November 25th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,621/17,746, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 8034/17,756. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

Happy Thanksgiving!!

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Aniston 5-2 18 1st $8.40
#5 Kayleigh’s Pride 9-2 17 4th
#3 Juniper’s Moon 2-1 16
#7 Gifted 4-1 16 2nd $4.60

Race 2:

#5 Candlestick Maker 3-1 14 2nd $4.50
#6 Goodmorning Angel 5-2 13 1st $6.70 Ex $36.80
#2 Mostly Harmless 3-1 12 4th
#4 Tekila 3-1 11 3rd $3.10 Spr $151

Race 3:

#5 Spiked 4-1 33 2nd $4.80
#4 Cupid’s Heart 3-5 32 3rd $2.10
#2 Wasp 7-2 31
#1 Suspended Campaign 12-1 30 4th

Race 4:

#4 D’ont Lose Cruz 6-5 30 2nd $2.60
#1 Starquist 3-1 29 3rd $2.10
#3 Acoustic Ave. 7-5 28 1st $5.10
#5 General Banker 15-1 27 scratched

Race 5:

#3 Stage Left 4-1 33 1st $9.40
#4 In Dreams 7-2 32
#8 Outlaw Kid 5-2 31 2nd $3.80
#2 Coppola 6-1 30 scratched

Race 6:

#2 Temple City Terror 8-5 35 1st $3.30 Dbl $18.20
#4 Rocky Sky (IRE) 3-1 34 2nd $3.50 Ex $13.80
#6 Capital Structure (GB) 5-2 33 4th
#5 Kalifornia Queen (GER) 5-2 32 3rd $3.00

Race 7:

#5 Nostalgic 7-2 36
#4 Kathleen O. 5-2 35 2nd $3.20
#7 Falconet 6-1 34 4th
#2 Sixtythreecaliber 8-1 33 1st $24.40

Race 8:

#12 Dancing Buck 7-2 35
#6 Thin White Duke 8-1 34 3rd
#1 Voodoo Zip 6-1 33
#2 Bad Beat Brian 8-1 33 scratched

Race 9:

#3 North Pole 3-1 15 2nd $2.70
#8 Papi On Ice 15-1 14 3rd $3.60
#9 Tiger Town Boy 5-2 13 scratched
#5 Whisky Warrior 9-2 12 4th

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,5,3,7 1

Race 2: 5,6,2 6

Race 3: 5,4,2 x

Race 4: 4,1 x

Race 5: 3,4,8 3

$.50 Ticket: $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 5,6,2,4 6

Race 3: 5,4 x

Race 4: 4,1,3 3

Race 5: 3,4,8 3

$.50 Ticket: $36

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3: 5,4,2 x

Race 4: 4,1,3 3

Race 5: 3,4,8 3

Race 6: 2,4,6,5 2

$.50 Ticket: $54

Pick 6:

Race 4: 4 x

Race 5: 3,4,8 3

Race 6: 2,4,6 2

Race 7: 5,4 x

Race 8: 12,6,1,2 *2 scratched 12,6,1,5 5

Race 9: 3,8,9 *9 scratched using 3,8,5

$1.00 Ticket: $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 3,4,8 3

Race 6: 2,4,6,5 2

Race 7: 5,4 x

Race 8: 12,6,1 x

Race 9: 3,8,9,5 *9 scratched using 3,8,5,7

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 2,4,6,5 2

Race 7: 5,4,7 x

Race 8: 12,6,1 x

Race 9: 3,8,9,5 *9 scratched using 3,8,5,7

$.50 Ticket: $72

Churchill Downs Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Two by Two 5-2 32 3rd $2.50
#5 Spa City 2-1 31 1st $7.70
#1 Whiskey Double 4-1 30
#3 Girolamo’s Attack 7-2 29

Race 2:

#2 Will’s Secret 2-1 30 1st $3.24
#4 Republique 3-1 29 scratched
#1 Jungle Juice (IRE) 5-1 28 4th
#5 Candy Raid 7-2 27 3rd

Race 3:

#6 Prince of Roses 3-1 14 3rd $3.00
#3 Eight Straight 5-2 13 scratched
#2 Talkscheap 5-1 12
#5 Out of Alcatraz 6-1 11

Race 4:

#1 Ship It 5-2 27
#5 Wicked Wonder 6-1 26 4th
#4 Hal’s Dream 5-1 25 3rd $3.86
#7 Monocacy 10-1 25

Race 5:

#3 Mr Creed 9-2 27
#1 Beyblader 12-1 26 4th
#9 Paid in Full 10-1 25
#6 One Cool Dude 10-1 24

Race 6:

#9 Lily’s Creed 4-1 14 2nd $3.90
#4 Mean Sue 7-2 13 1st $4.28 Ex $13.28
#3 Lady Strum 5-1 12
#7 Timbavati 10-1 11 4th

Race 7:

#8 Mr. Thunderstruck 8-1 29 1st $10.14
#6 Trigger Happy 15-1 28
#9 Atras 7-2 27
#3 Nineties Country 4-1 26

Race 8:

#2 Honey Run 5-2 29 scratched
#7 Solid Tune 6-1 28 2nd $5,14
#4 Shezz Koldazice 12-1 28
#1 Sue Ellen Mishkin 9-2 27 1st $5.64

Race 9:

#7 Lovely Princess 8-1 33 4th
#4 Bubble Rock 5-2 32 1st $5.32
#3 Lady Puchi 8-1 31
#2 She’s Gone 10-1 30

Race 10:

#8 Call Me Fast 3-1 32
#5 Dr. Perry 5-1 32
#3 Kupuna 10-1 31 3rd
#7 Angkor 12-1 30 2nd

Race 11:

#7 West Will Power 5-2 37 2nd
#1 Proxy 7-2 36 1st
#4 Rich Strike 2-1 35
#3 Injunction 6-1 34

Race 12:

#7 Shady Road 8-5 16
#5 Royal Take Charge 6-1 15
#2 Star Table 6-1 14
#9 Awesome Ally Vee 8-1 14

Churchill Downs Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,5,1,3 5

Race 2: 2,4,1 *4 scratched using 2,1,5 2

Race 3: 6,3 *3 scratched using 6,2 x

Race 4: 1,5,4 x

Race 5: 3,1,9,6 x

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,4 *4 scratched using 2,1 2

Race 3: 6,3,2,5 *3 scratched using 6,2,5,8 x

Race 4: 1,5,4 x

Race 5: 3,1,9,6 x

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 3,1,9,6 x

Race 6: 9,4,3 4

Race 7: 8,6,9 8

Race 8: 2,7 *2 scratched using 7,4 x

Race 9: 7,4,3,2 4

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 9,4,3 4

Race 7: 8,6,9,3 8

Race 8: 2,7,4,1 1

Race 9: 7,4,3,2 4

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 6:

Race 7: 8,6,9,3 8

Race 8: 2,7,4,1 1

Race 9: 7,4,3 4

Race 10: 8,5,3

Race 11: 7,1

Race 12: 7,5,2

$.20 Ticket: $172.80

Late Pick 5:

Race 8: 2,7,4,1 1

Race 9: 7,4,3,2 4

Race 10: 8,5,3,7

Race 11: 7

Race 12: 7,5,2

$.50 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 9: 7,4,3,2 4

Race 10: 8,5,3,7

Race 11: 7,1,4

Race 12: 7,5,2,9

$.50 Ticket: $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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