A Winning Day at the Races!
October 3rd, 2026 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,850/25,737 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 12,019/25,737. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*NFL Picks (ATS) Season 25-21 (54%)…Week 4 Picks below…
Week One 8-6 (57%)…
Week Two 9-7 (56%)…
Week Three 8-8 (50%)…
*Today’s College Football Picks Below…
*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont & Keeneland Picks/Plays below…
Belmont Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#3 Tap Our Way 2-1 20 2nd $2.68
#1 Mystrix 9-5 19
#7 Mystik Bayou 4-1 18 1st $14.56
#4 Election Hero 8-1 18 3rd $5.90
Race 2:
#5 Buzzer Beater 6-1 18
#6 Scottish Brittany 8-1 17 2nd $13.64
#3 Cheyenne’s Sass 4-1 17 4th
#8 Sky Luna 6-1 16
Race 3:
#7 Forecheck 7-2 17 1st $5.34
#8 Comets Choice 8-1 16
#10 Gnosis 8-1 15
#4 All Star Leigh 9-2 15
Race 4:
#9 Ticket to Fame 9-2 20
#6 Permanent Record (GB) 2-119 1st $4.52
#3 Exhibit 12-1 18
#7 Mr Webster 15-1 18
Race 5:
#9 Harlow Drive 10-1 19 4th
#12 Build Or Buy 5-2 19
#7 Road to Perfection 15-1 18
#5 Rock Me Doc 12-1 18
Race 6:
#8 Yolo Train 7-2 32
#1 Brickyard Belle 2-1 31 1st $4.38
#5 Medinah 6-1 30
#4 Almighty One 15-1 30
Race 7:
#6 Domestic Agenda 2-1 31 1st $3.94
#7 Bittersweet Memory 6-1 30 4th
#2 Golden Siren 4-1 30 3rd $3.42
#4 Fiora 3-1 29
Race 8:
#5 U.S.S. Valor 3-5 34 1st $2.74
#3 Gaudreau 8-5 32 2nd $2.44
#2 Raku 12-1 30
#4 Club Reign 8-1 30 3rd $2.96
Race 9:
#4 Libby Lloyd 8-5 32 4th
#7 Velora 7-2 31
#6 Rum Twist 3-1 30 2nd $5.68
#5 Dotsy 6-1 29 1st $25.02
Race 10:
#4 Luminous Beauty 4-1 30 3rd $2.54
#3 Good to Be King 5-2 29 1st $5.16
#7 Just Joe 5-1 28 4th
#9 Pinpoint 9-2 27
Race 11:
#10 High Official 4-1 32
#2 House of War 6-1 31
#1 Chief of Peace 8-1 30
#5 Pass On By 15-1 30 3rd $12.22
Belmont Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 3,1,7
Race 2: 5,6,3
Race 3: 7,8,10,4
Race 4: 9,6
Race 5: 9,12,7,5
$.50 Ticket: $144
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 5,6,3,8
Race 3: 7,8,10,4
Race 4: 9,6
Race 5: 9,12,7,5
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 7,8,10,4
Race 4: 9,6
Race 5: 9,12,7,5
Race 6: 8,1
Race 7: 6,7,2
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 9,6,3,7
Race 5: 9,12,7
Race 6: 8,1
Race 7: 6,7,2,4
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 9,12,7,5
Race 6: 8,1
Race 7: 6,7,2
Race 8: 5,3
Race 9: 4,7,6
$.50 Ticket: $128
Pick 6:
Race 6: 8,1
Race 7: 6,7,2
Race 8: 5
Race 9: 4,7
Race 10: 4,3,7
Race 11: 10,2,1
$1.00 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 5:
Race 7: 6,7,2,4
Race 8: 5,3
Race 9: 4,7,6
Race 10: 4,3,7
Race 11: 10,2,1
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 8: 5,3
Race 9: 4,7,6,5
Race 10: 4,3,7,9
Race 11: 10,2,1,5
$.50 Ticket: $64
Keeneland Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#4 Dream Machine 9-5 19
#7 Mayfield 6-1 17 4th
#8 Unlimited 10-1 17
#1 Ur a Collection 8-1 16
Race 2:
#1 Chancery 8-5 29 1st $3.02
#6 Maker of Mischief 3-1 28
