October 1st , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

• September 30, 2021
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9879/15014, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6645/15014. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Through the Belmont Fall Meet Picks/Plays will be posted here on the Free Page weekdays, weekends will require the purchase of a One or Two Day/Weekend Pass…

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Saturday’s and Sunday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays will be posted here on the Free Page this weekend once again…

*Friday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#2 Dream Bigger 3-1                    28
#6 I love Jaxon 5-1                        27 3rd $3.70
#4 Dark Money 5-2                       26
#1 Binkster 2-1                              26 4th

Race 2 :

#2 Vividly (GB) 3-1                        30 1st $7.20
#1 Single Soul (GB) 2-1                 29 2nd $3.20
#7 Double Blessed 6-1                   28 4th Ex $17.40
#4 Federalist Papers 7-2                27

Race 3 :

#1 Twist Just Right 4-5                  17 3rd $2.10
#5 Grannys Connection 4-1          16 scratched
#6 Laochi 7-2                                    15 4th
#1a Empire Lily 4-5                         15

Race 4 :

#8 Hollywood Gina 3-1                   27
#7 Cazilda Fortytales 8-5                26 1st $4.00
#3 Hey It’s Tati 9-2                           25 3rd $3.10
#6 Miss Alex 8-1                                25

Race 5 :

#3 Exotic West 9-2                            30
#6 Sweet Franny Lu 8-1                   29 1st $10.00
#9 Command Point 3-1                    28 2nd $6.50
#2 Ocean Air 7-2                                27 4th

Race 6 :

#4 Love And Thunder (IRE) 9-5      31 1st $3.30
#1 Harper’s in Charge 7-2                 30
#2 Screamin By 8-1                            29 4th
#7 Stolen Holiday 4-1                        28 2nd $4.90

Race 7 :

#4 Newbomb 10-1                              32 1st $18.40
#2 Always Sunshine 7-2                    32 Dbl $50
#7 Cost Basis 5-2                                 31 2nd $3.20
#5 Answer In 3-1                                 30 4th

Race 8 :

#9 Classic Lady 5-2                             33 scratched
#4 Ice Princess 7-2                              32 2nd $2.70
#1 Pecatonica 4-1                                31
#3 Dancingwthdaffodls 15-1             30

Race 9 :

#4 B C Glory Days 8-1                         16
#2 Zap Man 15-1                                  15
#11 Suit of Armor 4-1                          14
#7 Yarrow 9-2                                        14

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  2,6,4 x

Race 2 :  2,1 2

Race 3 :  1/1a x

Race 4 :  8,7 7

Race 5 :  3,6,9 6

$.50 Ticket :  $36

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  2,1 2

Race 3 :  1/1a,5,6 x

Race 4 :  8,7,3 7

Race 5 :  3,6,9,2 6

$.50 Ticket :  $36

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  8,7 7

Race 5 :  3,6,9 6

Race 6 :  4,1 4

Race 7 :  4,2,7 4

Race 8 :  9 *9 scratched using 4 x

Race 9 :  4,2,11

$1.00 Ticket :  $108

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  3,6,9,2 6

Race 6 :  4,1 4

Race 7 :  4,2,7,5 4

Race 8 :  9,4 *9 scratched using 4,1 x

Race 9 :  4,2,11

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Late pick 4 :

Race 6 :  4,1 4

Race 7 :  4,2,7,5 4

Race 8 :  9,4,1,3 x

Race 9 :  4,2,11,7

$.50 Ticket :  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.