October 7th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,420/17,415, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,868/17,415. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Keeneland Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#4 Atlanta’s Acuna 5-2 16 2nd $4.80
#1 Quick to Accuse 3-1 15 1st $11.40 Ex $35.80
#2 Chulligan 6-5 15
#6 Mr. Marlin 6-1 14 3rd $5.60

Race 2:

#8 Brennan’s War 8-1 15
#6 Sharp Sensation 7-2 14
#2 Sinful Dancer 2-1 13
#1 Eight and Sand 8-1 12

Dirt Selections

#9 Kingstown 3-1 scratched
#10 Cumberland Blues 5-2 1st $7.50
#2 Sinful Dancer 2-1 4th
#1 Eight and Sand 8-1

Race 3:

#2 Risk Profile 2-1 28 2nd $2.20
#1 Daufuskie Island 7-2 27 1st $4.20
#6 Quickflash 5-2 27 scratched
#5 Cousin Andrew 5-2 26 scratched

Race 4:

#13 Timbuktu 7-2 AE 29
#7 Fast Gordon 6-1 28
#9 Gooch Go Bragh 5-1 28
#3 Fieldstone 4-1 27
#4 Ginnsu Warrior 10-1 27

Dirt Selections

#15 Eddie the Great 15-1 scratched
#11 Milano 20-1 3rd $5.40
#8 Eagle in Love 15-1 4th
#5 Sebaray 12-1
#2 Sundaeswithsandy 8-1 1st $17.60

Race 5:

#4 Central Pride 9-5 16 3rd $2.10
#1 Sir John 5-2 15 1st $8.40
#2 Kiyomori 6-1 14
#7 Bert Bert Bert 6-1 13 2nd $5.70

Race 6:

#7 Principled Stand (GB) 7-5 32 scratched
#8 Not Phar Now 5-2 31 1st $4.80
#1 Duress 6-1 29 4th
#3 Shiraz 6-1 28 3rd $3.00

Dirt Selections

#12 Quick Return 9-5
#11 Double Shot 4-1
#9 Rejected Again 3-1
#5 Oldies But Goodies 8-1

Race 7:

#7 War Strategy 8-1 30 3rd $3.90
#10 Digital Software 4-1 29 4th
#4 Reckless Spirit 9-2 28 1st $7.70
#1 Hard Rye Guy 5-1 27

Dirt Selections

#14 Relate 4-1
#16 Ria’s Angel 2-1
#15 Charger 7-2
#1 Hard Rye Guy 5-1

Race 8:

#1 Synthesis 9-5 34 scratched
#5 Baby Yoda 4-5 33 1st $3.10
#2 Fire Sword 9-2 32
#1a Bourbon Calling 9-5 31 2nd $3.00

Race 9:

#5 Aunt Virginia 4-1 28
#8 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 6-1 28
#1 Quick Power Nap 7-2 27
#3 Romanosa (GB) 5-1 26

Dirt Selections

#5 Aunt Virginia 4-1 scratched
#2 Diva Ready 12-1 scratched
#12 Lemon Taffy 50-1
#4 Classic Lynne 8-1 2nd
#7 Arabellas Girl 30-1 scratched

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 4,1,2 1

Race 2: 8,6,2,1 Dirt: 9,10,2,1 10

Race 3: 2,1 1

Race 4: 13,7,9,3 Dirt: 15,11,8,5 *15 scratched using 11,8,5,2 2

Race 5: 4,1 1

$.50 Ticket: $96 $1966

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 8,6,2,1 Dirt: 9,10,2,1 10

Race 3: 2,1,6,5 1

Race 4: 13,7,9,3 Dirt: 15,11,8,5 *15 scratched using 11,8,5,2 2

Race 5: 4,1 1

$.50 Ticket: $64 $211.50

Pick 6:

Race 4: 13,7,9,3 Dirt: 15,11,8,5 *15 scratched using 11,8,5,2 2

Race 5: 4,1 1

Race 6: 7 Dirt: 12 *7 scratched using 8 8

Race 7: 7,10,4 Dirt: 14,16,15 4

Race 8: 1/1a,5 5

Race 9: 5,8 Dirt: 5,2 *5,2 scratched using 12,4 x

$1.00 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 4,1,2 1

Race 6: 7,8,1 Dirt: 12,11,9 *7 scratched using 8,1,3 8

Race 7: 7,10,4 Dirt: 14,16,15 4

Race 8: 1/1a,5 5

Race 9: 5,8,1 Dirt: 5,2,12 *5,2 scratched using 12,4,10 x

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 7,8 Dirt: 12,11 *7 scratched using 8,1 8

Race 7: 7,10,4,1 Dirt: 14,15,16,1 4

Race 8: 1/1a,5,2 5

Race 9: 5,8,1 Dirt: 5,2,12 *5,2 scratched using 12,4,10 x

$.50 Ticket: $72

Keeneland Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Hoopla 6-1 27 3rd $4.88
#8 Riverboat Gambler 7-2 27
#6 Alfie Solomons 9-2 26
#3 Direct Order 5-1 25

Race 2:

#3 Magical Act 9-2 20 2nd $5.50
#8 Seabrook 5-1 19
#7 Scripps 3-1 19
#2 Misread 5-2 18

Race 3:

#7 Key of Life 8-5 29 1st $3.78
#3 Looking for Hope 7-2 28
#4 Twice as Sweet 3-1 27 2nd $4.12
#2 Santa Fe Gold 8-1 26

Race 4:

#2 Therideofalifetime 9-2 32 4th
#3 Joker On Jack 3-1 31
#1 Torontotoro 6-1 30
#7 Robo Man 15-1 29

Race 5:

#9 Beguine 7-2 30
#5 Nosilverspoonshere 8-1 29
#8 Towser 6-1 28
#1 Golden Sights 6-1 27

Race 6:

#4 Liberty’s Hauler 9-2 19
#3 Mobster 8-1 18
#5 Z Z’s Prince 6-1 18
#1 Golden Bandit 4-1 17

Race 7:

#5 Sibelius 5-2 38
#2 Special Reserve 2-1 36
#6 Necker Island 7-2 35
#7 MannyWah 8-1 33

Race 8:

#8 Dulcia 15-1 29
#12 Towhead 9-2 28
#9 Recognize 10-1 27
#1 Sabalenka 10-1 27

Race 9:

#4 Raging Sea 6-1 30
#1 Wonder Wheel 9-2 29
#10 Kaling 6-1 29
#9 Fun and Feisty 7-2 28

Race 10:

#4 Federalist Papers 9-2 31
#8 Fairchild 5-2 30
#1 Mia Martina 10-1 29
#5 Queen Bourbon 7-2 28

Keeneland Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,8,6,3 x

Race 2: 3,8,7,2 x

Race 3: 7,3 7

Race 4: 2,3 x

Race 5: 9,5,8,1

$.50 Ticket: $128

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 3,8,7,2 x

Race 3: 7,3,4 7

Race 4: 2,3,1 x

Race 5: 9,5,8,1

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 6:

Race 5: 9,5,8,1

Race 6: 4,3,5,1

Race 7: 5

Race 8: 8,12,9,1

Race 9: 4

Race 10: 4,8

$1.00 Ticket: $128

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 4,3,5,1

Race 7: 5,2,6

Race 8: 8,12,9,1

Race 9: 4,1,10

Race 10: 4,8

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 5,2

Race 8: 8,12,9,1

Race 9: 4,1,10,9

Race 10: 4,8,1,5

$.50 Tickets: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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