October 6th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

• October 5, 2022
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,415/17,406, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,864/17,406. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 North Pole 4-5                        17 2nd $2.50
#4 Lucky Mucho Man 7-2           15 1st $12.80 Ex $32.60
#2 River of No Return 5-2          14
#6 Reunion Tour 20-1                 13 4th

Race 2:

#12 Showemyourheels 5-2         18
#4 Highway Harmony 3-1           17
#1 Kara Para 6-1                           16
#7 Bode’s Girl 8-1                         15

Dirt Selections

#12 Showemyourheels 5-2
#1 Kara Para 6-1 2nd $4.90
#4 Highway Harmony 3-1
#7 Bode’s Girl 8-1

Race 3:

#1 Sister Supream 3-1                  27 3rd $2.40
#3 Cupids Girl 5-1                         26 2nd $5.30
#6 Mommasgottarun 9-5             26 1st $4.80
#4 Spooky Road 8-1                      25 scratched

Race 4:

#10 Princess Blakely 7-2             27
#13 Control Function 2-1 AE     27
#6 In My Wake 8-1                        26
#5 Hope for the Best 6-1              25
#3 Command Point 6-1                25

Dirt Selections

#6 In My Wake 8-1 3rd
#10 Princess Blakely 7-2 scratched
#11 One Track Mine 20-1
#16 Holiday Jazz 4-1 4th
#14 Infringement 50-1

Race 5:

#7 Majestic Tiger 3-1                     27
#3 Forestwood Lane 4-1                26 2nd $7.50
#2 Grecian Pharoah 5-1                 25
#6 Scotty 6-1                                    25 1st $17.20

Race 6:

#11 Sugar Gray Leonard 8-1          30
#7 Napa Spirit (IRE) 6-1                 29
#5 Digital Future 5-1                       28
#2 Fast N Fearious 8-1                    28

Dirt Selections

#11 Sugar Gray Leonard 8-1 4th
#2 Fast N Fearious 8-1
#3 Blinding Light 8-1 2nd
#8 Spettro 15-1

Race 7:

#6 Citizen K 3-1                                 31
#12 Marinara Sauced 7-2                 30
#3 Battle Scars 5-1                            29
#5 Agent Creed 10-1                         28

Dirt Selections

#9 Curlin’s Wisdom 12-1 1st
#7 Breadman 12-1
#1 Street Tsar 5-1 3rd
#12 Marinara Sauced 7-2

Race 8:

#4 Mosienko 2-1                                32 1st
#3 Bank On Anna 5-2                       31
#1 Customerexperience 8-1            30 3rd
#6 Movie Moxy 5-1                           29

Race 9:

#10 Ableton 8-1                                 16
#7 Mr. Connecticut 2-1                     15
#3 The Sleepychipmunk 5-1            15
#11 Toga Dancer 12-1                       14

Dirt Selections

#16 Central Pride 9-5
#15 Magic Truck 10-1
#3 The Sleepychipmunk 5-1
#14 Bert Bert Bert 3-1

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1 x

Race 2:  12,4,1,7 Dirt: 12,1,4,7 x

Race 3:  1,3,6 6

Race 4:  10,13,6,5 Dirt: 6,10,11,16 *10 scratched using 6,11,16,14 x

Race 5:  7,3,2 x

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  12,4,1,7 Dirt: 12,1,4,7 x

Race 3:  1,3,6 6

Race 4:  10,13,6,5 Dirt:  6,10,11,16 *10 scratched using 6,11,16,14 x

Race 5:  7,3,2 x

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 4:  10,13,6,5 Dirt: 6,10,11,16 *10 scratched using 6,11,16,14 x

Race 5:  7 x

Race 6:  11,7,5,2 Dirt:  11,2,3,8

Race 7:  6,12 Dirt: 9,7 *7 scratched 9,1

Race 8:  4

Race 9:  10,7,3 Dirt: 16,15,3 *16,15 scratched using 3,10,8

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  7,3,2,6 6

Race 6:  11,7,5,2 Dirt:  11,2,3,8

Race 7:  6,12 Dirt: 9,7 *7 scratched 9,1

Race 8:  4,3

Race 9:  10,7,3,11 Dirt:  16,15,3,14 *16,15,14 scratched using 3,10,8,9

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  11,7,5,2 Dirt:  11,2,3,8

Race 7:  6,12,3,5 Dirt:  9,7,1,12 *7 scratched 9,1,10,11

Race 8:  4,3

Race 9:  10,7,3,11 Dirt:  16,15,3,14 *16,15,14 scratched using 3,10,8,9

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.