November 18th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,600/17,715, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 8,017/17,715. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Conversing 5-2 18 scratched
#11 Fightertown 4-1 18 scratched
#9 Bingood to Knowya 12-1 17
#4 War Officer 15-1 17 scratched

Dirt Selections

Leaving as is…

Race 2:

#3 Ebben 5-2 32 1st $8.90
#1 Bourbon Calling 3-1 31 2nd $3.60 Ex $27.20
#5 American Power 7-2 30 4th
#4 Prince of Pharoahs 4-1 29 3rd $2.70 Spr $240.40

Race 3:

#7 Fuoco 3-1 16
#2 Built to Last 5-2 15 scratched
#1 Sharp Sensation 15-1 15
#9 Empire Sky 5-1 14 2nd $6.40

Dirt Selections

#10 Today’s Flavor 6-5
#2 Built to Last 5-2
#12 Clash A. J. 15-1
#11 Stonecoldwarrior 12-1

Race 4:

#7 Outasite 2-1 29 4th
#6 Hatch 6-1 28 2nd $4.30
#4 Drink the Wind 5-1 27
#1 Win for Gold 6-1 27

Race 5:

#4 Miss Fashionista 5-2 16 2nd $4.00
#5 Kara Para 2-1 16 3rd $2.80
#2 Starts Now 6-1 15
#6 Sweetest Princess 3-1 14 1st $8.60

Race 6:

#5 Personal Best 2-1 31 1st $3.70
#6 Unruly Julie 5-1 29
#1 Ensemble (IRE) 4-1 28 2nd $3.80
#4 Rhombique 15-1 27

Dirt Selections

#13 Suspended Campaign 7-2
#12 Wasp 6-5
#9 Run Up the Score 12-1
#4 Rhombique 15-1

Race 7:

#3 Vodka Mardini 6-1 18 3rd $2.40
#6 American Law 2-1 18 2nd $2.40
#4 Southern Flag 9-5 17 1st $4.10
#2 Safe Bet 12-1 16 scratched

Race 8:

#1a Ghost Giant 5-2 32
#10 Runningwscissors 8-1 31
#3 Frank’s Art 7-2 31
#6 Phantom Smoke 6-1 30

Dirt Selections

#8 Battle Station 10-1
#11 Scilly Cay 2-1
#10 Runningwscissors 8-1
#12 Jemography 9-2

Race 9:

#9 Carbon 3-1 29
#5 Norman Queen 7-2 28
#7 Ribot’s Windermere 20-1 27
#4 Kant Hurry Love 5-1 26

Race 10:

#1 Durkin’s Call 2-1 27
#1a Great Workout 2-1 26
#7 Supply Chain 8-1 26
#3 Scotty 15-1 25

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,11,9,4 *1,4,11 scratched using 9,7,2,10 7

Race 2: 3,1,5 3

Race 3: 7,2 Dirt: 10,2 *2 scratched using 7,1 x

Race 4: 7,6,4 x

Race 5: 4,5 x

$.50 Ticket: $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 3,1,5,4 3

Race 3: 7,2,1,9 Dirt: 10,2,12,11 *2 scratched using 7,1,9,3 x

Race 4: 7,6,4,1 x

Race 5: 4,5 x

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 7,6,4,1 x

Race 5: 4,5 x

Race 6: 5,6,1,4 Dirt: 13,12,9,4 5

Race 7: 3,6,4,2 4

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 5: 4,5,2,6 6

Race 6: 5,6,1 Dirt: 13,12,9 5

Race 7: 3,6,4 4

Race 8: 1a/1,10 Dirt: 8,11

Race 9: 9,5

Race 10: 1,1a

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 5,6,1 Dirt: 13,12,9 5

Race 7: 3,6,4 4

Race 8: 1a/1,10,3 Dirt: 8,11,10

Race 9: 9,5

Race 10: 1/1a,7

$.50 Ticket: $54

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 3,6,4,2 4

Race 8: 1a/1,10,3,6 Dirt: 8,11,10,12

Race 9: 9,5

Race 10: 1,1a,7,3

$.50 Ticket: $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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