November 13th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,589/17,697, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 8,011/17,697. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#3 Bourbon Chase 9-5 17 2nd $2.60
#6 Neural Network 3-1 16 1st $12.80 Ex $26.80
#7 Wanna Winna 4-1 15 4th
#5 October Bliss 15-1 15

Race 2:

#5 Trade Secret 2-1 27 1st $4.60
#1 Vallarand 9-5 26 4th
#3 Tactical Range 8-1 25
#7 Funwhileitlasted 6-1 25 2nd $6.40

Race 3:

#6 Speaks for Itself 3-5 32 4th
#4 Desert Dalliance 10-1 30 3rd $13.00
#2 Fight On Lucy 15-1 28
#1 Violet Vixen 8-1 27′ 1st $23.20

Race 4:

#3 Major Spin 5-2 28 2nd $3.20
#5 Mo Rewards 7-2 27 3rd $2.40
#4 Hang Tight 4-1 26 scratched
#8 Fromanothamutha 5-1 26 1st $6.10

Race 5:

#4 On the Hill 2-1 30 4th
#8 Bold Journey 7-2 29 1st $5.60
#3 Tra Lad 6-1 28
#1 Storm Shooter 5-1 27

Race 6:

#8 Veronica Greene 6-1 32 3rd $3.90
#3 Salimah (IRE) 9-2 31 1st $8.70
#5 Eminent Victor 5-2 30
#4 Candy Light 6-1 30 2nd $5.40

Dirt Selections

#11 Tizzy in the Sky 4-5
#12 Missy Greer 2-1
#4 Candy Light 6-1
#7 Myriskyaffair 8-1

Race 7:

#6 Jane Grey 2-1 31 3rd $2.30
#3 Rossa Veloce 3-1 30 1st $7.40
#1 Midtown Rose 10-1 29
#2 Mommasgottarun 6-1 28

Race 8:

#3 Big Everest (GB) 8-1 34 1st $4.20 Ex $17.40
#1 Sifting Sands (GB) 9-2 33 scratched
#2 Shadow Sphinx 15-1 32 2nd $5.10
#6 Good Governance (GB) 6-1 31 scratched

Dirt Selections

#12 Double Crown 3-1
#10 Dynadrive 12-1
#4 Wolfie’s Dynaghost 8-1
#9 Somelikeithotbrown 7-2

Race 9:

#9 Gimmebackmybullets 7-2 14 4th
#2 Makart 5-1 13
#1 Sinful Dancer 4-1 12 1st $8.30
#8 Escape Mission 8-1 11

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 3,6,7 6

Race 2: 5,1 5

Race 3: 6,4,2 x

Race 4: 3,5,4 x

Race 5: 4,8 8

$.50 Ticket: $54

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 5,1,3 5

Race 3: 6,4,2 x

Race 4: 3,5 x

Race 5: 4,8,3 8

$.50 Ticket: $27

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3: 6,4 x

Race 4: 3,5,4,8 8

Race 5: 4,8,3 8

Race 6: 8,3,5 Dirt: 11,12,4 3

$.50 Ticket: $36

Pick 6:

Race 4: 3,5 x

Race 5: 4,8 8

Race 6: 8,3,5 Dirt: 11,12,4 3

Race 7: 6,3 3

Race 8: 3,1,2 Dirt: 12,10,4 *1 scratched using 3,2,8 3

Race 9: 9,2,1 1

$1.00 Ticket: $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 4,8,3,1 8

Race 6: 8,3,5 Dirt: 11,12,4 3

Race 7: 6,3 3

Race 8: 3,1,2 Dirt: 12,10,4 *1 scratched using 3,2,8 3

Race 9: 9,2,1 1

$.50 Ticket: $108 $368.25

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 8,3,5,4 Dirt: 11,12,4,7 3

Race 7: 6,3 3

Race 8: 3,1,2,6 Dirt: 12,10,4,9 *1 scratched using 3,2,8,7 3

Race 9: 9,2,1,8 1

$.50 Ticket: $64 $75

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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