A Winning Day at the Races!

October 13th, 2024 Free Picks & Play

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,138/21,717 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,004/21,717. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

 *Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Fully Subscribed 6-1              20 1st $7.00
#5 Sharp Smile 5-1                      19 2nd $3.40 Ex $21.20
#3 Vespera 3-1                             19
#6 Kiss Me Slow 2-1                    18 scratched

Race 2:

#4 Magia Nera 3-1                       30 2nd $3.50
#9 Neuschwanstein 4-1              29 3rd $2.90
#3 Magnificent Mile 6-1             28 1st $10.80 Tri $193.48
#1 Collected Special 9-2             28 scratched

Race 3:

#4 Reckoning Force 3-1             37 3rd $3.00
#6 Siege of Boston 5-2               36
#1 Redistricting (GB) 7-2           35 2nd $3.90
#3 Fort Washington 7-2             35 4th

Race 4:

#3 Wine Responsibly 2-1           27 4th
#6 York Tavern 5-2                      26 3rd $2.70
#2 Teta’s Trotter 6-1                   25
#7 I See You Lookin 10-1           24 1st $14.40

Race 5:

#3 All Night Revival 6-1             19 2nd $4.60
#7 Snipsnippitysnip 9-2             18 4th
#1 Lying by Omission 7-2           17 3rd $2.80
#4 Winning Streep 8-1                17

Race 6:

#10 King Express 8-1                  18
#7 City of Oscars 5-2                   18 1st $5.30
#5 Moment’s Notice 3-1             17 4th
#6 Social Hour 6-1                       16

Race 7:

#4 Rock the Weekend 12-1         27 1st $31.40
#8 Cumberland Blues 3-1           26
#1a Disappearance 8-1                25 scratched
#9 Barese 7-2                                 25 3rd $3.20

Race 8:

#8 Bernt Again 10-1                   28 scratched
#4 Busy Morning 8-1                  27
#3 Munny Grab 5-1                     26 3rd $2.90
#6 Being Betty 10-1                    26 4th

Race 9:

#1 Starlight Dancer 5-2              17 2nd $3.30
#5 Lady Laoban 9-2                     16 1st $7.60 Ex $20.20
#3 Pamplona Red 6-1                  16 scratched
#2 Saint Chapelle 7-2                  15

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,5,3,6

Race 2:  4,9,3,1

Race 3:  4,6,1

Race 4:  3,6

Race 5:  3,7,1

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,9,3,1

Race 3:  4,6,1,3

Race 4:  3,6

Race 5:  3,7,1,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  4,6,1,3

Race 4:  3,6,2

Race 5:  3,7,1

Race 6:  10,7,5,6

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 4:  3

Race 5:  3,7,1

Race 6:  10,7,5

Race 7:  4,8,1a/1,9

Race 8:  8,4,3 *8 scratched using 4,3,6

Race 9:  1,5

$1.00 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  3,7,1,4

Race 6:  10,7,5

Race 7:  4,8,1a/1,9

Race 8:  8,4,3 *8 scratched using 4,3,6

Race 9:  1,5

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  10,7,5,6

Race 7:  4,8,1a/1,9

Race 8:  8,4,3,6

Race 9:  1,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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