A Winning Day at the Races!

October 30th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9976/15167, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6716/15167. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*With weather and surface uncertainty all Belmont content will remain posted here on the Free Page through this weekend…

*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont Picks & Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#8 Shigeko 3-1                              15
#3 Pave My Way 7-2                     14
#9 Cupere 6-1                                13
#2 My Cara Mia Mine 5-1            12

Dirt Selections

#5 Jannie Mae 15-1 4th
#2 My Cara Mia Mine 5-1 3rd $4.00
#3 Pave My Way 7-2
#1 Sals Dream Girl 10-1

Race 2 :

#7 Arrowheart 5-2                       14
#1 Noble Journey 8-5                  14
#9 Wicked Karma 6-1                  13
#6 Artie’s Lit 12-1                        12

Dirt Selections

#1 Noble Journey 8-5 1st $8.90
#7 Arrowheart 5-2 3rd $2.80
#12 Reunion Tour 6-1 2nd $4.60
#8 Bless Bless 8-1 Tri $97

Race 3 :

#4 Shipsational 7-5                      33 1st $4.60
#2 Overstep 6-5                             31 2nd $2.50
#6 Sterling Hill 12-1                     28 4th
#3 Who Hoo Thats Me 9-2           27 3rd $2.60

Race 4 :

#10 Palace Gossip 1-1                  16
#3 Road to Remember 6-1           14
#9 Sinfully Sweet 6-1                    13
#6 Steppin’ Hawk 20-1                  11

Dirt Selections

#12 Sabreen 7-2
#13 Live in Five 5-2
#5 Juliana’s Rose 5-1 3rd $5.10
#1 Starship Subway 10-1

Race 5 :

#2 Chestertown 15-1                      33 2nd $13.00
#7 Our Last Buck 3-1                      32
#8 Ny Traffic 2-1                              32 1st $3.90
#5 Jemography 6-1                          31 3rd $7.80

Race 6 :

#2 The Important One 7-5             32 1st $6.20
#6 Espresso Shot 3-1                       30 3rd $2.20
#1 Miss Jimmy 9-5                           30 2nd $3.10
#4 Letmetakethiscall 6-1                29

Race 7 :

#7 Velvet Sister 4-1                          30 4th
#1 Venti Valentine 3-1                     29 1st $8.70
#5 Sandy’s Garden 7-2                     28
#6 Sue Ellen Mishkin 4-1                 28

Race 8 :

#8 Maiden Beauty 6-1                       32
#1 Ice Princess 4-1                             31 2nd $4.60
#4 Make Mischief 9-2                        30 3rd $3.20
#7 Bank Sting 6-1                               29

Race 9 :

#1 Captain Bombastic 8-1                 34
#5 Americanrevolution 7-5               33 1st
#8 Tiergan 6-1                                      31
#2 Three Jokers 6-1                             30

Race 10 :

#12 War Terminator 3-1                     30
#5 King Angelo 7-2                              29
#6 Neuro 5-1                                         28
#2 Coragescontender 15-1                 27

Dirt Selections

#5 King Angelo 7-2
#16 Scotto 8-1
#10 Bar Fourteen 20-1
#1 Scotty 50-1
#12 War Terminator 3-1

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  8,3,9,2 Dirt : 5,2,3,1 x

Race 2 :  7,1 Dirt : 1,7 1

Race 3 :  4,2 4

Race 4 :  10,3,9 Dirt : 12,13,5 x

Race 5 :  2,7,8 8

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  7,1,9,6 Dirt : 1,7,12,8 1

Race 3 :  4,2 4

Race 4 :  10,3,9,6 Dirt : 12,13,5,1 x

Race 5 :  2,7,8,5 8

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  2,7,8 8

Race 6 :  2 2

Race 7 :  7,1,5 1

Race 8 :  8,1,4 x

Race 9 :  1,5

Race 10 : 12,5 Dirt : 5,16 *5 scratched using 16,10

$1.00 Ticket :  $108

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  2,6,1 2

Race 7 :  7,1,5 1

Race 8 :  8,1,4,7 x

Race 9 :  1,5,8

Race 10 : 12,5 Dirt : 5,16 *5 scratched using 16,10

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  7,1,5,6 1

Race 8 :  8,1,4,7 x

Race 9 :  1,5,8

Race 10 : 12,5,6 Dirt : 5,16,10 *5 scratched using 16,10,1

$.50 Ticket :  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 


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