October 28th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

• October 27, 2021
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9967/15148, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6708/15148. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*With weather and surface uncertainty all Belmont content will remain posted here on the Free Page through this weekend…

*Thursday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#6 Extra Effort 8-5                        27
#3 Lovely Lady Lexie 9-2             26 3rd $3.00
#2 Quality Stones 2-1                   25 1st $4.40
#1 No Deal 8-1                               25 4th

Race 2 :

#3 Exfiltration 8-1                         15
#9 Tales of Makenna 9-5              14
#4 Raving 5-1                                 14
#1 Hit the Nail 3-1                         13

Dirt Selections

#13 Gallinna 7-2 2nd
#4 Raving 5-1 scratched
#6 Causeway of Dreams 15-1 3rd
#3 Exfiltration 8-1 scratched

Race 3 :

#3 Customerexperience 7-2           29 4th
#1 Spun d’Etat 9-5                           29 1st $5.50
#6 My Roxy Girl 3-1                         28 3rd $2.50
#2 Shasta Star 6-1                            28

Race 4 :

#9 Pimenova 4-1                               14
#8 Inkblot 15-1                                  13
#5 Taki 8-1                                          13
#2 Lemon Red 3-1                             12

Dirt Selections

#14 Caragate 5-2 2nd $2.70
#8 Inkblot 15-1
#15 Carbon 3-1 3rd $3.70
#13 Raymond Road 4-1 4th

Race 5 :

#2 Devious Mo 5-2                            28
#1a Glory Road 3-1                           27 2nd $4.20
#2b Advance Notice 5-2                   26
#5 Prince James 3-1                          25

Race 6 :

#6 Frenchboro 5-1                             29
#7 Public Information 6-1                28
#3 High Tide 3-1                                 27
#10 Tallis 5-1                                       27

Dirt Selections

#9 Top Gun Tommy 5-2 1st $4.80
#14 Orb in the Tower 12-1
#15 Wicked Indeed 10-1 2nd $12.80
#11 F F Rocket 9-2

Race 7 :

#6 Fenway 9-2                                    28
#2 Seven Lilies 6-1                             27 3rd
#10 Uno 4-1                                         27
#1 Big Bobby 8-5                                 26 1st

Race 8 :

#3 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 6-1              31
#2 Regal Speaker 4-1                          30
#7 King Cause 7-2                                29
#8 Space Launch 8-1                           28

Dirt Selections

#14 Boldish 2-1 1st $4.10
#13 My First Grammy 6-1 2nd $5.40
#5 Treason 10-1 scratched Ex $18
#15 Dust Devil 5-2 3rd

Race 9 :

#10 Brew Pub 6-1                                 16
#7 Blitz to Win 2-1                               15
#5 Zap Man 12-1                                   15
#4 Bohemian Ruby 15-1                      14

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  6,3,2 2

Race 2 :  3,9,4,1 Dirt : 13,4,6,3 x

Race 3 :  3,1,6 1

Race 4 :  9,8,5,2 Dirt : 14,8,15,13 x

Race 5 :  2,2b x

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Early Pick 4 :

Race  2 :  3,9,4,1 Dirt : 13,4,6,3 x

Race 3 :  3,1,6,2 1

Race 4 :  9,8,5,2 Dirt : 14,8,15,3 x

Race 5 :  2,2b,1a x

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  9,8,5,2 Dirt : 14,8,15,3 x

Race 5 :  2,2b x

Race 6 :  6,7 Dirt : 9,14 9

Race 7 : 6,2 x

Race 8 : 3 Dirt : 14 14

Race 9 : 10,7

$1.00 Ticket :  $32

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  2,2b,1a/1,5 x

Race 6 :  6,7,3 Dirt : 9,14,15 9

Race 7 :  6,2,10 x

Race 8 :  3,2 Dirt : 14,13 14

Race 9 :  10,7

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  6,7,3,10 Dirt : 9,14,15,11 9

Race 7 :  6,2,10,1 1

Race 8 :  3,2 Dirt : 14,13 14

Race 9 :  10,7,5

$.50 Ticket :  $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.