October 13th , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

• October 12, 2018
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here on weekends through the Belmont Meet. For Full Card Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site two years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 68% of the time, and top choice is first or second 42% of the time. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Picks/Plays will only be available on weekends starting with the Belmont Fall Meet. The monthly subscription price has been reduced accordingly.

*Free Full Card Picks will be posted here this weekend, due to the uncertainty with turf races.

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :          Strength Variable :

#3 Financial System 6-5                  29
#1 Lemonist 2-1                                28
#4 Wet Your Whistle 6-1                  27
#2 Herecomesyourman 5-1             27

Off-Turf :

#3 Financial System 6-5
#6 Apartfromthecrowd 8-1
#1 Lemonist 2-1
#5 High Moon 12-1

Race 2 :

#7 Rockford 5-2                                    27
#5 Big Guy Ian 9-5                               27
#3 Sal the Turtle 8-5                           26
#4 Sol the Freud 10-1                          25

Race 3 :

#2 Pirelli Tower 8-5                             22
#1 Jimmy Jazz 7-2                                21
#5 Perfect Joke 10-1                            19
#6 Bernardino 4-1                                19

Off-Turf :

#3 Magnetron 5-2
#5 Perfect Joke 10-1
#8 Bad Guy 3-1
#2 Pirelli Tower 8-5

Race 4 :

#1 Life’s a Parlay 4-5                             28
#2 Earned Success 2-1                           27
#5 Morning Breez 9-2                            25
#4 His Name Is Sue 8-1                          25

Race 5 :

#6 Neon 3-1                                             17
#3 Astrology Hill 7-5                              17
#5 Montana Skeptic 7-2                         16
#4 Majestic Kiss 6-1                                15

Race 6 :

#5 Brooke Marie 3-1                               20
#6 Tricky Tune 4-1                                  19
#7 Positive Skew 7-2                               18
#8 Flying the Colors 6-1                         17

Off-Turf :

#4 Style and Grace 5-1
#7 Positive Skew 7-2
#2 Jasminesque 10-1
#3 I’m Guilty 3-1

Race 7 :

#5 Missle Bomb 5-2                                 28
#4 Scarf It Down 3-1                                27
#6 Happy Farm 4-1                                   26
#1 Full Salute 9-5                                      26

Race 8 :

#3 Lady Alexandra 5-2                              34
#10 Lull 3-1                                                 33
#8 Battle Joined 12-1                                 31
#5 Fire Key 8-1                                            30

Off-Turf :

#14 Posse Needed 4-1
#6 Tillie’s Lily 5-1
#3 Lady Alexandra 5-2
#13 Yorkiepoo Princess 6-1

Race 9 :

Turf Selections Only

#8 Victorine (FR) 6-1                                  35
#6 Got Stormy 3-1                                       35
#11 Significant Form 7-2                            34
#5 Andina Del Sur 15-1                               33

Race 10 :

#2 Dynamite Kitten 9-5                             19
#7 Crater Rim 7-2                                        17
#9 Molly’s Nighthawk 6-1                          16
#1 Handle With Care 4-1                            14

Off-Turf :

#11 Smiles From Sadie 8-5
#1a Unparalleled 4-1
#1 Handle With care 4-1
#10 Anne’s Song 6-1

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.