6-1 2nd $7.70 Tri $239.48
#14 Tonight We Love 8-1

Race 7 :

#1 Blame It On Mary 4-1                  28
#4 Towering Orbit 6-1                       27 4th
#8 Chasing Cara 5-1                           26 2nd $6.90
#2 Ancient Brown 8-1                        25

Race 8 :

#2 Evvie Jets 9-2                                 30
#6 So Enchanting 6-1                        29
#5 Messidor (IRE) 5-2                        28
#9 Baseline Drive 12-1                       28

Dirt Selections

#14 Perfect Grace 6-5 2nd $2.90
#4 Big Bad Diva 15-1
#15 Halo City 4-1 1st $20.80
#16 Vienna Code 5-1 3rd $3.20

Race 9 :

#7 Mandatory Payout 6-1                  27 2nd $4.80
#10 Fast Break 2-1                               26 1st $4.60 Ex $29.80
#6 Our American Star 15-1                25
#1 The Right Path 8-5                         25 3rd $2.40

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  4,7,1,2 7

Race 2 :  9,7,11,1 Dirt : 14,13,15,16 15

Race 3 :  5,1 1

Race 4 :  1,5 *1 scratched using 5,7 5

Race 5 :  7,10,3 Dirt : 4,5,12 x

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  9,7,11,1 Dirt : 14,13,15,16 15

Race 3 :  5,1,2,6 1

Race 4 :  1,5 *1 scratched using 5,7 5

Race 5 :  7,10,3,4 Dirt : 4,5,12,9

$.50 Ticket :  $64 x

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  1,5 *1 scratched using 5,7 5

Race 5 :  7,10,3 Dirt : 4,5,12 x

Race 6 :  6,5,12 Dirt : 15,16,13 16

Race 7 :  1 x

Race 8 :  2,6 Dirt : 14,4 x

Race 9 :  7,10 10

$1.00 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  7,10,3,4 Dirt : 4,5,12,9 x

Race 6 :  6,5,12 Dirt : 15,16,13 16

Race 7 :  1,4 x

Race 8 :  2,6,5 Dirt : 14,4,15 15

Race 9 :  7,10 10

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  6,5,12,2 Dirt : 15,16,13,14 16

Race 7 :  1,4 x

Race 8 :  2,6,5 Dirt : 14,4,15 15

Race 9 :  7,10,6,1 10

$.50 Ticket :  $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.