A Winning Day at the Races!

October 4th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,864/25,759 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 12,028/25,759. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*NFL Picks (ATS) Season 25-21 (54%)…Week 4 Picks below…
Week One 8-6 (57%)…
Week Two 9-7 (56%)…
Week Three 8-8 (50%)…

*Saturday’s College Football Picks 11-7 (61%)…

*Sunday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays below…

Belmont Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#7 Jackpot Jackie 3-1               16
#5 My Man Max 5-1                 15 4th
#3 Barden 12-1                          15
#2 Rufus the Red 6-1                14 scratched 

Race 2:

#4 Save Us Melania 6-5           28 scratched
#8 Vekomancer 7-2                   27 1st $3.62
#2 Pocket Queens 10-1            26
#1 Cloudy Chance 6-1              25 4th

Race 3:

#2 Empress New Groove 7-2   17 2nd $4.14
#5 Channelview 6-1                  17
#4 Ilenas Kaz Way 6-1              16
#7 Sweet Mackenzie 10-1         15

Race 4:

#7 Sellonthenews (GB) 7-5      19 2nd $2.40
#11 Attachment 9-2                  18
#10 Whatever It Takes 8-1       18
#4 Belmont Street 12-1             17 4th

Race 5:

#1 Pentathlon 8-1                    36 1st $15.88
#6 Georgia Magic 7-2               35 3rd $3.10
#4 Admiral Dennis 6-1             35 scratched 
#5 Tip Top Thomas 3-1            34 2nd $5.18 Tri $254.48

Race 6:

#2 Escapades 3-1                     32
#7 Sod Siren (FR) 4-1              31 4th
#10 Moment’s Notice 6-1       30 2nd $6.78
#4 Global Prosperity 8-1         29 1st $19.94

Race 7:

#3 Boomington 6-1                  31 4th
#8 Factory Setting 5-2             30 2nd $4.18
#5 Athena’s Fury 12-1              30
#4 Silly Season 5-1                    29 1st $13.08

Race 8:

#6 Two Eagles River 9-2          33 scratched
#8 Barb 10-1                               32
#2 Captain Cook 7-5                  32 3rd $2.18
#4 Mischievous M 5-1               31

Race 9:

#2 Counterintuitive 2-1            31
#10 Nonconsecutivetrms 4-1   30
#3 Mid Summer 12-1                 29 3rd $7.00
#4 Chartist 8-1                            28

Race 10:

#3 Instability (IRE) 5-2              30 2nd $4.72
#11 Shirl’s Soul Town 8-1          29
#6 Repentless 8-1                        28
#2 Funny Factor 8-1                    27 1st $22.08

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  7,5,3,2 *2 scratched using 7,5,3,6

Race 2:  4,8 *4 scratched using 8,2

Race 3:  2,5,4

Race 4:  7,11

Race 5:  1,6,4,5 *4 scratched using 1,6,5,2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,8 *4 scratched using 8,2

Race 3:  2,5,4,7

Race 4:  7,11

Race 5:  1,6,4,5 *4 scratched using 1,6,5,2

$.50 Ticket:  $32

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  2,5,4

Race 4:  7,11,10

Race 5:  1,6,4,5 *4 scratched using 1,6,5,2

Race 6:  2,7

Race 7:  3,8

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  7,11

Race 5:  1,6,4,5 *4 scratched using 1,6,5,2

Race 6:  2,7,10,4

Race 7:  3,8,5,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  1,6,4,5 *4 scratched using 1,6,5,2

Race 6:  2,7

Race 7:  3,8

Race 8:  6,8,2 *6 scratched using 8,2,4

Race 9:  2

Race 10: 3

$1.00 Ticket:  $48

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  2,7,10,4

Race 7:  3,8

Race 8:  6,8,2 *6 scratched using 8,2,4

Race 9:  2,10

Race 10: 3,11,6

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  3,8

Race 8:  6,8,2,4 *6 scratched using 8,2,4,9

Race 9:  2,10,3,4

Race 10: 3,11,6,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Week 4 NFL Picks

Steelers -2.5 X Browns 27-Steelers 24
Colts -3.5 ✓ Colts 30-Commanders 13
Buccaneers +3.5
Cardinals -1.5
Bengals -2.5
Bills -6.5
Ravens-11.5
Rams -3
Jets +3.5
Texans -2.5
Dolphins +10.5
Seahawks -7
49ers -2.5
Raiders +4.5
Panthers +3.5
Falcons +2.5

Saturday’s College Football Picks

Minnesota +6.5 ✓ Minnesota 20-Michigan 14
Wake Forest -13.5 ✓ Wake Forest 57-Stanford 3
Boston College +21.5 ✓ SMU 25-BC 16
Mississippi State +5.5 X Alabama 56-Miss St. 23
UCF +11.5 ✓ Houston 27-UCF 17
Miami -14.5 ✓ Miami 41-Clemson 13
Notre Dame -21.5 X Notre Dame 37-UNC 26
Ohio -3.5 X Ohio 13-Kent State 10
Central Michigan -6.5 ✓ Central Michigan 41-Akron 17
Tennessee -6.5 ✓ Tennessee 24-Auburn 14
Iowa +14.5 X Ohio State 31- Iowa 14
Arizona State -3.5 X Baylor 55-Az State 19
Florida -5.5 X Missouri 45-Florida 17
Nebraska -14.5 ✓ Nebraska 48-Maryland 23
Kentucky +2.5 ✓ Kentucky 35-SouthCarolina 34
South Florida -5.5 X Temple 17-SF 13
Texas Tech -13.5 ✓ TexasTech 29-Colorado 13
Washington +9.5 ✓ USC 25-Washington 21

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.


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