#2 Game Sayayin 8-1 27 3rd $5.44
#5 Dormie 4-1 27 2nd $4.62
Race 3:
#11 Tullip 3-1 32 2nd $5.54
#5 Episist 6-1 31
#10 Siouxse 9-2 30 1st $14.58
#4 Passo 10-1 29 3rd $5.48
Race 4:
#2 Floodlites 7-5 33 4th
#1 Autodrive 9-2 32 2nd $4.24
#6 Lips Say Bliss 7-2 31 scratched
#3 C K Wonder 5-2 31 1st $6.52
Race 5:
#10 Who Dey 4-1 35 1st $5.46
#2 Render Judgment 7-2 34 scratched
#9 Bullard 5-2 34 2nd $4.12 Ex $17.82
#4 Stowaway 6-1 33 3rd $2.84 Tri $61.52
Race 6:
#6 Joe Shiesty 5-2 38 1st $7.70 Dbl $31.32
#10 Doncho 7-2 37 3rd $3.10
#3 No Nay Hudson (IRE) 8-1 36 2nd $7.20 Tri $196.48
#2 Mondogetsbuckets 15-1 35
Race 7:
#6 Eclatant 6-5 36 3rd $2.76
#5 Zeitlos 6-1 34
#7 Echo Sound 5-2 33 4th
#4 Evanescence 4-1 32 1st $7.98
Race 8:
#8 Segesta 3-1 37
#2 Lush Lips (GB) 8-1 36 2nd $4.72
#4 Expansive Queen (IRE) 9-2 35
#5 And One More Time 10-1 34
Race 9:
#6 American History 4-1 33 1st $12.00
#1 Coach Pope 4-5 32 2nd $2.36 Ex $24.44
#2 Q B Rocket 3-1 31 3rd $2.46 Tri $44.52
#5 Jaded 15-1 30
Race 10:
#9 Zulu Kingdom (IRE) 3-1 39
#3 Rhetorical 2-1 37 1st $5.72
#5 Pass the Hat 8-1 36
#1 Title Role (GB) 12-1 35 3rd $4.78
Race 11:
#3 Rock Your Dreams 3-1 19 scratched
#11 Life On Marz 12-1 18 4th
#9 Clock 12-1 17
#4 Ronna’s Sizzler 20-1 17
Keeneland Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 4,7,8,1
Race 2: 1,6
Race 3: 11,5,10
Race 4: 2,1,6,3 *6 scratched using 2,1,3,4
Race 5: 10,2,9 *2 scratched using 10,9,4
$.50 Ticket: $144
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 1,6
Race 3: 11,5,10
Race 4: 2,1,6,3 *6 scratched using 2,1,3,4
Race 5: 10,2,9,4 *2 scratched using 10,9,4,1
$.50 Ticket: $48 $62.12
Pick 6:
Race 5: 10,2,9
Race 6: 6,10
Race 7: 6
Race 8: 8,2,4
Race 9: 6,1,2
Race 10: 9,3
$1.00 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 6,10,3
Race 7: 6,5,7
Race 8: 8,2,4
Race 9: 6,1,2
Race 10: 9,3
$.50 Ticket: $81
Pick 4 (7-10):
Race 7: 6,5,7
Race 8: 8,2,4
Race 9: 6,1,2
Race 10: 9,3
$.50 Ticket: $27
Late Pick 4:
Race 8: 8,2,4
Race 9: 6,1,2
Race 10: 9,3,5
Race 11: 3,11,9,4 *3 scratched using 11,9,4,1
$.50 Ticket: $54
Saturday’s College Football Picks
Minnesota +6.5 ✓ Minnesota 20-Michigan 14
Wake Forest -13.5 ✓ Wake Forest 57-Stanford 3
Boston College +21.5 ✓ SMU 25-BC 16
Mississippi State +5.5 X Alabama 56-Miss St. 23
UCF +11.5 ✓ Houston 27-UCF 17
Miami -14.5
Notre Dame -21.5 X Notre Dame 37-UNC 26
Ohio -3.5 X Ohio 13-Kent State 10
Central Michigan -6.5 ✓ Central Michigan 41-Akron 17
Tennessee -6.5 ✓ Tennessee 24-Auburn 14
Iowa +14.5 X Ohio State 31- Iowa 14
Arizona State -3.5
Florida -5.5 X Missouri 45-Florida 17
Nebraska -14.5
Kentucky +2.5
South Florida -5.5
Texas Tech -13.5
Washington +9.5
Week 4 NFL Picks
Steelers -2.5 X Browns 27-Steelers 24
Colts -3.5
Buccaneers +3.5
Cardinals -1.5
Bengals -2.5
Bills -6.5
Ravens-11.5
Rams -3
Jets +3.5
Texans -2.5
Dolphins +10.5
Seahawks -7
49ers -2.5
Raiders +4.5
Panthers +3.5
Falcons +2.5
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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