A Winning Day at the Races!

October 29th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9972/15157, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6712/15157. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*With weather and surface uncertainty all Belmont content will remain posted here on the Free Page through this weekend…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#2 Diamond Status 7-2                 16 4th
#3 Royally Blue 7-2                        15
#7 Frosted Wild Ride 12-1            14 2nd $12.00
#5 Miss Invincible 8-1                   13

Race 2 :

#1 Croatian 3-1                              32 3rd $2.60
#5 Chris and Dave 2-1                   31 1st $6.90
#2 Musical America 5-1                30 4th
#6 Vintage Hollywood 10-1         29

Race 3 :

#5 Join the Dots 5-2                      19 1st $10.20
#7 Lady Valentine 3-5                   18 3rd $2.10
#6 Tekila 10-1                                 17
#1 Violent Vixen 8-1                     16 2nd $5.30

Race 4 :

#2 First Constitution (CHI) 5-2    33 2nd $2.80
#6 Speaker’s Corner 1-1                 33 1st $3.50
#1 Backsideofthemoon 4-1            32 3rd $2.60
#5 Yankee Division 8-1                   30

Race 5 :

#5 Missy Greer 3-1                           18
#12 Shine 12-1                                  17
#8 Hype House 8-1                           17
#4 Full Count Felicia 10-1               16 2nd $10.00

Dirt Selections

#16 A Mo Reay 4-5
#14 Anileate 10-1
#15 Tap the Faith 7-2
#13 Catiche 8-1

Race 6 :

#2 Perfect Flight 4-1                        19 *Best Bet
#6 Dads Good Runner 6-1               18 3rd $6.60
#1 Iconic Adventure 8-1                  17 2nd $7.90
#5 Hagler 2-1                                     17 1st $14.20

Race 7 :

#1a Jill’s a Hot Mess 5-2                29 3rd $3.30
#7 Kept Waiting 7-2                        29
#3 Social Whirl 3-1                         28 2nd $4.50
#4 Grudge 10-1                                28 1st $39.40

Dirt Selections

#12 Beautiful Karen
#14 Cartwheel 10-1
#11 Honey Money 4-1
#13 Ruvies in Time 5-1

Race 8 :

#4 Greatest Love 2-1                        29 2nd $3.10
#1 Malibu Luna 3-1                          29 scratched
#2b Cazilda Fortytales 5-1              28 scratched
#3 Left Leaning Lucy 8-1                 27 3rd $3.80

Race 9 :

#7 Buy Land and See 12-1               34 scratched
#11 Value Proposition 5-2               33 1st $3.70
#5 Pulsate 6-1                                    32 2nd $3.70
#4 Emaraaty (GB) 6-1                       32 Ex $15.40

Dirt Selections

#13 Wendell Fong 7-5
#14 Lil Commissioner 9-5

Race 10 :

#2 Derby Kisses 20-1                       14
#6 Eudaimonia 3-1                          13
#1a Write the Check 12-1               12
#10 Miss Empire State 15-1           11

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  2,3,7,5 x

Race 2 :  1,5 5

Race 3 :  5,7 5

Race 4 :  2,6,1 6

Race 5 :  5,12,8 Dirt : 16,14,15 x

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  1,5,2,6 5

Race 3 :  5,7,6 5

Race 4 :  2,6 6

Race 5 :  5,12,8,4 x

$.50 Ticket :  $48

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  5,12,8,4 Dirt : 16,14,15,13 x

Race 6 :  2 x

Race 7 :  1a/1,7 Dirt : 12,14 x

Race 8 :  4,1 *1 scratched using 4,3 x

Race 9 :  7,11,5 Dirt : 13,14 *7 scratched using 11,5,4 11

Race 10 : 2,6

$1.00 Ticket :  $96

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  2,6 x

Race 7 :  1a/1,7,3 Dirt : 12,14,11 x

Race 8 :  4,1,2b/2 *1 scratched using 4,2,3 x

Race 9 :  7,11,5 Dirt : 13,14 *7 scratched using 11,5,4 11

Race 10 : 2,6,1a/1

$.50 Ticket :  $81

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  1a/1,7,3 Dirt : 12,14,11 x

Race 8 :  4,1,2b/2 *1 scratched using 4,2,3 x

Race 9 :  7,11,5 Dirt : 13,14 *7 scratched using 11,5,4 11

Race 10 : 2,6,1a/1

$.50 Ticket :  $40.50

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 


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