A Winning Day at the Races!
November 17th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays
*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…
*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,597/17,706, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 8,015/17,706. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#5 Signal From Noise 1-2 18 1st $2.40
#4 Adam’s Angel 5-1 17 3rd $2.20
#3 Wings Like Eagles 4-1 17 2nd $2.70
#1 Divine Wine 12-1 16
Race 2:
#10 Family Band 10-1 17
#6 Shinfull 7-2 17
#1 Tara Dancer 8-1 16
#4 Voleuse 6-1 16
Dirt Selections
#12 Spooky Lady 5-1
#7 Laughter 8-1
#4 Voleuse 6-1 3rd #2.40
#13 Royal Currency 6-1 1st $21.60
#9 Ard Macha 8-1
Race 3:
#1 Adelaide Miss 9-5 29 1st $4.60
#4 Prairie Fire 5-2 27 3rd $2.10
#6 That Is Key 3-1 26 scratched
#2 Big Tony’s Girl 12-1 25 4th
Race 4:
#10 Maybe Later 6-1 28
#2 Pegs A. K. Girl 8-1 27
#6 Ocean Air 7-2 26
#11 Anador (FR) 6-1 26
Dirt Selections
#15 New York Banker 5-2 4th
#10 Maybe Later 6-1 scratched
#1 I’m Buzzy 15-1 2nd $4.70
#14 Dancing Sophia 6-1 3rd $4.30
#12 Masabeeh 15-1
Race 5:
#3 Runabout 5-1 27 4th
#1a Winning Drive 5-2 26
#6 Double Shot 5-1 26 3rd $4.90
#4 Good Skate 8-1 25 scratched
Race 6:
#6 Breeze Easy (GB) 3-1 32
#9 Laugh and Play 8-1 31
#5 Train to Artemus 8-1 30
#12 Madrilena (ARG) 5-1 30
Dirt Selections
#11 Glitter Up 12-1 4th
#10 Runaway Rockette 10-1 2nd
#3 Gail in a Rush 6-1
#14 Chloe Rose 30-1
#7 Tweaqued 15-1
Race 7:
#10 Free Chickens 5-2 27
#6 Ice Cold Gold 7-2 26
#4 Handle the Truth 12-1 25
#8 Rosemary Potatoes 10-1 24
Race 8:
#1 Quick Return 9-2 31
#8 Advanced Strategy 4-1 30
#7 Sheriff Bianco 5-2 29
#6 Brew Pub 10-1 28
Race 9:
#10 West Star 4-1 16
#3 Makar 7-2 16
#2 Joyful Ghost 5-1 15
#9 Central Love 9-2 14
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 5,4,3 5
Race 2: 10,6,1,4 Dirt: 12,7,4,13 13
Race 3: 1,4 1
Race 4: 10,2,6 Dirt: 15,10,1 *10 scratched using 15,1,14 x
Race 5: 3,1a/1,6 x
$.50 Ticket: $108
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 10,6,1,4 Dirt: 12,7,4,13 13
Race 3: 1,4,6 *6 scratched using 1,4,2 1
Race 4: 10,2,6,11 Dirt: 15,10,1,14 *10 scratched using 15,1,14,12 x
Race 5: 3,1a/1,6 x
$.50 Ticket: $72
Pick 4 (3-6):
Race 3: 1,4,6,2 1
Race 4: 10,2,6,11 Dirt: 15,10,1,14 *10 scratched using 15,1,14,12 x
Race 5: 3,1a/1,6 x
Race 6: 6,9,5,12 Dirt: 11,10,3,14
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 4: 10,2,6 Dirt: 15,10,1 *10 scratched using 15,1,14 x
Race 5: 3,1a/1 x
Race 6: 6,9,5 Dirt: 11,10,3
Race 7: 10
Race 8: 1,8
Race 9: 10,3
$1.00 Ticket: $72
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 3,1a/1,6 x
Race 6: 6,9,5,2 Dirt: 11,10,3,14
Race 7: 10,6
Race 8: 1,8,7
Race 9: 10,3,2 *2 scratched using 10,3,9
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 6,9,5,12 Dirt: 11,10,3,14
Race 7: 10,6,4
Race 8: 1,8,7
Race 9: 10,3,2,9
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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