October 14th , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

• October 13, 2018
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here on weekends through the Belmont Meet. For Full Card Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site two years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 68% of the time, and top choice is first or second 42% of the time. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Picks/Plays will only be available on weekends starting with the Belmont Fall Meet. The monthly subscription price has been reduced accordingly.

*Free Full Card Picks will be posted here this weekend, due to the uncertainty with turf races.

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :        Strength Variable :

#4 Identity Politics 4-5                    21
#1 Duncastle 9-2                               18
#3 Carom 3-1                                     17

Dirt Selections :

#6 American Rule 6-1
#1a Tiz Morning 9-2
#4 Identity Politics 4-5

Race 2 :

#2 Industrial Logic 4-1                      24
#4 Infield Is In 2-1                              23
#7 Rockin Jo 5-2                                  22
#3 Cookie Crisp 8-1                            20

Race 3 :

#2 Party On Prospect 7-2                   20
#3 Hot Mesa 5-2                                   19
#4 Pay the Price 7-2                             18
#7 Via Castagna 6-1                             16

Race 4 :

#7 Miko 5-2                                            28
#6 Diamond Play 7-2                            27
#10 Alabama Bound 3-1                       27
#3 Miss Aja Brown 10-1                        25

Dirt Selections :

#2 She’s So Fine 12-1
#7 Miko 5-2
#8 Miss Nancy 6-1
#9 My Won Love 5-1

Race  5 :

#5 Get Along 7-2                                     19
#4 Power Source 5-1                               18
#9 Tell You What 6-1                              16
#6 Six Brothers 6-1                                  15

Race 6 :

#9 Three Perfections 8-5                        28
#10 Themanbehindtheman 5-2            26
#1 Lil Commissioner 4-1                        25
#6 Ego 15-1                                                23

Dirt Selections

#12 Gravitating 2-1
#2 Malibu Strings 20-1
#10 Themanbehindtheman 5-2
#7 Jegos Fire 30-1

Race 7 :

#2 Fair Regis 5-2                                        28
#1 Byself 2-1                                               27
#7 Cartwheel 4-1                                        25
#5 Satin Sheets 6-1                                    25

Race 8 :

Turf Selections Only

#3 I’m the Captain Now 8-1                     34
#5 Hello Don Julio 7-5                               34
#2 Patterson Cross 2-1                              32
#1 Postulation 6-1                                      30

Race 9 :

#7 Quietly Quick 2-1                                  21
#4 Smart Throb 4-1                                    19
#5 Burkey’s Babe 10-1                                17
#10 Reconsider It 3-1                                 16

Dirt Selections

#15 Unparalleled 3-1
#13 Parlapiano 5-2
#14 Union Patriot 10-1
#11 Catania Rose 12-1

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.