A Winning Day at the Races!
October 2nd, 2026 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,842/25,718 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 12,015/25,718. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*NFL Picks (ATS) Season 25-21 (54%)…Week 4 NFL Picks below…
Week One 8-6 (57%)…
Week Two 9-7 (56%)…
Week Three 8-8 (50%)…
*Saturday’s College Football Picks Below…
*Friday’s Full Card Belmont & Keeneland Picks/Plays below…
Belmont Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#8 Expecto Patronum 4-1 27 2nd $4.14
#6 Amelia’s Echo 5-2 27
#5 That’sthefactjack 7-2 26 1st $7.66
#3 Big Handsome 6-1 25
Race 2:
#7 Soldier’s Glory 2-1 29 4th
#2 Scalene 7-2 28 1st $7.48
#1 Road Show 9-2 27 2nd $6.72
#3 Calling Mr. Mo 8-5 27 3rd $2.10 Spr $194.68
Race 3:
#2 Gold Fashioned 7-2 30 4th
#1 Extravaganzoo 6-5 29 1st $2.96
#7 Boomesherang 10-1 29
#3 Tiger Line 5-2 28 3rd $2.74
Race 4:
#9 Dry Drastic 7-2 16 3rd $3.64
#12 B My Lady 6-1 15 4th
#10 Risky Mission 6-1 15
#7 Cream Puff 10-1 14
Race 5:
#4 Two Ducks 12-1 30
#7 Chips and Fish 5-1 29 2nd $5.96
#9 The Markinater 15-1 28
#13 I Can See That 8-1 AE 28 3rd $3.86
#5 Rossbeigh 8-1 27
Race 6:
#10 My Noble Knight 7-2 32 3rd $3.00
#3 Bernin Hot 9-2 31
#1 Frizzante 12-1 30
#7 Pineapple Man 10-1 29
Race 7:
#10 Originality 2-1 20 3rd $2.78
#7 Royal Enclosure 5-1 19 4th
#1 Relative Risk 8-1 18
#4 Zimmer 10-1 17 1st $9.96
Race 8:
#6 Intellect (FR) 3-1 35 2nd
#9 Air Recruit 8-1 34
#4 Sounds Like a Plan 7-2 33
#7 Souper Forces 6-1 32 1st
Race 9:
#12 Amangani (IRE) 3-1 32
#11 Peppermint Twist 4-1 31
#6 Queen Juno 10-1 30
#3 Code 10-1 29
Belmont Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 8,6,5
Race 2: 7,2,1,3
Race 3: 2,1
Race 4: 9,12,10
Race 5: 4,7,9,13
$.50 Ticket: $144
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 7,2,1,3
Race 3: 2,1,7,3
Race 4: 9,12,10
Race 5: 4,7,9
$.50 Ticket: $72
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 2,1
Race 4: 9,12,10,7
Race 5: 4,7,9,13
Race 6: 10,3
Race 7: 10,7,1
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 4: 9,12,10
Race 5: 4,7,9,13
Race 6: 10,3
Race 7: 10
Race 8: 6,9,4
Race 9: 12,11
$1.00 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 4,7,9,13
Race 6: 10,3
Race 7: 10,7,1
Race 8: 6,9,4
Race 9: 12,11,6
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 10,3
Race 7: 10,7,1,4
Race 8: 6,9,4
Race 9: 12,11
$.50 Ticket: $24
Keeneland Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#8 Queen of Queens 3-1 28
#3 Noroomformischief 9-2 27 3rd $3.94
#4 Hollybygolly 8-1 27
#2 Sweet Bebsi 20-1 26
Race 2:
#4 Mena 4-1 29 4th
#2 Raising Kane 10-1 28 3rd $6.60
#1 National Eclipse 5-2 27 1st $5.42
#6 Professor Higgins 10-1 26
Race 3:
#7 Virabhadrasana 1-1 30 4th
#5 Chickies Perch 8-1 29
#2 Seaside Startup 7-2 28 1st $12.76
#1 Sharpie Girl 8-1 27
Race 4:
#12 Staged 9-2 19 3rd $3.66
#6 Touch of an Angel 10-1 18
#4 Shewontbudge 6-1 17
#11 Cognition 8-1 17 1st $5.60
Race 5:
#11 Cadenza 7-2 33 4th
#4 Should’ve 12-1 32 scratched
#1 Quiet Street 10-1 31 3rd $4.38
#2 La Puma 8-1 31 1st $25.84
Race 6:
#4 Saltwater Soul 12-1 20
#8 National Forest 8-5 19
#6 T V Time Out 6-1 18 4th
#3 Kingside 7-2 18 1st $15.56
Race 7:
#8 Hymn 4-1 38 scratched
#4 Verifire 5-2 37
#2 Booth 6-1 36 4th
#6 Viking 8-1 35 scratched
Race 8:
#9 Quibbler 15-1 30
#6 Glycogen 8-1 30
#8 Lucky Bernadine 9-2 29 scratched
#3 Monique En Vol 4-1 29
Race 9:
#5 Summer Starlet 4-5 33 2nd $2.42
#7 High Speed Reed 8-1 30
#1 Emphatic 4-1 30 1st $8.78
#4 Oh She Said Yes 10-1 29 3rd $3.82
Race 10:
#9 Lazlo 5-1 32
#12 The Brigade 3-1 31
#11 Doctrine 4-1 30
#10 Caragogo 6-1 30
Keeneland Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 8,3,4
Race 2: 4,2,1
Race 3: 7,5,2
Race 4: 12,6,4
Race 5: 11,4,1,2 *4 scratched using 11,1,2,8
$.50 Ticket: $162
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 4,2,1 1
Race 3: 7,5,2 2
Race 4: 12,6,4,11 11
Race 5: 11,4,1,2 *4 scratched using 11,1,2,8 2
$.50 Ticket: $72 $269.30
Pick 6:
Race 5: 11,4,1,2 *4 scratched using 11,1,2,8
Race 6: 4,8,6
Race 7: 8,4 *8 scratched using 4,2
Race 8: 9,6,8 *8 scratched using 9,6,3
Race 9: 5
Race 10: 9,12,11
$1.00 Ticket: $216
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 4,8,6,3
Race 7: 8,4,2 *8 scratched using 4,2,10
Race 8: 9,6,8 *8 scratched using 9,6,3
Race 9: 5,7
Race 10: 9,12,11
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 8,4,2 *8 scratched using 4,2,10
Race 8: 9,6,8,3 *8 scratched using 9,6,3,1
Race 9: 5,7,1
Race 10: 9,12,11
$.50 Ticket: $54
Saturday’s College Football Picks
Minnesota +5.5
Wake Forest -12.5
Boston College +21.5
Mississippi State +5.5
UCF +11.5
Miami -16.5
Notre Dame -21.5
Ohio -3.5
Central Michigan -6.5
Tennessee -6.5
Iowa +14.5
Arizona State -3.5
Florida -4.5
Nebraska -14.5
Kentucky +2.5
South Florida -6.5
Texas Tech -12.5
Washington +9.5
Week 4 NFL Picks
Steelers -2.5 X Browns 27-Steelers 24
Colts -3.5
Buccaneers +3.5
Cardinals -1.5
Bengals -2.5
Bills -6.5
Ravens-11.5
Rams -3
Jets +3.5
Texans -2.5
Dolphins +10.5
Seahawks -7
49ers -2.5
Raiders +4.5
Panthers +3.5
Falcons +2.5
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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